Monday, October 24, 2005

Monday Morning Mehta 10/24/05

Edition # 137
October 24, 2005

NOTE: Next week's MMM will be on Tuesday, November 1st.

The NBA is back and that means that MMM is fully staffed again, with all 4 major sports being covered for the first time since the middle of 2004.

Eagles/NFL

Eagles win an ugly, penalty ridden, sloppy game 20-17 in a game MMM quoted as being "a lock". Never a doubt, right?

Game Positives:

- Special Teams. When I wrote "lock", I actually meant they'd win on a "block". The blocked FG by Q-Mike, no relation to J-Mike of the Phillies, with 2:40 left in the 4th, down by 4 points, with Matt Ware picking it up and running 65 yards to paydirt, is by far the biggest play of the year for the Eagles. It reminded me so much of Brian Westbrook's gallop 2 seasons ago against the Giants in similar fashion. It looked like the Eagles had the game lost both times, with Special Teams bailing them out. This could also spring this team like it did in 2003.

- Front Four. Going into the bye I thought ST's and Front Four play was what the Eagles needed to work on. Both phases played great. Unfortunately I think they didn't work on anything else.

- Jeremiah Trotter. The best MLB in football proved once again to be a game changer. He was all over the field. He's no pass defender, as I've stated before, but nobody can cover Antonio Gates who is clearly the best TE in football right now.

Negatives:

- Donovan McNabb. I think the telling point of the whole game was McNabb missing LJ Smith who was open by 20 feet early in the game which would've been a sure long TD. San Diego's defense was ready to give up 31 points yesterday, McNabb wasn't ready to score more than 13.

- Brian Westbrook. People can rip the offensive line all they want, people can rip Andy Reid's play calling (we'd never do that here), but Westbrook has to do better than 25 yards on 10 carries. He had one run of 9 yards which meant he had 16 yards on the other 9 carries. Doesn't the running game need to show it can run before we start running the ball more? (Yes, I just made a case to throw more, I've gone full circle)

- L.J. Smith. Sometimes I think McNabb throws the ball at LJ's feet because he doesn't want him running after the catch, knowing it's a fumble waiting to happen. Tuck it in!

Overall, the Eagles played an ugly game. The defense and special teams came through and won that one. The defense gave up 17 points in the second half, but I blame that on the offense. You can't keep giving the back to San Diego and expect the defense to bail you out on every possession.

Donovan McNabb looks bored to me.

The Eagles now travel to Denver to face the Broncos. Two full time MMM staff members will be in attendance along with a former College football writer. We'll have a full recap for you next Tuesday, as we'll need a travel day on Monday.

Around the League

The biggest statement yesterday was a loud and clear statement by the Steelers. They went into Cincy and stomped the Bengals in all aspects of the game. They completely exposed the weak Bengals defense and ran the ball 47 times while passing 14. The anti-Eagles effort made it clear they're still the team to beat in the AFC North. Carson Palmer had a rough day as he looked baffled most of the day.

This wasn't Rip-Off weekend like last weekend, but the Saints hit some tough luck once again, this time by their own doing. Ernie Conwell of the Saints was apparently down by contact but the ball was stripped of the ball and the Rams ran it back for a TD. The tough luck? The play started with 2:10 left, and the Saints had no timeouts left. Even though the play ended with 1:55 left, the Saints couldn't challenge, and they hence couldn't overturn the key play. The booth doesn't take over replays until the 2 minute warning.

Joey Harrington's days as starter for the Lions appear over. Jeff Garcia played an unspectacular, but steady game with no turnovers for the Lions. The Lions defense is for real.

Speaking of defenses that are for real, the Bears are good. They play hard every week and Thomas Jones is keeping Cedric Benson on the pine.

Wow the 49ers are bad.

I hate the Giants so much. Watching them win completely overshadowed any joy from watching the Cowboys win. BTW, for those keeping track at home, that's two losses for Dallas which they should've won if they had a non choking QB.

Baseball

For those of you who stayed up and watched last nights game, in my opinion that was one of the greatest games in recent baseball history. Yes, I said baseball history. An 7th inning go ahead grand slam amid hit by pitch controversy, a 2 out game tying hit by Jose Vizcaino, only to be trumped by a walk off home run by a guy who hasn't hit a home run all year. Amazing.

I'm sticking to my prediction of the Astros winning the series, I think we're in for a series for the ages.
One thing on the Phillies, how are they offering Billy Wagner a contract, and there being speculation about Ryan Madson becoming a starter, if there is no GM?? This smells of front office controlling too much.

NBA - Derreck Sura

"I don't think I've ever made such a daring prediction in the hallowed pages of MMM, but here goes, after the end of next season Larry Brown is gone. MARK IT DOWN!"

That's a direct quote from the MMM published on December 16th 2003. Unlike most, I obviously love to say I told you so. If you're a long time reader, you know the drill by now. East this week, West next week. Welcome to the 2005-2006 season.

(Note: The "Eyes On" and "Now or Never" sections are dedicated to Doug Morgan, who hates them.)

1. Indiana - Ron Artest is back, and that's a good thing for the Pacers. Mental stability aside, Artest's return gives Indy their best on ball perimeter defender back, as well as their #2 option on offense. Donnie Walsh (CEO) and Larry Bird (President) have done a masterful job of giving the Pacers depth at every position. Indy plays great team defense, rebounds the ball, scores inside and outside, and has one of the best coaches in the NBA in Rick Carlisle. Maybe it's their hard nosed style of play, or possibly just bad luck, but for whatever reason these Pacers have been a bit injury prone the last couple of years. Jermaine O'Neal, Jamaal Tinsley, and Jeff Foster specifically (starting PF, PG, & C respectively). If Indy can avoid the injury bug, and Artest is able to maintain his sanity, the Pacers are a legitimate contender to win it all.

Eyes On - Sarunas Jasikevicius. The starting PG for the last three Euroleague champions is a nice insurance policy for Tinsley.
Now or Never - Jonathan Bender. Multi-dimensional big man has done nothing to date. Now entering his 7th year, he's averaged only 39 games played a season.

2. Miami - Heat President Pat Riley was busy this off season on a few fronts. First he acquired Antoine Walker, Jason Williams, and James Posey in a blockbuster 4 team trade (he also signed free agent (FA) Gary Payton). Then he made news by suggesting that Miami coach "Stan [Van Gundy] has done a great job", but "I may take a little bit more of an active participation in some of the things." Since then Riles has backed off that statement, but the seed is already planted. On paper the Heat look devastatingly talented, but keeping this crew happy and developing some type of chemistry is not going to easy. Miami could easily win the East, and the NBA Championship for that matter, but I expect this team to take many a night off during the regular season. However, if Shaquille O'Neal is healthy come playoff time, the Heat will be very tough to beat.

Eyes On - SVG. Riley did him a huge disservice this summer by undermining his authority. If they get off to a slow start, his job security will be in the news.
Now or Never - Alonzo Mourning. I can't help but think Zo doesn't have many more, if any, years left after this one. This team gives him his best chance yet for a ring.

3. New Jersey (4th best record) - The combination of Jason Kidd, Vince Carter, and Richard Jefferson easily makes the Nets the odds on favorites to win the Atlantic Division. This club is going to want to get out and run at every opportunity. I can't wait to see J Kidd leading 2 on 3 fast breaks with Vince and RJ filling the opposite wings. Highlight reel says what? NJ President Rod Thorn's acquisition of Marc Jackson for a 2nd round pick helped solidify their front court rotation, but rebounding and shot blocking will still be issues for the Nets. Thorn's signing of FA Jeff McInnis gives them a solid back up behind Kidd, but NJ is very thin behind Vince and RJ. An injury to one of them, and the Nets will be in trouble. I don't see NJ as a contender, and it's possible that they get the 3rd seed with the 6th best record in the East.

Eyes On - Nenad Krstic. 2nd year 7 footer from Serbia has a nice post up game and mid-range jumper. Needs to improve his toughness, rebounding, and defense.
Now or Never - Zoran Planinic. 22nd pick from the 2003 draft has been a bust as a PG. If moving to SG doesn't help, it'll be Euroleague time.

4. Detroit (3rd best record) - The big question in Motown is how will their battle tested group of players react to new coach Flip Saunders? Only time will tell, but there are a few things I'm excited to see with Flip in charge. The first is their style of offense. Flip is going to install more motion into the Pistons normally stagnant attack. This should get them more easy looks in their half court sets, and allow Richard Hamilton to flourish. Next is that young players like Carlos Arroyo, Carlos Delfino, and Darko Milicic are finally going to see some regular minutes. As for the defense, Flip is going to have them playing some zone, but Detroit will still be able to lock teams up with their man to man when they need to. The Pistons could win the East, but without Larry Brown cracking the whip daily, I suspect this team is going to coast quite a bit in the regular season.

Eyes On - Maurice Evans. He is a hard worker who can defend, rebound, and finish in transition. Could be the athletic swingman off the bench they've never had.
Now or Never - Arroyo. Went from starter in Utah to 3rd PG for Detroit due to his post Olympic attitude. Must shoot less, and create for his teammates more.

5. Cleveland - Rookie GM Danny Ferry did a fantastic job his first summer by signing FA's Larry Hughes, Donyell Marshall, Damon Jones, and Alan Henderson. Jones and Hughes will be the Cavaliers starting back court. While Marshall and Henderson provide much needed depth up front. Cleveland's weakness since LeBron James arrived has been their 3 point shooting. Now with the addition of Jones and Marshall, along with a healthy Luke Jackson, teams will not be able to sag into the lane or double LeBron without paying the price. Scoring points will not be an issue with this team, and that's where rookie coach Mike Brown comes in. Brown honed his craft as Indiana's defensive coordinator for the past two seasons. If Brown and his Cavs can deal with playoff expectations, they could end up with the 4th best record in the East.

Eyes On - Anderson Varejao. Energetic Brazilian big man should provide a lift on the defensive end when he returns from a right shoulder injury in February.
Now or Never - Drew Gooden. He will be on his 4th team in 4 years if he doesn't improve his focus on defense, regardless of all the offense and rebounding he provides.

6. Washington - The Wizards return basically the same squad that made the playoffs last season, with the exception of Larry Hughes. I think President Ernie Grunfeld did enough to replace Hughes' scoring with the additions of Antonio Daniels and Caron Butler, but Larry was the leader of Washington's D last year. Daniels and Butler are adequate defenders, but neither possesses the physical gifts of Hughes. The Wiz are unquestionably Gilbert Arenas' team now. GA might be the quickest player in the league with the ball, and can score at will on anybody. If Washington is to take the next step as a team, GA is going to have to make more of a consistent effort to get his big men involved Look for GA to slide to SG with Daniels running the point for stretches early on. If things break right for the Wiz, they could end up with the 4th best record in the East.

Eyes On - Brendan Haywood. 7 footer can rebound, play D, and block shots. Has a decent low post game, just doesn't get the ball enough to show it.
Now or Never - Jarvis Hayes. 10th pick from 2003 has yet to prove he's anything more then a spot up shooter. Needs to be able to create his own shots off the dribble.

7. Chicago - GM John Paxson took the lemons from the Eddy Curry situation and turned them into lemonade. Two conditional first round picks, two second round picks, Tim Thomas, and Mike Sweetney was a steal of a deal for Curry and Antonio Davis. The one down side for the Bulls is that they are a little small up front now, but Sweetney and FA signee Darius Songaila should make up for Eddy's low post offense. My concern with Chicago is the size and depth of their guard core. While Paxson did a nice job dumping Curry, he really did nothing to improve their back court. Rookie Eddie Basden is their biggest guard at 6'5. That weakness is going to keep the Bulls out of the elite in the East. Chicago will still play suffocating defense though, and could go as high as 6th, but an injury or two, and they could miss the playoffs.

Eyes On - Sweetney. A bit undersized and out of shape, but has a slew of post moves, gets to the line a ton, hits the glass hard, and is more athletic then you'd think.
Now or Never - Tyson Chandler. Always a superior defender, but now he will have to be at least serviceable on offense while playing starter's minutes at C.

8. New York - You know it's killing me to have the Knicks here, but I think NY has just enough talent for coach Larry Brown to work his restoration magic and get them into the playoffs. It's going to be ugly at first, but LB will eventually get the Knicks to play better defense and share the ball. Even if he has to annoy President Isiah Thomas into trading half the roster. The inevitable power struggle between LB and Isiah is what I find most interesting about NY. You know it's going to happen, it's just a question of when and how nasty it gets. The acquisition of Eddy Curry gives the Knicks a bona fide post presence on offense, and Stephon Marbury is still an upper echelon PG. Throw in Quentin Richardson, and that's three players who could start for most teams. However, NY is far from a lock to make the playoffs.

Eyes On - Trevor Ariza. Long and athletic swingman plays the type of defense LB loves. His lack of an offensive game will not deter LB from giving him minutes.
Now or Never - Curry. LB will not stand for his lack of effort on the defensive end or the paltry amount of rebounds he grabs for his size and athletic ability.

Also Ran's

Philadelphia - Sorry folks, but I have to ask, what did the Sixers do to improve themselves this off season? Signed FA's Steven Hunter and Lee Nailon you say. Ok, I'll buy that as a slight upgrade in their front court depth over Marc Jackson and Rodney Rogers from last year. After that? Ah yes, new coach and Philly legend Maurice Cheeks takes over for Jim O'Brien. That's only if you consider that an improvement though, which I don't. Sure Cheeks is going to be more player friendly and design the offense and defense around Chris Webber's strengths and weaknesses. But is that a really good thing? The last player's coach the Sixers had was Randy Ayers, and he lasted 52 games. Everyone knows Webber is a shadow of what he used to be, well, everyone except C-Web himself that is. Catering to what C-Web can and can't do is a good idea, but only if he accepts his role and doesn't try to do more then he's capable of. Is Mo the guy to keep him in check? Likewise, is Cheeks really going to have what it takes to stand up to Allen Iverson when he's up to his old tricks? Time will tell, but I'm doubtful. It's not all bad though. I expect Philly's offense to be more conventional this year, which should get everyone more easy looks. On defense though, I'm not as optimistic. I'm well aware that everyone hated Obie, but the guy had them playing some pretty good D last season (11th in opponents FG% at 44.3%). I'd be surprised if Cheeks can get them to play that type of D again. The Sixers back court rotation is another thing I worry about. After AI, it's not pretty. Kyle Korver, Kevin Ollie, and John Salmons? Yuck! The bottom line for Philly is how many games AI and C-Web miss. If Iverson plays in 70+, and Webber in 60+, they could squeak into the playoffs. Maybe I'm wrong, but I have a feeling that about half way through the season people are going to realize that Obie was not the problem with the Sixers, it's their lack of talent.

Eyes On - Andre Iguodala. Freakish athlete with a well rounded game. Already the team's defensive stopper. If he worked on his jump shot this summer, look out.
Now or Never - Salmons. Not a scorer, shooter, ball handler, or play maker, and only a slightly above average defender. It's his contract year, so he better find a niche.

Orlando - The Magic return basically the same team that missed playoffs last season. Doug Christie was waived via the amnesty clause, and first round pick Fran Vazquez (11th overall) decided to stay in Europe. Sharp shooter Pat Garrity is healthy again, and Keyon Dooling was their big FA signing. A pretty unimpressive first summer on the job for GM Dave Twardzik. Head coach Brian Hill is back for a second tour of duty, and while it is a form of poetic justice, I'm not sold on his coaching ability. Orlando's success this year depends on three things: Grant Hill's health, Dwight Howard's development, and Steve Francis' attitude. If any of those three things go south, so does any chance the Magic have of making the playoffs. If Howard explodes into a 20 point and 12 rebound player, Orlando could sneak up to 8th.

Eyes On - Mario Kasun. Croatian big man plays hard and is very active around the basket. He will see
consistent minutes off the bench if he can stay out of foul trouble.
Now or Never - Francis. His "Franchise" days are long gone, and if moving to SG doesn't work, he will be on his 3rd team in 3 years by the trading deadline.

Milwaukee - I really like the makeup of this team, and was tempted to put them in the playoffs, but a few things stopped me. First, I'm not a big fan of new coach Terry Stotts. Next, they lack quality front court depth. Mainly though, I can't see all 5 teams from any division making the playoffs in the same year. The Bucks will be much improved this season even if they finish last in the best division in the East. T.J. Ford's return to the court from his spinal cord injury will have Milwaukee running again. The addition of FA Bobby Simmons allows Desmond Mason to move back to the 6th man role he excels at. And if number one pick Andrew Bogut is just serviceable, that will be enough in his first year. It wouldn't surprise me to see the Bucks in the playoff chase, but realistically, they are probably a year away from being in the hunt.

Eyes On - Ford. Will he drive the lane and play with the same reckless abandon that he did before his injury? He'll be a difference maker if he does.
Now or Never - Jiri Welsch. Has been traded 5 times in 3 seasons, and his contract is up after this year. He can do a few things pretty well, but nothing at an NBA level.

Boston - It's hard for me to type this as a Laker fan, but I'm actually looking forward to watching this team play. The Celtics have young and talented players all over their roster, and I can't wait to see who can do what. PF Al Jefferson has by far the most upside of the entire group. With Antoine Walker gone, and Brian Scalabrine as his primary back up, Al Jef should get all the minutes he can handle this season. He showed a surprisingly polished post game for someone straight out of high school last year, but his defense still needs a lot of work. Boston has some veteran players in Paul Pierce, Raef LaFrentz, Ricky Davis, and Mark Blount, but they are clearly a team that is rebuilding. The Celtics will be competitive and play hard most nights, but their lack of a decent PG will relegate them to the lottery.

Eyes On - Justin Reed. Appeared in only 23 games last season, but is a rangy and tough defender with a decent in between game. Should see more time this year.
Now or Never - Pierce. He can either be the leader of the team through their transitional period, or sulk his way right out of town. The choice is his.

Charlotte - This may be a little too high to have them, but I think the Bobcats will play harder and more like a team then the two squads below them. They return the same young and promising front court of Gerald Wallace, Emeka Okafor, and Primoz Brezec. Their chemistry as a unit should improve with another year together in the same system, which should then allow each individual's game to flourish even more. With the additions of Sean May and Jake Voskuhl, Charlotte has some depth up front, but their back court is suspect at best. They employee a SG by committee approach, and their PG situation is only slightly better then that. The Bobcats should be in good shape this summer when they get the benefit of a full salary cap for the first time. Hopefully they'll spend their money wisely.

Eyes On - Raymond Felton. If he proves to be a legitimate PG that can a run an NBA team, GM/coach Bernie Bickerstaff will look like a genius.
Now or Never - Kareem Rush. He is a one trick pony (shooter) and a major softie. If it wasn't for expansion, I doubt he'd still be in the league.

Toronto - The Raptors will be able to put points on the board with scorers like Mike James, Morris Peterson, and Jalen Rose on the perimeter. Future star Chris Bosh will handle the scoring in the paint, and it looks like he'll have some help from rookie Charlie Villanueva. I think Sam Mitchell may be a good coach, but if the players won't listen, it doesn't matter. I see Toronto as the first team in the NBA to pack it in and start playing for individual numbers. They have some talent, but it doesn't fit together, and the general atmosphere of the team seems to be very poisonous. GM Rob Babcock and President Richard Peddie appear to be clueless, which has led to the franchise having no discernable direction. Bosh will be a restricted FA in two years, and if the Raptors want to keep him, they better get their act together quickly.

Eyes On - Attendance. This franchise is on the verge of becoming the Clippers North. If fan support continues to dwindle, they will be a prime candidate for relocation.
Now or Never - Rafael Araujo. The fact that he was the 8th pick in 2004 still amazes me. He's no more then a foul prone bruiser who is outclassed on a nightly basis.

Atlanta - The good news is that the Hawks will be a more entertaining team to watch this season. The bad news is that four of their starting five, and their 6th man, are all between 6'7 and 6'9, with more or less the same skill sets. The plan is to have four of them on the court together most of the time. That means at least two of them will be playing out of position at all times. Atlanta's big FA signing, Joe Johnson, can play and defend multiple positions, but he is NOT a starting PG. To have all those similar players without a true distributor is a recipe for disaster on offense. They were dead last in opponents FG% last year (47.6%), so they can only improve on the defensive end. The Hawks are still years away from being competitive on a regular basis, but at least now they have some trade assets to try and improve with.

Eyes On - Zaza Pachulia. FA big man was penciled in as their starting C before the sudden death of Jason Collier. Will see all the minutes he can handle now.
Now or Never - Al Harrington. It's never a good sign when the team drafts your replacement 2nd overall. I don't think there's anything he can do to avoid being traded.

Final Four - Indiana, Detroit, New Jersey, Miami
Eastern Finals - Indiana, Miami
NBA Finals - Miami

NHL Week in Review By : Ed Wasser

- Quick note....there will be no NHL Week In Review next week because I'm going to Denver next weekend. Unfortunately I have to go to Denver to claim the remains of my uncle Lt. Jebidiah Wasser who was lost in 1942 while parachuting over Colorado and his body was recently found. Uncle Jebidiah was a member of an elite fighting crew in the US Army Air Corps that was burdened with the responsibility of keeping America safe from Sasquatch. While in Denver I'm going to take in an Avalanche vs. Canucks game with tickets I bought with the money I got from selling the gold fillings in Uncle Jebidiah's teeth. I feel he would have wanted it that way. It should be an interesting game because it will only be the second time Todd Bertuzzi will play in Denver since he tried to kill Steve Moore. So I'll have a review of the game, teams, stadium, etc when NHL Week in Review returns on Nov. 7th.

- Only one game for the Flyers this past week, a 5 - 2 victory against the Leafs in Toronto. The game featured something I've never seen before, a shorthanded goal by Flyer Mike Richards while they were two men down. That's the hockey equivalent of back to back to back to back home runs. Leaf goalie Eddie Belfour was shaky at best, the aforementioned shorthanded goal and a later goal that was a deflection off Donald Brashear were both awful. Belfour has this thing during games when he gets behind were he seems like he loses interest in the proceedings and just goes through the motions. The Flyers as a whole played well despite a 4 minute, double minor penalty were they didn't register a shot. Flyers offense has averaged 4.3 goals over the first 6 games so far, which is below the league average, and are having a little trouble getting scoring from lines other then the Forsberg/Gagne line. And speaking of Forsberg.....I'm not stupid (after all I did go to the University of Phoenix), I know the guy is a great player, no doubt about it, his defensive positioning is perfect every time and he's the best passer in the NHL. But Ken Hitchcock is right, he has got to shoot more. Against the Leafs Forsberg had at least 3 opportunities when there was nothing between him and the back of the net except a weeble wobbling Eddie Belfour and he still continued to look for the pass.

- There's only a handful of things the NHL does right and retiring numbers is one them. Last week the Edmonton Oilers retired Paul Coffey's number before a game with the Phoenix Coyotes and through the majesty of cable TV I was able to watch the ceremony. First of all, the video tribute was right out of NFL Films. One thing NFL Films can do is take a team like the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers and through the use of slow motion and slick edits make the team look like the 1985 Chicago Bears. But, despite his awful stint with the Flyers, Coffey actually was great. And the video tribute made him look super human. Another cool thing, and I never knew this, is that every Edmonton Oilers game since their inception has been called by the same announcer, a guy named Rod Phillips. He was the on ice MC and introduced all the Oilers that have had their jerseys retired before Coffey; all the introductions started with a long preamble "this player scored X amount of goals and won X amount of Cups for the Oilers and is considered the greatest European player ever, yada, yada, yada.....ladies and gentlemen please welcome Jarri Kurri!!" These preambles also went on for Grant Fuhr and Al Hamilton. Then Phillips simply walks up to the mic and says "hockey fans......Wayne Gretzky". And the place went nuts, as it should. Of course when it came time for Coffey to give his speech he, like most hockey players, has the charm and out going personality of the average turtle. Cool tribute up until then though.

- Line of the week - From ESPN.com's Scoop Jackson during an interview on the Jody Mac show on Sports Talk 950 AM in Philadelphia regarding New York Knick Eddy Curry and the Bulls trying to force him take a DNA test prior to when they traded him to determine if he has heart problems..."the main problem was that it's illegal to make an employee take a DNA test in most states, you know it's not legal throughout all 52 states".

- Normally I would never write about women's sports because of the overall lack of athletic skill and the fact that nobody in America cares about women's sports, but this week..........is no exception.

- Couple notes from around the NHL......the Penguins are still winless. They have a dreadful defense and their goaltending is letting them down. I'm not saying it's time to hit the panic button but I'd tell Lemieux and company to at least keep the hammer to break the panic button glass close by....Preds are still undefeated, Paul Kariya is on fire....Talk about pressure, on Saturday the Canadiens had an 8 year old deaf child named Jeremy Gabriel sing O'Canada. The kid comes out and does a bang up job with the song. Canadiens' captain Saku Koivu skates over to the kid to congratulate him after the song when the kid asks Koivu to score a goal for him. Koivu gets flustered, not knowing what to do and says "yeah, sure". D'OH!!! So now Koivu is on the hook to score a goal for the kid. Well I guess someone was looking out for Koivu because he managed to do it.

- Jessica from Laguna Beach, a graduate of Laguna Beach High School, on MTV.com in response to the question "Where do you see yourself in 10 years?"........"I wanna travel all through Europe, you know like Italy, Spain, like Rome....that's in Europe right?"

- Another reason the NHL broadcasts on OLN are so bad is that the sound is terrible. The sound is kept at a level that is usually reserved for a guy talking on the phone to his girlfriend with his wife in the next room. ESPN used to put microphones close to the ice which would force the announcers to sort of raise their voices to be heard; the raised voices would sometimes cause a sense of excitement. A false sense of excitement, but excitement nonetheless. So far OLN is doing a bang up job, they show games you can't hear through cameras that look like they have vaseline on them.

Monday, October 17, 2005

Monday Morning Mehta 10/17/05

Edition # 136
October 17, 2005

Reminder: Next week is the return of Derreck Sura and his Eastern Conference Preview.

Rip-off Weekend...

NFL

In what looked like a weak NFL week, with no marquee matchups and no Eagles, turned into one of the best weeks of the season. Let's breakdown some of the better games.


Saints/Falcons. I'll call this Rip-off # 3 this weekend. This was like watching 2 anti-Eagles teams. There was over 350 yards rushing between the two teams. But this game will be remembered for a ridiculous penalty on a FG attempt by the Falcons with the score tied at 31 in the closing seconds. Todd Peterson, the Falcons kicker, missed the 41 yard FG attempt, but there was a phantom defensive holding penalty call. If you've ever seen a defensive holding call on a FG attempt please raise your hands...didn't think so. Needless to say Peterson made the next kick, 34-31 Falcons win. What a rip-off.

Cowboys/Giants. In what looked like an absolute bonehead decision by Tom Coughlin to put in the rookie Brandon Jacobs for his ONLY carry of the whole game with 1 minute left, down by a TD, only to see him fumble at the goal line, the Giants get a reprieve after the Cowboys go three and out. Jeremy Shockey, who I admit has been great this year, caught a TD pass with 25 seconds left. But the Cowboys won the toss and kick a FG in the first possession in OT to win 16-13. The Cowboys are going to be the Eagles toughest contest in winning the NFC East, and possibly the NFC overall as I've said since the beginning of the year. The defense is starting to take shape, which has been their weak spot.

Carolina/Detroit. This was an ugly game for the most part which turned into a great game in the last minute or two. Chris Weinke, yes, the old QB from FSU, replaced an injured Jake Delhomme to throw the go-ahead TD pass with 32 seconds left to another old man, Ricky Proehl. But the game wasn't over yet, as the Lions took the kickoff to midfield. Now, I'm going to take credit for predicting Joey Harrington's suckiness, but once again he had one of his WR's have a terrible drop on 2nd down in the closing seconds. It would've put the Lions in FG range. 21-20 Carolina.

Bengals/Titans. Two things about this game. The Titans had this game in their grasp. But Carson Palmer is absolutely amazing. There's no reason he can't be a top 5 QB in the league, if he isn't already. Yes, I just wrote that Palmer might be a top 5 QB. He's absolutely amazing. Secondly, great move by Jeff Fisher to kick the FG early on the final drive of the game down a TD (+2 pt conversion) and a FG. I don't see enough coaches doing that, instead the score the TD and leave themselves no time for their second score. Oh, by the way, Chad Johnson is a top 3 WR in the NFL.

Jags/Steelers. Jaguars were without Fred Taylor, while the Steelers didn't have Big Ben. Tommy Maddox was bad, but the Jags are 4-2 heading into their bye in great shape in the AFC. They have the tiebreak advantages over Pitt and Cincy. Their schedule lightens up considerably. I don't see a non-injury scenario this team not making the playoffs. Underrated good coach is Jack Del Rio.

Bears/Vikings. Just fire Mike Tice already.

KC/Redskins. Skins are in every game this year. Defense is awesome, Mark Brunell is playing well, but is one good hit away from being out.

NE/Denver. I don't know what's gotten into Denver, but they've won 5 in a row after getting creamed in the season opener versus Miami. And they've beaten San Diego, Chiefs, Jaguars and the Patriots to boot. The Patriots made a nice comeback effort, even had the ball with a chance to tie, but the 28-3 lead was too much to overcome.

SD/Oak. LT2 rushes for, catches a, and throws a TD. LT2 is the games best back, I think sometimes everyone knows that except his own coach. Why in the world did he only get 18 carries against the Steelers on Monday Night? Marty is a dope.

In what was probably one of the best college games in recent memory, USC scores a TD with no time left on a QB sneak by Matt Leinart. On the previous play, Leinart fumbled out of bounds and ball was placed on a one/two yard line. It looked to me like Leinart fumbled the ball closer to the three or four yard line. The clock probable should've been at 6 or 7 seconds, that seemed OK. But the ball spot is what I have the issue with. Should've been further back. Rip-off # 2.

And the # 1 Rip-off of the weekend is...the Penn St./Michigan game. I really don't have a specific reason, but with one second left, ONE SECOND, Michigan scores the game winner. One second! What a rip-off.

MLB Playoffs

The White Sox make the World Series for the first time since 1959. They'll face the winner of the Astros/Cards series in which the Astros lead 3-1. I think the Astros will close the Cards out tonight, and we'll have to wait until Saturday for another baseball game, but even if the series returns to St. Louis, I don't think the Cards can sweep Pettitte, Oswalt and Clemens. I'll predict the Astros to win the World Series in 6 games.

As for the Phillies, they've began to read my Post Mortem and have fired Ed Wade. In one of the greatest days in Phillies history, Wade was canned last Monday. My prediction as for his successor, is that this will be like the coaching search last year. They'll put on a charade and interview a bunch of people, but in the end, the candidate is already decided. Gerry Hunsicker will be the next Phillies GM, if I'm to venture a guess.

NHL Week in Review By : Ed Wasser

- Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhh.....my aching head!! Sorry folks but I'm really hung over. I was invited to a party last week a few buddies of mine on the Minnesota Vikings were throwing on a boat. I'll just say that Lake Minnetonka hasn't seen that much action since Prince convinced Apollonia to jump into the lake topless in 'Purple Rain'. Anyway, this party had everything; booze, celebrities, women with....well....questionable moral fiber. At one point I think I was cutting a rug with Pedro Martinez's midget buddy but I don't know if that actually happened or it was a tequila induced hallucination a la the penguin from 'Billy Madison'. At any rate friends of MMM, I'm listed as doubtful but I'm going to play anyway. Away we go......

- So so week for the Flyers. They lost last Tuesday to the Maple Leafs in game in which goalie Robert Esche continued his erratic play. The Flyers beat the Penguins last Friday 6-5 in a game they tried desperately to lose. Not only did the Flyers blow a 5-1 lead but Antero Niitymaki let up the most abysmal goals I've seen in years. He was cleaning the snow from the front of the goal while the referee dropped the puck on a face off and Maxime Talbot shot the puck from the far blue line into the goal. And it was the tying goal. Niitymaki was just standing there with his head up his....well, I'll just say his head wasn't in the game. Because of a strange twist of schedule the Flyers now have 6 days off. They will use this time to go to the US Army military academy at West Point, New York for "team building exercises". I'm just glad that even a pro sports team isn't immune to touchy/feely new age crap that most people who work in an office are subjected to all the time. I wonder what day is "Hawaiian shirt day" for the Flyers.

- One of my favorites players of all time, Brett Hull, retired from hockey this past week. It was a tough situation because Coyotes coach Wayne Gretzky is Hull's best friend and Gretzky was forced to significantly reduce Hull's ice time because of ineffectiveness. I always liked Hull for a few reasons. 1.) He was incredibly honest about the direction of the game when the clutching and grabbing was at it's zenith in the NHL. He once said about the new defensive style of the league that the NHL is boring and that he would never buy a ticket to watch it. 2.) Hull tried out for the Canadian Olympic team in 1984. Not only did he not make the team he was one of the first cuts. So, by virtue of the fact that Hull was born in Chicago while his father played for the Blackhawks, he had duel US/Canadian citizenship, so Hull played for the US. Well a funny thing happened after that, Hull became a great player. Coincidentally that's when the Canadians wanted him to play for Canada in the World Championships. Hull refused and played every international event throughout his entire career for the US because that was the team that gave him a chance when he really needed it. 3.) My favorite Brett Hull story. About 15 years ago the Blues were trying to add aerobics to their off ice workouts. Grown men doing aerobics is a little silly, at least that's what Hull thought. So Hull is doing the aerobics and they get to this move in which you have throw your hands in the air. Hull stops doing the exercise and starts to walk out of the room. They instructor asks him where he's going and Hull says "I don't need to do that because I did it 70 times last year". (He's referring to the 70 goals he scored the year before followed by throwing his arms in the air)

- Rapid Fire......Eric Lindros just passed Bob Clarke on the all time NHL points list and while he was at it Lindros knocked Clarke out of the top 100 goal scorers of all time. Hey Eric, if you get what looks like a present from Bobby Clarke honoring your feat, I'd have the bomb squad open it...the Penguins are still winless...Bill Romanowski announced he did steroids as an NFL player. And in another stunning announcement McDonald's has come out and said that teenage employees can sometimes be unreliable...The Sens and Preds are both 5 and 0, the same Preds I said would be an also ran in my preview. Oooops!...How does a guy from the Dominican Republic get the name Vladimir? (Guerrero)

- Three things people constantly ask me are 1.) Do you have any drugs or weapons in the car Mr. Wasser? 2.) What do you think of the OLN broadcasts of the NHL so far? and 3.) What do you think of Hilarie Burton (the hottest girl on TV) of One Tree Hill's new haircut? OK, one at a time, the answer to question one is no. Well.......usually. The answer to question two is the OLN broadcasts suck. First of all the picture is terrible. The picture is so terrible that it's hard to read the players' numbers. The intermission banter between the studio hosts is like listening to a 3rd grader channeling Henny Youngman at a talent show. ("I just flew in from Kalamazoo and boy are my arms tired!!") The rumor is an NHL network in high definition is in the works, and maybe it is, but for right now it's brutal. And finally my dear Hilarie. There is a law of nature as undeniable and irrefutable as anything Einstein worked on. It's this....there has never, ever, ever been an occasion in the history of mankind going back to when the cavemen walked the Earth that a girl with long hair cut it really short and it made her look better. Never, ever, ever.

- Well it was bound to happen. Bada Boom racing has had our first last place finish, and it couldn't have happened at a worse time. Clemente was running in the 7th race at Laurel Park Race Track in Laurel, Maryland last Saturday, 5 furlongs on the turf out of the number 3 post position. Clemente's usual pilot, Rodrigo Madrigal, was unable to come to the race because he had 6 mounts at Philadelphia Park that day and he decided that it was in his financial best interest to stay there instead of make the trek to Maryland. I can't blame the guy. So we were forced to hire a local guy named Horatio Karamanos. To be fair the guy did have a reputation as being a good jockey so it wasn't a random hire. The guy came into the paddock and he listened intently to the trainer, at least he looked like he was listening intently. The one thing about Clemente that I've heard from jockeys is that he's kind of a baby. So the trainer told Karamanos to "stay busy on him" which means ride him as hard as possible. He said "you can't jog him because he'll quit" which means if you don't get him in the front of the pack quick he'll lose interest, he has ZERO come from behind heart. Well the gates opened and it was like Karamanos was trying to do the direct opposite of what the trainer told him. He was high in the stirrups and he allowed the other horses to blow past him. It was a brutal ride but to be honest with you I doubt he had it in him to win, just way too much talent in the race, but I think he could have had a second or third with Rod on him.

Monday, October 10, 2005

Monday Morning Mehta 10/10/05

Edition # 135
October 10, 2005

www.mondaymorningmehta.blogspot.com

(Note: Special Guest Column below!)

From all of us at the offices of Monday Morning Mehta, we wish you a very happy, prosperous, safe, merry, and joyous Columbus Day. Now onto yesterday's debacle...

Eagles

Sometimes in the NFL there are games that you just "throw away" and don't worry about. Games that are just blips in the radar and have no significance in the grand scheme of things, games that should pretty much be forgotten the next day. This was NOT one of them...

Game Negatives:

- Front Four. There are two things a great defense always does; stops the run and pressures the QB. The Eagles front four does a decent job of holding ground during running plays. Through 5 games they've done a terrible job of rushing the passer. The Eagles will not win the Super Bowl if this isn't corrected.

- Special Teams play. Through 5 games Special teams has been very inconsistent. Giving up big yardage on kickoffs is a sure fire way to lose ballgames. I'm certainly not in a panic, yet, but losing Keith Adams and Ike Reese on special teams has to hurt.

- Lito and Sheldon. Now they get a pass because they've played so well for so long, but they didn't have a good game. They'll be fine, this is the least of the Eagles worries.

- Donovan McNabb. You can't go 10 TD's in the last 3 games and blame this one on the injury. McNabb just had a crappy game. It's going to happen, not a big deal.

Game Positives:

- None.

Overall, I think this loss would not have been so bad if it weren't for the way the Eagles have started every game this year. I attribute much of the Eagles early game woes to the fact that teams recognize the Eagles are the team to beat especially in the NFC, and teams are more jacked to play the Birds than other teams. Even so, falling behind so much so quickly is a huge problem.

My first two negatives are what the Eagles need to work on in the bye week. Front four pressure, and special teams. Javon Kearse needs to wake up. He's always been inconsistent but this is ridiculous.
(Reaching here)...Maybe Jerome McDougle needs to return to give a jolt to this line.

I'm not going "We miss Corey Simon" just yet. I'm not at that stage of panic. Talk to me in Week 12 though, I might be then.

3-2 going into the break is probably about right for this team. Road games at Atlanta, KC and Dallas to start the year is no picnic. The Eagles can easily win the last 6 games of the season, if not the last 8. 11-5 or 12-4 still looks easily attainable.

Around the NFL

Teams I'm impressed with:

Jacksonville. They can run the ball, have a great defense, and a tough QB. If the WR's would catch the ball, they'd really be something.

Seattle. Beating the Rams isn't exactly news. But they didn't have their top 2 WR's and plugged in Joe Jurevicius and DJ Duckett (who?). Matt Hasselbeck is returning to his 2003 form. This could be a team to watch out for if the defense steps it up. They've played every game tough, they doinked a FG that would've beaten Washington and played Jacksonville tough in Jax.

Patriots. Not because of the way they played, but this team just refuses to lose 2 in a row. And they've won in Atlanta and in Pittsburgh. They're going to slip up often this year because it's almost impossible to win 3 straight Super Bowls, but this team is an awesome dynasty. Adam Vinatieri is unreal.

Teams that stunk:
Baltimore. The defense is a joke. Ray Lewis is quickly becoming the most overrated player in the NFL. Watch out Sapp! They had a ridiculous amount of penalties and Brian Billick is losing control quickly. That's what you get Brian when you think you're smarter then everyone and think Anthony Wright and Kyle Boller can be your QB. I was totally wrong about the Ravens this year and am already throwing in the towel, they pretty much did yesterday.

Saints. You can't give up 52 points to anybody, ever.

In other news, the NFC North is wide open. The NFC West was thought of as being the worst division, it's looking like this will be the one.

Should be a great game tonight and a great indication of how good both these teams are.

NHL Week In Review By : Ed Wasser

- Guess who's back? Eddie's back. Thanks for your patience but last week I was in Chicago attending a convention of the Millennium Men. It's a support group for guys that have slept with over 1000 models in the last year. The group mostly exists to help guys like me deal with the exhaustion that comes with all those sleepless nights. Without that group I'm a 30 second sound bite "Ed Wasser, ex child star, found dead". (I played Cha-Ka on the TV show Land Of The Lost) I'm a car crash man, and you have every right to slow down and watch the car crash. Anyway, observations from the Windy City.....

- It's a long story, and this is not a joke I swear, but I actually was granted a private audience with William "The Refrigerator" Perry. Yes...THEE Refrigerator Perry who parlayed being a fat ass, a ridiculously bad lip syncher (See : Shuffle, Super Bowl), and a first round draft clown into a career. He handed me an autographed picture (which I did not ask for) and I shook his mitt. I'd put the autographed picture on the MMM website but we can't seem to master that technology. If you want to see the picture...I dunno...I guess you could come over my apartment and look at it. Bring a pizza and beer though. At any rate I made an observation and asked Billy Fridge, as us friends of his call him, "why don't you wear your Super Bowl ring?" "Because I don't!! I KNOW I WON A SUBBA BOWE!!!" Well as the years have gone by Mr. Fridge has become a wee bit ornery. I'm not sure but I'm guessing it may be because he has blown by just being fat about 17 exits ago and is now residing in the Jabba The Hut Look-a-Like Club. Fridge looks like he's a Snickers away from exploding like that python that tried to eat an alligator. Fridge's head is so big that if it was a pumpkin you could carve into it a portrait of the entire roster of the 1982 Montréal Expos and that's including Rodney Scott, Rowland Office, and ex-Philadelphia Phillies great Randy Lerch.

- I attended the Blackhawks/Ducks game while in Chicago. Few thoughts....I'm on the record as saying the Blackhawks are a Mickey Mouse organization because of their ownership. All of their home games are shown pay-per-view style and NEVER shown in bars which is a disgrace; why the commissioner allows this to go on I have no clue. Now I know just how Mickey Mouse the Blackhawks really are. First, the White Sox were playing while the Hawks were playing. Guess how many times they flashed the Sox score at the Blackhawks game? Zero. None. That means that people were leaving their seats while the Blackhawks were playing to go check the score of the Sox game. That's just bush league. And how about this.....every score shown on the "Out Of Town Scoreboard" was listed as 0-0. Even when the Flyers were winning 3-1 against the Rangers the scoreboard had 0-0 listed. The only reason I had any clue what was going on in the Flyers game was because Saurin text messaged me. BUSH LEAGUE!!!!! The Ducks won the game 5-3. The Blackhawks were totally out classed by a team that will probably be a decent but not great team and Matthew Barnaby was already in mid-season form by becoming completely unglued about 10 minutes into the game and taking an impossibly idiotic double minor, stick to the face, penalty early in the game which helped the Ducks immensely.

- Bob McKenzie had a great point on TSN Canada. He said that Oct. 15 will be the first pay day for NHL players and that will be the exact day that an incredible amount of sticker shock will set in. McKenzie believes that a lot of players aren't 100% sure just how much they gave up in the new CBA or even what they agreed to. Man I wish I had a hidden camera when the players open those envelopes and let out a collective "WHAT THE %#@&$!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!" when they see the check amounts.

- New rules, the whole shebang and Panthers goalie Roberto Luongo opens the season with back to back shut outs?!? And one of those shut outs was against the defending Stanley Cup champs Tampa Bay Lightning. Are you kidding me? That kid is a stud. I mean super stud. And anybody that thinks that Martin Brodeur is the best goalie in the league needs to get the NHL Center Ice Package and watch a few Panthers games.

- It absolutely had to work this way.....the first shootout in NHL history happened on opening night at the end of the Ottawa/Toronto game in Toronto. And of course it had to be a Senators victory. The reason I'm saying this is because the people in Toronto are hockey purists/arrogant hockey jerks that HATE the shootout. So now I'm watching the Canadian broadcasts of some of the out of town hockey games and Leaf apologists who do the commentating talk about how the Leafs were screwed and that they probably would have won if Mats Sundin wasn't injured and unavailable to participate in the shootout yada, yada, yada. AHHHHHH....JUST SHUT UP!!! The shootout is a great, long overdue idea. And incidentally all this anti-shootout talk has a very anti-American tone to it because a lot of Canadians believe it's the American mind set after all that can't handle tie games. Let me ask a question to all the casual hockey fans out there and even those of you that don't really care about hockey.....all 99.9% of you. Take a random Tuesday night NHL game between the Blue Jackets and the Thrashers, if you're flipping through the channels and you came across the game and a shootout was just about to begin don't you think you'd stop and watch it? I'm pretty sure you would, I'm pretty sure most sports fans would. It's one of the most compelling things in all of sports and certainly the most compelling thing that occurs in a game that was D-E-A-D dead as recently as 4 months ago.

- By the way I found a great website www.leafssuck.ca And another thing, and I don't know why this bothers me so bleeping much but it does. Every team in the NHL has "Thank You Fans!" written on the ice right by the blue line. Every team, that is, except the Leafs. They have on the ice "Thank You LEAFS Fans!". That just aggravates me.

- OK...rapid fire thoughts. The Penguins goaltending is HORRENDOUS... Don't let the Rangers beating the Flyers on opening night fool you, the Rangers will still suck... The Panthers have no scoring... From Glenn Healey on TSN Canada regarding Mats Sundin's puck to the face injury and why more players don't wear visors "I played with a lot of guys that didn't wear cups. If they're not concerned with protecting their family jewels DO YOU THINK THEY CARE ABOUT PROTECTING THEIR FACE!!"... Jessica from "Laguna Beach" is crazy underrated hot... All the ushers at the United Center carry little stop signs that they hold up in your face if you try to go to your seat while the puck is in play.... I'm hungry, I might order a cheesesteak... These new rules are great. It was never really about goals as much as it was flow of the game. I've watched games that had back to back to back breakaways. Just awesome up and down action... Brett Hull's father Bobby wears the most ridiculous toupee this side of Jerry Jones and Burt Reynolds... The only thing that sucks about the Center Ice package is that the games go off the air less then a minute after they become final. So if you turn the channel and don't come back to a game you can miss the final score... I just watched Paul Kariya of the Predators beat his old team, the Mighty Ducks, in shootout. The shootout rules.

MLB - MMM Playoff Prediction update

After one week of the MLB playoffs, the NL goes as expected, a Houston/St. Louis NLCS. This should be a great series to watch once again, but this year, it won't be overshadowed by the Yanks/Sox (well, it might, but it'll be the wrong colored sock). Phil Garner vs. Tony LaRussa is a very scary proposition, since Phil has a way of doing some very strange things (like taking out his best hitter for a pinch runner yesterday or throwing Brad Lidge 27 pitches in a blowout). But the Astros seem to have a lot of momentum. In the end, I just think the Astros have too much pitching for the Cards, and even though the Cards have had the Astros number, I think Andy Pettitte will be the difference. If Garner decides to go 3-man rotation, Pettitte could pitch in 3 games with Oswalt and Clemens pitching in 2 of them. That'll be too much for the Cards to handle. Gotta stick to my prediction, Astros in 6.

In the AL, I'll stick with the Angels winning the pennant. Whoever wins tonight's game will take the AL. I know Chicago has the magic rolling right now, I just don't like their matchup vs. either of these teams.

Phillies - Special Guest Column

We have a special guest column today to talk/b$tch about Phillies baseball. Dan "Spark" Wasser gives us his thoughts on the Phillies future.

Another year has gone by and the Phillies are on the outside looking in as the playoffs begin.. While they fought hard that's still little consolation for the fans who have now seen their team miss the playoffs 12 years in a row.. Today I would like to give my 8 things the Phillies need to do to make the playoffs in 2006... In no particular order.

8) Show Charlie the door. If there's one thing I hate in baseball it's managers with no instincts. In other words managers who go by the book all the time. That to me is Charlie Manual. That lefty vs. righty matchup and vice versa is as old as baseball itself but sometimes the numbers will show you're better off leaving your hitter in the ballgame. Time and time again I saw Manual pinch hit, say Tucker for Lieberthal, because of a matchup. What did Manual see in Tucker in the last month that made him believe he's a better hitter than Lieberthal in any spot?? In fact Lieby was one of our better hitters down the stretch. You can't pinch hit for Lieberthal who has had 3 at bats for a cold Michael Tucker because of matchups. It's by the book managing. His use of Endy Chavez down the stretch was laughable. We saw him pinch run Chavez for Burrell on 3rd base yet keep Bell who's every bit as slow as Burrell on 1st base and watch hit get thrown out at 3rd. His reasoning was defense, Bell had 20 errors. Not to mention he has no problem taking Burrell's bat out of the lineup but he'll keep Bell...Wha?? His misuse of the bullpen was terrible, Urbina and Madson had nothing left by the end of the year. But I'll get into that later...I can go on and on but you get the picture.

7) We cannot have David Bell back as a starter. I don't care if Bell makes 4.5 million next year, we cannot have him back as our 3rd basemen. He's a gritty player but with limited ability. He lacks speed, his range is limited he hit .199 against right-handed hitters, made 20 errors and seemingly half of them were extremely key. He has no power and his OBP was terrible. If we can't move him he must be strictly a platoon or bench player. This is where Ed Wade, if he's here, must do some maneuvering and see if Mike Lowell has something in the tank, or maybe an Edgardo Alfonzo if the Giants agree to pick up some salary. But NO Bell. He will be a year older and in my opinion will be worse next year.

6) Resign Kenny Lofton.. A lot of people wondered if K Lo had anything left in the tank and the answer is yes. The guy is just a professional ball player. He works pitchers well, he's a great baserunner, and he's the without a doubt the best bunter and at the age of 38 stole 22 bases. His 396 OBP was second on the team and he gives the team a proven winner. The dude was a force in September and always has been...If he wants a 2 year deal fine give it to him.

5) Resign Billy Wagner. Wags is the closest thing to a lock you're going to get. The home run to Biggio was killer but don't forget what preceded that, Bell's error and an infield hit. He's a top 3 closer who wants the ball. He speaks his mind about the fans which is annoying, but if he saves games who really cares. Apparently he wants a 3 year 27 million dollar contract with a no trade. I say give it to him. The money is reasonable and if the Phillies are struggling Wags would more than likely waive his no trade to a contender.

4) Look to trade either Abreu or Burrell. Both had solid numbers but I'm convinced both of them in the lineup just doesn't work. The reason being is the 294 strikeouts between the two. That's a ton between your 3rd and 4th hitters. Burrell was pretty consistent all year, where except for May, Abreu was pretty mediocre. His 6 homeruns after the ALL Star Break was subpar. (I'd be surprised if we see a Phillie in the HR derby again ). They both have about the same OBP, but where Abreu has it over Burrell is his speed. Abreu is a threat to steal where Burrell is a statue. Hence the big difference in runs scored. So I'm not sure who I personally would like to see go. I do know when the game is on the line Abreu and Burrell are way down the line in Phillies I want to see up. That scares me. Anyway, I would like to see them trade either two for a contact hitter who can steal bases, i.e. a Carlos Lee for Posednik move the White Sox made. Or maybe a 3rd base prospect and proven pitcher.

3) The pitchers must go deeper in games. Too many times Chas pulled the pitcher because of pitch count or inexperience i.e Tejeda or Brito without a thought of what he's doing to his bullpen. The starting pitchers and Chas were both at fault, as a starter you have to be ready to go 9 that HAS to be your thought process. More than likely that won't happen but you can't look at 6 innings as a quality start. That means coming out of spring training you have to be in shape to go 9. Got that Myers. And Chas had to use his head, using Urbina and Madson every night killed them. And remember if they're tired a 4 out save for Wagner will not kill him. Rivera does it all the time. Goes back to my "by the book manager"!!

2) Need Jimmy Rollins of Sept all year. Not the Jimmy who batted 400 in Sept that's impossible. The Jimmy who worked pitchers, saw a ton of pitches as a leadoff hitter, and always seemed to hit his pitch. When he's on his game the Phillies are a completely different team. He steals bases and is undoubtedly the best baserunner on the team. It's simple when he's on he scores. I have said many times Jimmy's not a leadoff hitter but came to realize he's not going anywhere, and because of his speed he has to hit in the top of the lineup. If he hits 7th and gets on and steals, it's walk Lieby to get to the pitcher inning over. So here's hoping Jimmy got it this year, though he was on fire last Sept. as well. Still most everyone knows I think Rollins is the best SS in the NL and if he plays anything like he did in Sept there should be no argument.

1) What to do with Thome?? Because rest assured Ryan Howard is not going anywhere. This question will be asked all offseason. Whatever they do it won't be easy. They'll most definitely have to eat some of his salary and remember he has a no trade clause. But will the Phillies be willing to eat a portion of his salary or will they try to move Howard to the outfield.. An experiment that failed last year. I say no, leave Howard alone a move to the outfield could certainly affect his bat. There's rumors of him making a return to Cleveland to finish out his career. I think that would be a perfect fit. Looks to me the Phillies have to bite the bullet on Thome and move on. I heard an interesting point that Howard will play like a 14 million dollar player while making a very minimal salary. Maybe that's one way of looking at it.

Monday, October 03, 2005

Monday Morning Mehta 10/3/05

Edition # 134
October 3, 2005

www.mondaymorningmehta.blogspot.com

Ed Wasser will return next week, he's in Chicago covering the Blackhawks/Mighty Ducks game for MMM. He'll have complete analysis next week.

EAGLES

In what I consider one of the best regular season victories of the Andy Reid era, the Eagles come roaring back from a 17-0 and 24-6 deficit to beat the KC Chiefs 37-31 in a hostile Arrowhead Stadium.

Game Positives:

- Donovan McNabb & Terrell Owens. I couldn't really tell which guy was better here but both played awesome after falling behind early. They both had some mistakes, but Owens was open on just about every play. McNabb also made some great throws while sitting in the pocket and taking some shots.

- Jeremiah Trotter. I may have gone out of control yesterday but I'll stand by my comment...Trotter is the best MLB in the NFL. I've given him heat in this section for his pass protection, but nobody controls the line of scrimmage against the run better than this guy right now. Ray Lewis is a shell of his former self, James Farrior is playing great, but right now I want this guy. Trotter was all over the field after the score was 17-0 and held a powerful Chiefs running attack to almost nothing.

- LJ Smith. One could say that Smith is only getting open because coverages are concentrating on Owens, but the Chiefs didn't bother to cover Owens yesterday. Smith is leading NFL in receptions and 2nd in yards (for TE's only).

- Sheldon Brown. This is an easy one. I've contested all along that Brown is the better CB over Sheppard, but at this point who can tell the difference. Both CB's are playing phenomenal.

Game Negatives:

- Artis Hicks. I realize he was in and out of the game with an injury, but it seems that Hicks is the weak man on the line these days. Still, the line is playing very well (I'll put a caveat on that saying they haven't been facing good defensive lines....the one they did they got beat up good (Atl)).

- Special Teams. Don't know about you, but a missed extra point, a missed 40 yarder, a fumble on a kickoff is not a good day on Special Teams. Todd France recovered nicely, as did the rest of the team forcing a Dante Hall fumble that pretty much iced the game.

Overall the Eagles put themselves in great shape heading into a big game in Dallas. Dallas is going to be a hungry team as they don't want to fall to 2-3, so expect the best out of the Cowboys.

Javon Kearse played his best game of the year.

Mike Patterson has been an absolute force so far in the middle of the line. The ends have to play much more consistent for the Eagles. They need to find this years Derrick Burgess.

I'm going to try and get through one Eagles recap without complaining about not running the ball.

I thought the timeout by the Eagles with 1+ minute left in the first half would come back to bite them. It didn't. Still, they need to manage the 2 minute drill clock a little better.

Is there a better home environment in sports than a Chiefs game at Arrowhead?

One has to wonder what impact not having Freddie Mitchell had on the Chiefs.

Where was Tony Gonzalez? Troy Aikman kept bringing it up and he was right. If Michael Lewis is covering Gonzo that leaves a lot of the field open. Coming into the game I thought Gonzo was going to hurt the Eagles badly, as I'm worried about Jason Whitten next week.


Around the NFL

The San Diego Chargers thump the New England Patriots 41-17 in Foxboro. While most Pats fans probably don't care because they're too busy worrying about the Red Sox this weekend, this was an ugly loss. I don't think this is one where the Pats can blow off as a fluke. The defense is hurting badly right now. The Pats are in trouble right now and it won't get any easier as they travel to Atlanta next week.

The New York Giants move to 3-1 with a blowout victory over the Rams. Eli Manning to Plaxico Burress is looking like a great combination. Giants haven't faced a test yet and have a pretty easy schedule in the first half, so I expect them to stay in the playoff hunt all year.

Denver gets an impressive victory in Jacksonville, which certainly will help them down the road in tiebreakers. After getting thumped by Miami on Opening Day the Broncos were the laughing stock of the league. Now they're 3-1 laughing atop the division. The NFL is insane.

The Redskins move to 3-0 with a victory over the Seahawks. The Seahawks had a chance here but doinked a FG off the post with time running out in regulation. Redskins at 3-0 just seems like it's a mistake. Joe Gibbs isn't dead yet.

Dallas had a chance to improve to 3-1 as they drove down the field late in the game. Bledsoe couldn't get it done though. Yesterday was a game where if the Cowboys had a legit QB, they win.

Phillies Post-Mortem

The Phillies season comes to a crushing end as they fall one game short of the Astros. As in prior years, as the playoffs start we do a Phillies post mortem.

1. Starting Pitching. I think there's one lasting memory I'll have of the Phillies this year, and that's the 5-2 lead over the Mets that was blown by Ugy Urbina in the final week. What does that have to do with starting pitching? The Phillies have a bunch of starters who go 6 or 7 innings and give up 2 or 3 runs. While that is a quality start, over 162 games you're going to kill your set up men. Ryan Madson and Ugy Urbina were on fumes late in the season. I'm not in dream world, I know there isn't such a thing as a 9 inning pitcher any more, but just look at every playoff team. They have one or two stud pitchers who can and have gone 8 innings many times throughout the season. An 8 inning performance rests your bullpen during a victory. The Phillies do not have an 8 inning pitcher and just about every victory required using a setup man like Madson or Urbina. In the end, that costs them too many W's.

2. Consistency on offense. This sounds general, but that's because I think the whole Phillies offense has this problem. Pat Burrell runs too hot and cold. Chase Utley has was streaky this year. Bobby Abreu is consistently on base, but he's in the middle of the lineup and can't have a home run in 8 straight games in May, and only have 24 the whole year. Player of the month in May, nowhere to be found in July. I am not picking on Jimmy Rollins, but having a 36 game hitting streak on the heels of hitting .188 in August is unacceptable. What I'm saying is, the sum of all this is the Phils offensive core. Our best hitters were all very inconsistent this year. That's a recipe for 12-2 victory one night, and 3-1 loss the next, something the Phillies have done way too much of the last few years.

3. David Bell. Rarely do I think one guy is responsible for the demise of a team, but over 162 games Bell has botched so many games, it's mind boggling. Just think to yourself, that if Bell doesn't make an error in the final game of the Astros series, the Phillies are in the playoffs right now. I can almost live with a pathetic bat, but when you make key errors and baserunning blunders (need I remind the first to third on Beltran this week?), that's when you got to go. Bell's contract is high, but $5 million is tradable. Ship him back to Seattle and pay most of his salary.

4. Ed Wade disease. Fans are disgusted just looking at this guy. There isn't any scenario I can see Ed Wade being a GM on a World Series winner, so why have him? The fan feedback has been so negative towards this guy it may force Dave Montgomery to make a change, let's hope so.

5. The Cholly factor. How many games did Charlie Manuel cost us? I don't think this team played very differently this year, as opposed to the last few. 88 wins is more then Larry Bowa ever got as a Phils manager. Manuel is a terrible in game manager and would be exposed pretty badly in a playoff setting. If this team gets serious next year and hires a new GM, they should get Lou Pinella, but he probably wants the Yankees job and may wait out Joe Torre.

Offseason Moves

I'll go into further detail in the coming weeks for next year, as of right now I don't think this team needs a major overhaul, but they do need a little more then a tweak. I'm not going crazy and saying they need to trade Pat Burrell or anything like that, here's some quick thoughts for next year:

- Need to find an ace. Not Jon Lieber. I said an ace. Somebody who has 9 inning possibility every time. Smoltz, Beckett, Pettitte, Oswalt, Peavy, Carpenter, Willis, Hudson, Schmidt, Sheets are the type of names I'm referring to and that's just in the NL. There's aces out there.

- Need to resign Billy Wagner. They can't go into the season with Urbina as the closer. They just can't.

- The Ryan Howard/Jim Thome controversy will be the defining moment of the off season. I'm worried that this turns into a Polanco/Utley situation from earlier this year. Expect the Phillies to explore Abreu in center with Howard in left, even though they've unsuccessfully tried Howard in the OF before.

Pre-season picks - In the NL I got 2 out of the 4 playoff teams. I also precisely picked the Phillies win total (88) as well as the win total for the wildcard (89, by the Astros). Over in the AL I got 3 out of the 4 right there. 5 out of 8 isn't bad, but I need to do better then that to make up for the Mets pick from 2003...

MLB Playoff Preview

Yankees vs. Anaheim. The Yankees celebrated winning the AL East on Saturday. Only to find out the Indians kept choking, which meant that they'd be playing the Angels in the division series. This is an absolutely disastrous matchup for the Yankees. The Angels have handled them very well since 2002. I don't expect this to be any different, Angels in 5.

Red Sox vs. White Sox. Which White Sox team shows up is obviously what is important here. Both bullpens are hurting, White Sox have the pitching edge, and the Red Sox have the offensive edge. The x-factor will be Jose Contreras, who has gotten beat up badly vs. the Red Sox his whole career. Red Sox in 4.

Astros vs. Braves. Haven't we seen this before at nausea? Astros broke through vs. the Braves finally last year. I guess you got to like the Astros pitching, Astros in 5.

Padres vs. Cards. Is anyone watching this? Cards in 4.

Right now my pick for the World Series would have to be Houston vs. Anaheim.