Monday, January 31, 2005

Monday Morning Mehta 1/31/05

Edition # 103
January 24, 2005

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Super Bowl Preview

As the New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles land in Jacksonville, the week long hoopla for Super Bowl Sunday begins in earnest today. Countless hours of pre-game shows, previews, predictions and analysis.

Before we get into our version of all of the above, I wanted to comment on a few things:

First off, I spent a few days last week in enemy territory. Right outside of Providence, RI for a day and right outside of Foxboro, MA for another day. I could actually see Gillette Stadium driving into work Friday morning. The reason for my visit is because my 'other jobs' corporate headquarters are in Massachusetts. I often go there for meetings. In previous years it was very nice and pleasant. I've always loved Boston and in fact even thought of myself as a fan of some of their teams (see ugly Red Sox shorts). But lately it has gotten vomit inducing. The people there have transformed from the jovial, "Hey anything can happen in sports" type of fan, to a "We're the best and nobody can beat us" fan. In all honesty, the Boston fan has turned into the NY Yankee fan. There is no other way to describe it. You'd think a city that has won 2 of 3 Super Bowls on last second field goals, added to the fact that they were 14 point Underdogs in their first Super Bowl just 3 years ago, would realize that it's anyone's game. No, not these idiots. The whole feel, the whole talk of the town is that there is no chance the Patriots can be beat. It's not just people I talk to. It's the newspapers, the sports talk shows, the local news broadcasts, etc. An independent football fan living in Mass had this to say, "The Patriot fan has become extremely cocky. After beating Indianapolis the way they did it was like nobody could beat them. They won't even hear that this is going to be a close game".

Secondly, the New England fan and the players are begging...begging to find something an Eagles player says to latch onto for motivation. This can't be a good sign. I noticed this when Mike Vanderjadt said something a few weeks ago before the Colts game. The Patriots players made a big deal about that, in fact using it as motivation. Then came the Steelers and some things said by Plaxico Burress about the game earlier in the year. Now, they are latching onto something Freddie Mitchell said. If you actually watched him when he used the quote (and not read it in black and white) you would've realized it was absolutely not trash talking and Freddie was just, well, being Freddie. Then Rodney Harrison sends back an insulting jab back to Freddie, to which Freddie has actually retorted without any trash talking. The Patriots players act as if they're Gods. It's quite annoying. I guess they have earned the right to do so but it has gotten ridiculous.

Lastly, the Terrell Owens fiasco. Doctors can say whatever they want to but he's going to give it a try, that's for sure. Word is he'll play on third downs and 3 WR sets. If anyone has watched the Eagles they play 3 WR sets often so expect to see a lot of Owens.

Now onto the game preview:

Eagles on Offense/ Pats D:
This is the area I think the Eagles must exploit this team. The pass defense is very, very weak. You may ask well how did they only give up 3 points to the Colts. For those who saw that game the Colts rushed about 3 guys on Manning all game, dropped everyone else back into coverage on passing situations. The Patriots would never deploy such a defense against the Eagles because Donovan McNabb could run for about 200 yards against that scheme. So on first down this team must pass at least 60% of the time. This is a stat I will track for you next week. The Steelers did not do this, instead decided to run every first down and make the game completely predictable. The Eagles must also go downfield on first down. Not just 4 yard receptions. Todd Pinkston deep. Yes I said Todd Pinkston. The corners for the Patriots aren't very good and Pinkston may be able to make some plays downfield. Of course, the go to guy on 3rd downs will be Brian Westbrook. Westbrook should have 8 receptions or more in this game. The Patriots game plan of defense should take a page out of Jim Johnson's book and blitz, blitz, blitz. The Eagles WR's minus Owens will need some time to break lose from the CB's. They certainly aren't strong off the line of scrimmage.

Eagles on Defense/ Pats O:
The Patriots have played a very similar offense to the Eagles in the past few years up until Corey Dillon's addition. But they tend to use Dillon a lot more in the 2nd half of games, working in the pass in the first half. Look for the Patriots to go four WR's, which they do often early in this game. Bill Belichick is the master of finding your teams weakness and exploiting it. The Eagles weakness of defense? No, not the rush, it's Roderick Hood, the # 3 cornerback. I expect the Patriots to try to exploit Hood versus David Givens, David Patten or Deion Branch. Hood is going to need help, which means Michael Lewis and Brian Dawkins are going to play huge roles in this game. As for Jim Johnson's game plan, blitzing this team may cause some problems.

Special Teams:
This is an area the Eagles have an advantage over most teams. But Adam Vinatieri alone gives the Patriots a huge advantage. The Eagles can counter that with Brian Westbrook returning punts. If Westbrook can have one return that gives the Eagles either a score or changes the momentum of field position, etc, that will give the Eagles a big advantage.
Prediction: Obviously, as the homer that I am I will be picking the Eagles to win this one. It's tough to pick against the Patriots, but I had New England versus Philadelphia in the preseason with the Eagles winning, and I am not about to change that now. I've bashed Andy Reid for not running the ball more many times, but I think this is one game where his stubbornness to pass will help this team greatly. Eagles win handily, 38-20!

NBA - Derreck Sura

Since every team has played 41 games or more, it's time for my 2nd annual 'Mid-Season Report'. No need for more preamble, let's get right to it.

*Teams I had making the playoffs in the pre-season.

EAST (+/- leader for each team)

1. *Miami (33-13) Damon Jones +7.0

Good-The play of Dwyane Wade, who in only 4 more minutes per game is shooting better from the field and free throw line, as well as averaging more points, assists, rebounds, steals, and blocks then his rookie year.

Bad-They get little, or no, production off the bench.

Rookie-Dorell Wright, 19 year old has been on the injured list all season long, and has yet to see
even a second of game action.

Outlook-I see GM Pat Riley adding something to this roster before the trading deadline, but barring a major injury, the Heat should be the top seed in the East.

2. *Cleveland (26-17) LeBron James +10.6

Good-Kevin Garnett nicknamed Bron "The Gift", and I couldn't agree with that handle more. James has increased his field goal shooting, 3 point shooting, points, rebounds, assists, steals, and blocks while growing into his role as team leader, and is still only 20 years old.

Bad-Still lack a consistent outside shooting threat.

Rookie-Anderson Varejao, Brazilian big man is very active on the glass, and always plays with lots of energy and enthusiasm.

Outlook-The Cavaliers may stumble a little down the stretch of the season due to their inexperience, but a top 4 seed should remain a possibility.

3. *Boston (21-23) Paul Pierce +7.9

Good-Coach Doc Rivers has them running and playing an exciting brand of ball, much to announcer Tom Heinsohn's delight.

Bad-Mark Blount has been erratic at best after signing a 6 year 38 million dollar contract in the summer.

Rookie-Al Jefferson, high school big man is very active around the basket, has a nice low post game, and is a good rebounder. Probably deserves more minutes.

Outlook-The Celtics need to improve their defense and rebounding to make the playoffs, because they aren't consistent enough on offense to outscore teams every night.

4. *Washington (26-17) Antawn Jamison +12.0

Good-Gilbert Arenas, Larry Hughes, and Jamison breathing life into this once dormant franchise by being the only trio of teammates to average better then 20 points a game.

Bad-Kwame Brown only appearing in 14 games due to a right foot/ankle/arch injury, and the team not missing him.

Rookie-Peter John Ramos, 19 year old from Puerto Rico has played 12 total minutes, and is a big (7'3, 275) time project.

Outlook-If the Wiz can survive Hughes' absence, and a harsh schedule from mid-February through the end of March, home court might not be out of the question.

5. *Detroit (26-18) Richard Hamilton +10.3

Good-GM Joe Dumars' straight up fleecing of Utah for Carlos Arroyo.

Bad-The entire team caught a bad case of Laker-itis, and have been going through the motions most of the year.

Rookie-Carlos Delfino, Argentinean swing man has struggled all year with an injured right knee, but he looked like a very solid role player when he was healthy.

Outlook-The Pistons will be a very tough out come playoff time, and still can make a run at the top seed if they get their sh*t together in the near future.

6. Orlando (24-19) Hedo Turkoglu +5.3

Good-Grant Hill finally remaining injury free and becoming a productive player again.

Bad-One of only four teams that give up 100 points or more a night.

Rookie-Dwight Howard, has a chance to average a double-double, which would be a major accomplishment for a 19 year old. The sky's the limit on his "upside".

Outlook-The Magic can score points with the best of 'em, which should be enough to get them to the post season. I don't think they play enough D to advance though.

7. Chicago (22-20) Kirk Hinrich +9.2

Good-They play hard every night, and surprise teams with their defensive intensity. Coach Scott Skiles also deserves credit for pulling this team together after a very rough start to their
season.

Bad-Other then their 0-9 start, Hinrich's hair could use some work.

Rookie-Luol Deng, great versatility on offense and defense. Doesn't seem to have the makings of a star, but he could certainly be a quality #2 or #3 guy for many years.

Outlook-The Bulls hold their opponents to the lowest shooting percentage in the league (41.2%). If they can keep that up, the playoffs are a definite possibility.

8. *Indiana (20-22) Jamaal Tinsley +11.8

Good-Coach Rick Carlisle mixing and matching his lineups and game plans to get the most out of his team and keep them afloat in the wake of the 'Malice at Auburn Hills'.

Bad-Ron Artest. No need to elaborate.

Rookie-David Harrison, very patient on offense using his size and moves on the block to shoot 58.2% from the field. Made the most of his opportunity after the "brawl".

Outlook-With Stephen Jackson back, and if Jonathan Bender could ever stay healthy, the Pacers may have enough to win the East, even if Artest isn't reinstated.

*Philadelphia (20-23) Kyle Korver +11.9

Good-Allen Iverson's successful transition to PG. Which has led to him becoming more of a leader on and off the court.

Bad-Samuel Dalembert's inconsistent minutes. It'll be hard for Sam D to ever reach his "potential" until coach Jim O'Brien shows more confidence in him.

Rookie-Andre Iguodala, may never be a big time scorer, but has the athletic ability and basketball IQ to excel in all other facets of the game.

Outlook-The Sixers should win the Atlantic Division if AI stays healthy, only to be promptly dismissed in the first round.

*New York (18-25) Stephon Marbury +18.2

Good-Nazr Mohammed averaging career high's in points, rebounds, blocks, steals, and free throw percentage.

Bad-Lenny Wilkens "resigning" after only 81 games as coach over 2 seasons.

Rookie-Trevor Ariza, long and athletic swingman does a little bit of everything. He still needs some polish, but that will come with time. Thee steal of the draft.

Outlook-On paper the Knicks have the talent to make the playoffs in the East. So the question is, can they develop enough chemistry and heart to make a run?

New Jersey (18-26) Jason Kidd +12.4

Good-Owner Bruce Ratner admitting that letting Kenyon Martin go for 3 future first round picks was a mistake.

Bad-Richard Jefferson's season ending left wrist injury.

Rookie-Nenad Krstic, good scoring ability around the basket, and a decent rebounder, but very foul prone. Needs to improve his strength and defense.

Outlook-The Nets would be better served "coasting" their way to a high lottery pick, because they are not playoff material this year.

Toronto (18-27) Morris Peterson +8.0

Good-GM Rob Babcock making the decision to jettison a sulking Vince Carter, and build the team around 2nd year big man Chris Bosh.

Bad-No takers for Jalen Rose and the 3 years 47 million left on his deal.

Rookie-Matt Bonner, hustles, does the little things, and has a nice touch for someone his size with range out to 3. Should have a long career as a role player.

Outlook-I don't think the Raptors have enough to make the post season, but they can put points up in a hurry, making them the perfect "spoiler" in the East.

Milwaukee (15-27) Zaza Pachulia +3.1

Good-Desmond Mason and Dan Gadzuric blossoming into solid NBA role players.

Bad-Michael Redd's impending free agency.

Rookie-None.

Outlook-While the Bucks do always play hard, they just don't have the talent to compete with the top teams, even when taken lightly.

Charlotte (9-32) Gerald Wallace +4.5

Good-Their starting front line of Wallace, Emeka Okafor, and Primoz Brezec, while lacking experience, has been very solid none the less.

Bad-Just 27th in home attendance.

Rookie-Okafor, smart, hard working, team player that cleans the glass, blocks shots, plays defense, and can score with his back to the basket. A future All-Star.

Outlook-The Bobcats are still a few years away from contending for a post season berth, but I really like the blueprint GM/coach Bernie Bickerstaff used to build this team.

Atlanta (8-34) Peja Drobnjak +10.5

Good-Only 40 games left.

Bad-They let their opponents shoot a league worst 47.1% from the field.

Rookie-Josh Smith, above average shot blocker and rebounder for his size due to his insane vertical leap. Must develop some type of offensive game.

Outlook-The Hawks will have high draft pick, and a ton of room under the salary cap this summer, but recent history suggests they won't be able to put either to good use.

WEST

1. *San Antonio (36-10) Tim Duncan +15.7

Good-They still play some of the best defense in the NBA (#1 in points allowed 86 ppg & #2 in opponents shooting 41.8%), but this year's team is even more dangerous because they can score, as evidenced by their league leading +10.8 point differential.

Bad-The play of Brent Barry, who laid a similar egg after he signed a big money deal with Chicago prior to the '98-99 season.

Rookie-Beno Udrih, plays under control, makes good decisions with the ball, is a great passer, and rarely turns it over. Prototypical PG.

Outlook-The Spurs are thee team to beat. Only a serious injury to Duncan will keep them out of the Western Conference Finals.

2. Phoenix (36-10) Steve Nash +13.4

Good-Most entertaining team to watch in the entire league. They also score the most points (109.4 ppg), and Nash's play is the main reason for both.

Bad-Their starting 5 plays an awful lot of minutes, sometimes unnecessarily so as I see it.

Rookie-None.

Outlook-If Nash or Amare Stoudemire gets injured, the Suns could drop a few spots. The big question is, will their style of play translate into success come playoff time?

3. Seattle (30-12) Ray Allen +15.3

Good-Coach Nate McMillan taking the reigns off and letting this team play a helter skelter 3 point shooting style with very little play calling. Which makes them almost impossible to scout.

Bad-Will have 8 free agents this summer, including the coach, 3 starters, and their top 2 bench players.

Rookie-Nick Collison, very competitive, plays hard, won't back down from anyone, has plenty of post moves, and can rebound some. Could develop into a solid #3 option.

Outlook-I see the Sonics falling a few places (record wise) in the second half because their defense isn't good enough to carry them when their 3's aren't falling.

4. *Sacramento (30-13) Mike Bibby +10.8

Good-They still possess some of the best team chemistry in the NBA (#1 in assists 24.8 apg), and are seemingly flying under the radar for the first time in a while.

Bad-Losing Bobby Jackson for the season to a left wrist injury crippled their depth.

Rookie-Kevin Martin, hasn't played much, but is a nice athlete. Won't stick in the league unless he bulks up.

Outlook-I think the battle for the Pacific crown (and #2 seed) between the Kings and Suns will be the most fun division race to follow over the last month of the season.

5. *Dallas (28-14) Dirk Nowitzki +23.7

Good-They are finally playing some defense, holding their opponents to less points per game
(96.2-100.8) and a lower shooting percentage (43.3%-45.9%) then last year.

Bad-The injury bug has kept them from ever really having their full rotation of players together for an extended period of time.

Rookie-Devin Harris, has all the tools to be a top flight scoring PG. Just needs time to develop and gain experience.

Outlook-The Mavericks are the dark horse in the West. They can play fast or slow, have the depth to match up with any team, and have a superstar in Dirk.

6. Memphis (25-20) Shane Battier +11.4

Good-The team embracing coach Mike Fratello's defensive system 16 games into season, and only giving up 100 points or more 4 times since.

Bad-Pau Gasol going on the injured list with plantar fasciitis in his left foot.

Rookie-Antonio Burks, has only appeared in 5 games, but seemed to be a shoot first PG with
some quickness from what I saw.

Outlook-As long as Pau's injury isn't serious, the Grizzlies' depth, defense, and 3 point shooting should be enough to get them into the post season.

7. *Lakers (23-19) Jumaine Jones +11.3

Good-Kobe Bryant becoming a true team leader on the floor by making a concerted effort to
share the ball, and off the floor by finally trying to be one of the fellas.

Bad-Coach Rudy Tomjanovich not devising a scheme to take advantage of Kobe and Lamar Odom's assets when they're on the court together.

Rookie-Sasha Vujacic, must improve his decision making, defense, and strength. All he does is jack up 3's, and I have yet to see him display any playmaking skills.

Outlook-For the Lakers to make the playoffs, they must stay above .500 until Kobe returns, or else their daunting 2nd half schedule will be too much to overcome.

8. *Minnesota (24-20) Kevin Garnett +12.7

Good-Coach Flip Saunders moving Wally Szczerbiak to the 6th man role has seemed to improve
their team chemistry.

Bad-KG not stepping up to tell Latrell Sprewell to check his attitude at the door and start giving 100% again....or else.

Rookie-None.

Outlook-If the Timberwolves can play at a high level over the last month, they'll have a chance for home court in the first round, and be very dangerous in the playoffs.

*Houston (24-21) Tracy McGrady +9.1

Good-Coach Jeff Van Gundy adjusting his offense after approximately 1 month of play by making T-Mac the focal point, and Yao Ming the 2nd option.

Bad-Still one of the most painfully boring teams to watch league wide.

Rookie-Andre Barrett, very quick, good handle, and likes to penetrate and kick out to open
shooters. His jumper needs a lot of work.

Outlook-After starting the year very shaky, the Rockets appear to be headed to the post season. Howeva, they don't have enough overall talent to be title contenders yet.

Clippers (21-23) Elton Brand +12.5

Good-They have great chemistry, and play "team" oriented ball on both offense and defense.

Bad-Losing 19 year old phenom Shaun Livingston to a dislocated right kneecap after only 11 games.

Rookie-Quinton Ross, good defender, plays hard, and will help out on the glass. Not much of a scorer though. A future defensive specialist.

Outlook-The Clippers are still too young and inexperienced to make the playoffs, but they do have some nice pieces (that fit together) in place for the future.

*Denver (19-25) Andre Miller +5.7

Good-GM Kiki Vandeweghe moving swiftly to hire new head man George Karl when he saw that the team wasn't improving under interim coach Michael Cooper.

Bad-Losing starting SG Voshon Lenard for the season in game #1 to a torn left achilles tendon.

Rookie-None.

Outlook-If Karl can get the Nuggets to improve their defense and play with intensity every night, they may still have an outside shot at a post season berth.

Portland (17-25) Joel Przybilla +2.7

Good-Przybilla has posted career high's in points and rebounds, to go along with 4 double-doubles, since he was inserted into the starting lineup 10 games ago.

Bad-GM John Nash's inability to make the necessary trade(s) to improve team chemistry.

Rookie-Sebastian Telfair, extremely quick with the ball and can get by just about anybody. Needs to improve his decision making, jumper, and strength.

Outlook-The Trail Blazers perpetually need a major roster shake up/attitude change, and until that happens, they will continue to be a lottery team.

*Utah (15-30) Andrei Kirilenko +18.7

Good-AK-47 finally returning from an injured right knee after missing 26 games.

Bad-GM Kevin O'Connor allowing coach Jerry Sloan's old school principles to dictate a highly
questionable personnel move.

Rookie-Kirk Snyder, good athlete and defender who can do a little bit of everything. Has the makings of a solid role player.

Outlook-The Jazz have fallen too far behind to make the playoffs, but AK-47's return, coupled with the fact that they always play hard, makes them the West's "spoiler".

Golden State (12-32) Calbert Cheaney +4.5

Good-GM Chris Mullin locking up 24 year old's Jason Richardson and Troy Murphy for 6 years each (130 million total) before they hit the free agent market this summer.

Bad-Mullin signing Adonal Foyle (29) and Derek Fisher (30) for 6 years each (88 million total)
last off season.

Rookie-Luis Flores, PG size (6'2), with a scorer's mentality, but can't create his own shot on this
level. Absolutely has to develop some PG skills if he wants to stick.

Outlook-The Warriors are well on their way to their 11 consecutive lottery appearance, but they do have two solid pieces to the puzzle in J-Rich and Murphy.

New Orleans (8-35) Baron Davis +8.0

Good-Dan Dickau (4th team in 3 years) making the most of his opportunity, and becoming a fan
favorite for his play, rather then being the last man off the bench.

Bad-Baron, Jamaal Magloire, and Jamal Mashburn appearing in a combined total of 28 games.

Rookie-J.R. Smith, outstanding athlete with 3 point range, but tends to disappear at times. Needs to develop a mid-range game and become more consistent.

Outlook-The Hornets should have no problem "playing" their way into the most ping pong balls for the lottery.

NHL Week in Review By: Ed Wasser

- Just in case you've been drinking mind altering amounts of tequila while living in a cave on Pluto and you believe that the NHL is close to the NFL in popularity there's this; The Sporting News came out with it's 'Power 100 List' last week. The highest ranking hockey official on the list was NHLPA president Bob Goodenow at #39, followed by NHL commissioner Gary Bettman at #40. Wow, not a bad showing by the NHL. Yeah but guess who, or should I say what, was ranked #38? That would be Janet Jackson's right boob. Ummmm.....that's not a joke, I'm not clever enough to make that up.

- Hey Curt Schilling...why don't you take two minutes off from kissing that mirror to read this. I found this as a microscopic blurb in last week's 'The Hockey News'. Calgary Flames prospect Byron Ritchie scored a game winning shoot out goal, his second of the night, to win a regular season game for Rogle of the Swedish Elite League. When the game was over it was discovered that Ritchie played the entire game on a broken ankle. Not an injured ankle, a BROKEN ANKLE. I'm sure this story will be splattered all over the sports pages from coast to coast, from pillar to post, and all the ships at sea just like Schilling's injured ankle was.........any day now. Any day now.

- There was a great article in Saturday's NY Post by Larry Brooks. Essentially his point was that NHL commissioner Gary Bettman is holding his ground on this hard cap but the question is why? First off Bettman's job is to be on the side of hockey...owners and players...not just a few small market owners. Think about it, even with the old rules the profitable franchises were the Wild, Stars, Kings, Devils, Thrashers, Bruins, Blue Jackets, Predators, Lightning, Blues, Ducks, Blackhawks, and Sharks. The franchises that were making truckloads of dough are the Flyers, Rangers, Canucks, Maple Leafs, Canadiens, and Avalanche. So these profitable franchises are dying for what? The league is being held hostage by a handful of teams. That's insane. As they said on Star Trek..."the needs of the many out weigh the needs of the few".

- This will be a book so get ready. Here we go.....my mother works for ex-Temple University basketball great Bill Mlkvy. For those on the West Coast who may not know who he is, Bill Mlkvy was a star for the Owls in the late 40's. 'Sport' magazine dubbed him 'The Owl Without A Vowel'. Mlkvy also played for the old Philadelphia Warriors but his time as a professional was cut short by the Korean War. Mlkvy also served as the president of the Sixers/Warriors Alumni Association and he also happens to be a hell of a nice guy. Last Monday, at a gala banquet, Mlkvy received the 'Living Legend Award' from The Philadelphia Sports Writers Association and due to the fact that I have some low friends in high places my mother, Saurin, and I were able to score some tickets to the banquet. OK so the stage....she is set. We walk into the event and literally the first person we collectively lay eyes on is Temple University basketball coach John Chaney who was also scheduled to accept an award that night.
First of all, in person, Coach Chaney's face is not unlike that of the Black Eyed Gila Monster found in the lower portions of Caracas, Venezuela. It's an odd looking mug to say the least. Anyway, also attending the banquet were Flyers John LeClair, Keith Primeau, former Flyers Bernie Parent and Ron Hextall, Dallas Star Chris Therein, Phillies' manager Charlie Manuel and Phillie Jim Thome, Oakland Raider Rich Gannon, St. Joseph's University basketball coach Phil Martelli, Phillies' announcer Harry Kalas, ex-Villanova basketball great Ed Pickney, and every significant sports writer in the Delaware Valley including 2/3rds of the staff of MMM. But I digress; so Saurin, my mother and I make our way to our table and we find ourselves at a back row table but in the center, definitely primo seats. As we take our seats ex-Philadelphia Eagle/ex-Detroit Lion and current Philadelphia sports anchor Gary Cobb is at the podium giving a.....I guess speech is the word.

Now there's an undeniable law that is right up there with anything Einstein or Stephen Hawking have ever worked on. The law is NOT BEING PREPARED + NOT BEING CLEVER + NOT BEING WITTY = PUBLIC SPEAKING FAUX PAS. It never, EVER fails. If you want to test this theory find the least clever person you know and ask him to do a spur of the moment toast at a wedding...then watch the hijinks ensue. Anyhow Cobb's speech was a rambling hodge podge of nonsense that was starting to serve as annoying background music while everyone just ate their salads. Then out of the clear blue sky Cobb says, I'm totally paraphrasing this, that he is a staunch conservative and staunch supporter of the president. Saurin and I look at each other like 'ahhhh......well.......that's nice.....I guess'. The statement had nothing to do with anything. Then Cobb, again out of TOTAL LEFT FIELD mentions John Chaney by name saying that, by the way he runs the Temple University basketball program, deep down Chaney must be a conservative too. Chaney is at the head table SEETHING. A little background here; every Christmas Eve John Chaney appears on a local TV show called 'Daily News Live' and this past Christmas Eve he BLASTED George Bush, the war, and the state of Ohio for casting the deciding votes for Bush.

Chaney blamed Bush for having young people killed for no reason yada, yada, yada. In short Chaney, who is a volatile guy to begin with (just ask John Calipari) has been called out by Gary Cobb about an issue he's VERY passionate about. Cobb tried to make the comments he made to Chaney seem light hearted but war and death are not joking matters. So Cobb has lit a match, put it on the fuse and it's just a matter of time for this bomb to explode. OK...halftime.

- Allright I'm back. I needed a break to watch 'One Tree Hill'. Here I go again on my own....the banquet proceeds as normal. Ohhhh....one quick thing. Flyer Keith Primeau got an award for Philadelphia athlete of the year. During his acceptance speech Primeau says that he played every sport as a kid including football and baseball and in the middle of his speech he just froze. I mean he totally froze. Primeau says "I lost my train of thought".......................................followed.......................

by...........................the .....................longest...................
.......................awkward..................................pause
..............................................in........................the.............
.....................................history .......................................of
............................... the..............................................................world. It really made the whole room squirm. Back to the story. So the moment of truth. John Chaney is announced and he goes up to accept his award. By the way, Gary Cobb had already left because he had a shift to do on WIP radio in Philadelphia. So Chaney takes the mic. I gotta paraphrase Chaney's rant so I don't miss a thing. One of the first things Chaney said was when he died he wished he could come back as a football player so he could "kick Cobb's ass!" Chaney starts really tearing Cobb to shreds.
Chaney says that Cobb doesn't know anything about anything and he starts rattling of Supreme Court cases. 'He doesn't know about Yada vs. Yada and he doesn't know about So vs. So', it was at this point that the crowd started getting unruly. Chaney starts talking about the 1400 Americans that have died in Iraq and that the president lied when somebody in the audience yelled out 'the election is over!!' Now Chaney is fighting with the audience saying essentially that it's my party and I'll rant if I want to and if you don't like it, tough crap!! The rant continues and another guy yells 'sit down!!!' I believe it was at this point that Chaney realized that this had become a total train wreck. Saurin and I had a real sense that we were witnessing something that would be a major controversy. Chaney started calling off the dogs. Eventually he just said 'thank you' and 'when I speak, it's always from the heart'. Wow. This controversy was the talk of Philadelphia and MMM was there to report on it first hand.

- Few more observations from the banquet....I always find it strange seeing famous people doing mundane, everyday regular people stuff. I once saw actor Tim Robbins riding a New York City subway. At the banquet I saw Ed Pinkney at the ATM. I guess even ex-NBA players run out of cash sometimes. Ron Hextall looks like he aged 20 years since 1997. Jim Thome received the 'Good Guy Award'. After the ceremony he was bombarded by autograph seekers and eventually had to be whisked off by a bodyguard, a la Elvis, out of the hotel. By the way, message for Jim Thome, it makes no sense to have a bodyguard that is smaller than you. Ex-LaSalle coach Speedy Morris was dressed in a Jon Runyan jersey and pretty much did a comedy act on the mic. It killed. He was great. The Eagles, immune from bad press right now, failed to send a representative to the event. The Sixers were also unrepresented but they were beating up on Shaq and the Heat at the time so they had an excuse.

- Brace yourself because I'm fairly certainly this sentence has never been uttered before let alone written....OK....ready?....I'm am totally looking forward to the next season of the Ashlee Simpson Show. I just gotta see the backstage shenanigans behind the Saturday Night Live lip synching debacle and the live Orange Bowl performance that was so bad it is currently being used by hunters to lure in mating mountain goats.

- Just in case you didn't get the memo I'll just let you know that it just became official, the world as we know it revolves around ex-Philadelphia Eagle great Chuck Bednarik. At least that's what Bednarik believes. Never in my life have I seen or heard a more pretentious, bitter, crabby bastard than Chuck Bednarik. Bednarik feels like the Eagles owe him a living even though he's 40+ years past his retirement. A little background....Chuck's original beef with the Eagles had to do with not being asked to continue coaching during training camp when Jerry Williams and Ed Khayat were the Eagles head coaches back in the early 70's. Chuck got pissed because he believes the head coach should answer to him. So he made it loud and clear that he was at war with the Eagles. When Dick Vermeil became head coach he reached out to Bednarik and stroked his ego enough that he buried the hatchet. After Vermeil left Bednarik restarted the war with the Eagles because he was pissed that the organization didn't invite him to give a speech at training camp. All the while Bednarik constantly complained that at his peak he only made $24,000 and that the current day players, making millions of dollars, couldn't carry his jock. He even said Deion Sanders couldn't tackle his wife. I just looked it up....Bednarik was an offensive and defensive lineman and the Hall of Fame lists him at 233 lbs. That's only 33 lbs. more than current Eagles kicker David Akers and more than 100 lbs. lighter than current Eagles offensive lineman Jon Runyan. Maybe Bednarik could play linebacker in today's game but we'll never know because it's two different eras which makes his bitterness even more pointless. Now Jeff Lurie owns the team and again he reached out to Bednarik trying to bury the hatchet. Bednarik's ass was sufficiently kissed so AGAIN he deemed the Eagles worthy of his presence. Well, a few years ago Bednarik puts out a book called 'The Last of The 60 Minute Men' and at Eagles training camp he tells, not asks, TELLS Jeff Lurie to buy a 100 copies of his book (100 books @ $15 a piece = $1500) and give them out to the team. Lurie tells Bednarik that it would violate about 5 NFL rules starting with the fact that the CBA states that the owner is not allowed to give out gifts to the team. Bednarik says that the gift is not from the owner, it's from him. Hmmmm......$1500 for a "gift". Some gift. Lurie explains again he can't do it, it's against league rules. That seems easy enough to understand huh? Bednarik admits at this point he called Lurie a "sorry son of a bitch" and now he's going off on the Eagles every chance he gets. Bednarik is saying he wants the Patriots to win the Super Bowl and he hates the Eagles yada, yada, yada. Even Hall of Fame writer Ray Didinger, who is often on local TV and is a great guy, said Bednarik is a bitter old man that needs to bury this beef. Yo Chuck...GROW UP!!!

- Chad Lewis gets hurt and tells the Eagles to sign his buddy Jeff Thomason as his replacement on the Super Bowl roster. Wouldn't it be funny if Thomason had a huge game and the Eagles kept Thomason and cut Chad Lewis next year? 'Sorry pal, you can have my old job at Toll Bros. construction if you want. You start at $9.00 an hour'. Seriously, if Thomason scores a touchdown in the Super Bowl...win, lose, or draw...he'll be a legend in this town. If he scores the game winning touchdown William Penn's statue on top of City Hall will immediately be blown to smithereens and replaced by a statue of Thomason. I love the 'we're all in this together' aspect of this whole thing. If you're a citizen of the Delaware Valley and the Eagles call on you, you gotta go...no questions asked, like a draftee from World War II. This is only a step above losing an offensive lineman and the mayor of Philadelphia and Andy Reid finding the biggest bouncer at a strip club in the city and saying 'look Tiny, your team and your city need your help. What do you say buddy? Can we count on you?' Hell, I would do it. 'Look Ed, we know you haven't played competitive football since you were in 6th grade. We also know that everyone on the field will be bigger than you and out weigh you by 50 lbs. but we need you to play on the kick off and punting teams....just bust ass down the field and try and make a tackle. I'm sorry to tell you that league rules say we can't pay you a dime, in fact you have to pay for your own hotel room, air fare, and food. So, what do you say, you in?''Oh yeah....I'm in. Let's go!!'

- Fairway Miss was scheduled to run last Friday but was scratched by her trainer the morning of the race. Fairway has had some ankle swelling and the trainer believed running her on the frozen hard sand may make it worse. This is the toughest part of owning a race horse; it's not a race car, it's a race horse and problems can occur that can keep it off the track. But you know what doesn't stop...the bills. Food, trainer, veterinarian, lasix, etc. So while hanging around with toothless, greasy haired old men at the track and listening to stories about our exercise rider and our jockey fist fighting each other and cursing each other out while attending a birthday party at Chuck E. Cheese (true story) may seem glamorous, it's not all peaches and cream. She'll probably run again around Feb.12th.





Monday, January 24, 2005

Monday Morning Mehta 1/24/05

Edition # 103
January 24, 2005

After 24 years of agony and suffering the Philadelphia Eagles return to the Super Bowl. 3 NFC Championship losses with Marion Campell, Fred Bruney (die hards will remember this), Buddy Ryan, Rich Kotite, Ray Rhodes, Randall Cunningham, Jim McMahon, Brad Goebel, Jeff Kemp, Pat Ryan, Bubby Brister, Ken O'Brien, Jay Fielder, Doug Pederson, the list goes on and on. It's all over now. It's in the past. We have NFC Champions now. The last head who took the Eagles to the Super Bowl still has his face plastered all over the city. We're in the Super Bowl now, but just like the team, we're happy but the goal hasn't been accomplished yet. One more game remains, and it will be a game to end a dynasty on February 6th. We've got a lot cover, lets get to it...(BTW, my preseason Super Bowl picks were dead on)

Game Positives:

a. Derrick Burgess. The prevailing thought around the league is that the Tampa Bay Bucs have as much success as they do against Michael Vick because they have Simeon Rice on the left side (his throwing and strong running side). Rice creates havoc for Vick who can't get into a rhythm. Derrick Burgess was absolutely an impact player yesterday. The best part was he rarely over pursued and never got caught off guard. Great game by the former third round pick.

b. Jeremiah Trotter. The axe man has been on fire. The intensity Trotter brought was unmatched these last two games. I've preached over and over again that the last two NFC Championship games were lost because our defense was simply outplayed by the other teams defense. That wasn't the case this year.

c. Brian Dawkins. Can't go without giving props to the man who may have made the biggest play of the game. Dawkins second half interception gave the Eagles a 20-10 lead and a late McNabb to Lewis TD put the final nail in the coffin.

d. Brian Westbrook. Once again proves he is the key to this offense.

e. Keith Adams. Adams was all over the place. I just wish we didn't have to see his face and those awful teeth in the post game interviews. f

. (Courtesy of Jim Grebe, longtime MMM subscriber) Dirk Johnson. In a game with howling winds and field position, Johnson had a two very effective punts into the wind giving the Eagles field position advantage all game.

g. MMM for predicting a NE/Philly Super Bowl at the beginning of the year.

Game Negatives:

a. 5 catches for the WR's. Freddie Mitchell was nowhere to be seen besides a 3rd down conversion. Greg Lewis had a very nice long catch but this team needs T.O. badly for the Patriots.

b. The fake FG early in the game. If I'm going to rip Mike Tice for not just going for it last week, I have to be consistent. Bad move by Reid.

Overall I thought Donovan McNabb's play was a B-. He missed a few receivers in the middle part of the game, but he didn't turn the ball over which is what kills you in these games (he had 5 INT's in the previous 3 NFC Championship games,). McNabb did fumble twice but they were both recovered by the Eagles. Don't discount the pressure on McNabb either. As we've seen many times in the playoffs, winning under pressure is incredibly difficult. McNabb was under the most pressure of any player in the NFL bar none...I think he'll play much more relaxed and confident in the Super Bowl.

As I said before, the defense came up large. The Tampa defense outplayed our defense and we lost. Ditto on Carolina. But this time the Eagles defense came to play and made things happen.

T.O. will play in the Super Bowl forget everything else that you hear. He'll start and play a majority of the plays. Owens was even seen running pass patterns last Thursday and Friday (you'll probably hear Peter King "break" this later today).

It's funny how fans, coaches and even the media take on the personality of the team and head coach. Everyone felt the pressure and the tension yesterday, and after the victory it was pure jubilation for only a little while, then it was onto next week. I really love the words coming out the Eagles players mouths after the game. Great joy for the victory, but clearly an intensity that the job's not done yet. I don't want NFC Championships, I want Super BowlS...to get BowlS you got to get one and you got to get there first though. We're finally back, lets not be satisfied by just getting there.

Patriots 41 - Steelers 27
I would say Bill Cowher choked again in the big spot, but this Steelers team really overachieved this year. A rookie QB, an aging RB, and injuries didn't stop this team. The Patriots were and are just a better team. Nonetheless, I think if the Steelers had done a few things differently they could have won this game:

1. Throw the ball on first down. The Pats are vulnerable to the pass when they are in run defense. The corners aren't good matching one on one. They covered this in the Indy game by never getting into a run defensive package.

2. Run the ball on 2nd down. After passing on first they should've run on 2nd. See the Rodney Harrison pick for TD on 2nd and 6 and the dropped TD by Burress on 2nd and goal.

3. Pound the ball 4 times with Bettis on 1st and goal from the 5 early in the 4th Quarter. Kicking that FG ended the game.

Tom Brady is awesome. He throws a deep ball just about as good as any QB in the game. He's the best QB in the game right now and if there's any question about that, you're just not paying attention. The Eagles face the New England Patriots in an "as predicted by MMM Super Bowl match up".

The line is currently Eagles -7 with an O/U 48. That line may not move too much from the TD spread. We'll give a full breakdown and a prediction next week. There is absolutely a way to beat this Patriots team, don't miss it in next week's MMM.

As a side note, I think I'm going to head to Jacksonville. Something tells me I have to be there. I know it'll be fun here in Philly, but I just love Eagles road games, and this one could be for the ages.

NBA - Derreck Sura- The Sixers (18-21) moved into 1st place in the Atlantic Division by going 2-1 on the week . Philly's toughest stretch of the season, which began back on 11/27/04 in Orlando, ends Saturday in Dallas. I like the Sixers' chances to make the playoffs since they managed to stay in contention over this 2 month period. If Allen Iverson plays in the majority of their remaining 43 games, Philly should win what is by far the worst division in the NBA. The next 2 weeks bring the Sixers: Miami, @Washington, @New Orleans & @Dallas (back to back), Indiana, Houston, Atlanta, Clippers. 4-4 would be good, 5-3 would be great, but 6-2 is probably fantasy land. Beginning with the Pacer contest, Philly plays 8 of 10 games at home, so this is a prime time for the Sixers to create some separation between themselves and the rest of their division.

Sixers quickie: Did you know that Derrick Coleman played a total of 39 games after GM Billy King signed him to a 3 year extension on 8/6/03? (The last year of DC's contract was bought out by Detroit on 1/5/05 when they waived him.)

- The Los Angeles Lakers are 22-16, and currently hold down the 6th seed in the Western Conference. L.A. has gone 4-1 since Kobe Bryant severely sprained his right ankle against Cleveland on 1/13 (Kobe only played 6 minutes). If there every was a good time for the Lakers to lose Bryant, who leads his team in minutes (42 mpg, 1st overall), points (27.5 ppg, 2nd), assists (6.6 apg, 11th), steals (1.35 spg), triple doubles (4, 1st), and turnovers (4.4 topg, 1st), it is now. The team will be in L.A. from 1/16-2/5, or 9 games, with the only "road" game being against the Clippers. Kobe was off his crutches on Friday, but will still be out until 1/31 at the minimum. For the Lakers' sake, Bryant better not miss too much more time then that. Starting on 2/6 L.A. plays 24 of their final 38 games on the road. Included in that are stretch are their two longest road trips of the year (5 games from 2/6-13, and 6 games from 3/10-18). The Lakers also play 5 of 6 on the road from 4/2-10, and 8 of 9 away from home on 3/10-24. The final section of L.A.'s season is particularly brutal. Starting on 3/31 they play Min, @SA & @Mem (b2b), @Phx, Hou & @Sea (b2b), @Sac, Phx, Sac, Dal & @GS (b2b), @Por to finish up. Vlade Divac could possibly return in early April from surgery to repair a herniated disc in his back, and the Lakers will most likely need whatever he is able to contribute to make the playoffs. Being that the Lakers are my favorite team, I've seen just about all of their games (except when I was on vacation).

L.A. plays their best when they are pushing the tempo and attacking the basket. The problem is the Lakers' PG play, with Chucky Atkins and Tierre Brown, is inconsistent at best. L.A. struggles with it's half court offense, so when the PG's aren't pushing the ball, the team tends to stand around, watch Kobe (Lamar Odom now) work, run the shot clock down, and settle for long jumpers. This lack of movement without the ball also plays into L.A.'s hoisting of too many 3 pointers. It's nice when they make 'em, but when they miss 'em, they lose. The Lakers are 11th in scoring (98.3 ppg), and make the 3rd most 3's per game (8.1), but they also attempt the 3rd most 3's (22.7 pg), while only shooting 35.6% from behind the arc (13th overall). Even though L.A. is 10th in opponent's shooting (43.8%), and 1st in turnover differential (+3.07), they have trouble against teams that can run as good as, or better then, they can. The reason being that the Lakers lack the offensive firepower to stay with the truly elite high scoring teams, and when they get caught up trying to match them basket for basket, they have a propensity to forget how to play solid team defense.

Despite having only 1 player in the top 50 in rebounding (Odom is 7th at 10.2 rpg), L.A. does hit the boards well every night, which keeps them in a lot of games. The Lakers are 1st in total defensive rebounds (31.9 pg), 2nd in total rebounds (44.3 rpg), 7th in rebound differential (+2.34), 8th in total rebounding percentage (51.3%), 11th in total offensive rebounds (12.4 pg), 12th in defensive rebounding percentage (71.9%), and 13th in offensive rebounding percentage (29.5%). Even though L.A. hasn't won 3 in a row all year long, GM Mitch Kupchak deserves credit for the job he's done in keeping his club a viable playoff contender though this massive transition period.

When owner Jerry Buss decided to blow up his potential dynasty, he told Kupchak he wanted to bring back the fast pace of the 'Showtime' era. That's why the signing of coach Rudy Tomjanovich was a perfect fit. Not only does Rudy T have the pedigree to command Kobe's respect, he also prefers the up tempo style too. Mitch also knew that the team would be chock full of new players, and Rudy is known as a players coach who is great communicator. So who better to mold a new team, while getting them to play at the pace Buss wants, then Rudy T? There is no such thing as getting equal value back for Shaquille O'Neal, but Kupchak got 2 starters (Odom 36.1 mpg & Caron Butler 34.7 mpg), a solid role player (Brian Grant 15.2 mpg), and a 1st round pick. Not bad at all, but it doesn't stop there. He then traded a washed up Gary Payton, an about to retire Rick Fox, along with a conditional 1st rounder for 2 more starters (Atkins 36.3 mpg & Chris Mihm 26.2 mpg) and another role player (Jumaine Jones 20.6 mpg). The only other players in the Lakers' rotation are Brian Cook (18.4 mpg), who was the 24th pick in the 2003 draft, and Brown (13.8 mpg), who was signed as a free agent before training camp. So of the 9 players in L.A.'s regular rotation, only Kobe & Cook were on the roster last year, and that doesn't include Divac's signing (which seemed like a good idea at the time). Whether you are a Laker hater or not, that's a pretty impressive face lift in one off season.

- I don't think it's allowed these days to mention the Lakers without discussing the Miami Heat as well. The Heat (30-12) have been the cream of the Eastern Conference so far. They had a 14 game winning streak from 12/6/04-1/1/05, are undefeated in their division, and the only team in the East with a winning record on the road (14-7). Miami is 1st in shooting (48.4%), 4th in both blocks (5.97 bpg) and turnovers committed (13.5 topg), 5th in both scoring (101.6 ppg) and defensive rebounding percentage (72.7%), 6th in assists (22.6 apg), 7th in opponent's shooting (43.2%), but only a mere 29th in free throw shooting (66.5%). Of course we all know why their FT% is so low, Shaquille O'Neal. I have a few bones to pick with the Diesel. The first is the fact that he showed up "in shape" this year. Call me crazy, but I thought all NBA players were paid to show up in top condition every year, especially upper echelon talent. It has been bothering me all season long that Shaq has been given so much "credit" for his being in top physical shape. If he's getting all this praise, it's only fair that he takes some hits for lack of conditioning in the past. Like, where were all his off season "work outs" before his last 2 seasons in L.A.?

Next, I find it a total indictment of Shaq that all of a sudden he's OK with being the second banana to Dwyane Wade. Shaq may be the most valuable player to the Heat, but Wade has been their best player all year long, hands down, and nary a peep out of Shaq. I just don't think it's fair that Kobe takes all the arrows, when Shaq seemingly has no problems with Wade being "the man" now. Granted, Shaq and Kobe obviously hated each other on a personal level, but I have yet to hear Shaq drop a "We need to play team ball out there." or the like. Even though Wade averages 2 more shots attempts per game then Shaq does. Notice too, how Shaq tagged Wade the "Flash", instead of his "Little brother"? That tells me that the big liar...err..."Aristotle" has learned something over the years about dealing with young players (from Anfernee Hardaway to Kobe to Wade). My point is, that while Kobe takes the majority of the flack (rightfully so, I might add), there is more then enough blame for Shaq to share in, and I don't understand why more media types haven't brought it up. In closing, since Miami's record against the West in only 9-9, what does that say about the quality of play in the East?

- This past Friday two trades went down that could both have major implications on the playoff races in each conference. First, Detroit sent seldom used veteran big man Elden Campbell and a lottery protected first round pick in 2006 to Utah in exchange for PG Carlos Arroyo. All I can say is, Pistons' GM Joe Dumars has done it again. Last season he flat out stole Rasheed Wallace (and Mike James) in a 3 team deal for Chucky Atkins, Lindsey Hunter (who was resigned 7 days later after being released), Bob Sura, Zeljko Rebraca, a 1st round pick, and cash. It can be argued that deal was what won Detroit the title. This trade isn't quite the blockbuster, but should help the Pistons' cause none the less. Detroit coach Larry Brown has been complaining that he didn't have a "true" PG ever since he set foot in Motown. Now he does (Never fear, LB will find something else to complain about), so look for Arroyo to be the 3rd guard in LB's rotation, with Chauncey Billups sliding over to play more SG. As for the Jazz, I really don't see how this helps their team in the least. Especially when you consider that Utah already has Mehmet Okur, Jarron Collins, and Curtis Borchardt to man the middle (There's already talk that Elden might be released in the near future). Couple that with Detroit's 1st round pick most likely being in the high 20's in 2006, and this can only mean GM Kevin O'Connor was thinking addition by subtraction when he made this swap. Apparently, buoyed by his play in the Olympics for Puerto Rico, Arroyo's head had gotten a little too big for coach Jerry Sloan's liking. Sloan told him that for the team to be successful Carlos would need to shoot less, and do a better job at keeping everyone involved. When that didn't happen to Sloan's liking, he took away Arroyo's playing time, which in turn led to more then one profanity laced exchange between the two. Obviously, that didn't fly with Sloan, and Carlos was sent packing. If Arroyo really had become a team cancer, fine, then deal him. My problem with this trade is the Jazz should've been able to get more in return for a 25 year old PG with "upside", that has a very reasonable contract (4 years, 4 million per) taboot. O'Connor basically gave away a guy he just resigned this past summer. While Carlos is not a star, he's worth more then a low 1st round pick.

Next up, Phoenix sent Casey Jacobsen, Maciej Lampe, and Jackson Vroman to New Orleans for Jim Jackson and a 2005 2nd round pick. I think this deal works well for both teams. The Suns' bench has been razor thin all year long, and the addition of JJ gives coach Mike D'Antoni a reliable veteran that will take Casey's spot in the rotation backing up both the SG and SF positions. I expect JJ will take Casey's minutes, and then some. A definite upgrade for Phoenix. Hornets' GM Allan Bristow has been acquiring young players with "potential" since the start of December. He did well here by getting 3 players for a guy that was never even going to don a uniform down on the Bayou. Jacobsen should be their starting SG before too long. Lampe, who is the first Polish born player ever in the NBA (!), has good range and a very nice touch for someone his size (6'11, 275). Maciej is only in his 2nd year (19 years old), and is still very raw, but he will get more minutes to develop his game on this terrible New Orleans team. Vroman is a rookie big man (6'10, 220) from Iowa State. He was the 31st pick in this years draft, but has only appeared in 10 games and played 57 total minutes so far. From the very little that I've seen of him, Jackson seems like no more then a journeyman, but I still think he'll get a few minutes on the Hornets.

- On Saturday Lenny Wilkens resigned as head coach of the Knicks citing "family" concerns. Much like when Hubie Brown retired earlier this year, I'm not buying Lenny's excuse. Wilkens is the winningest, and losingest, coach in NBA history (1332-1155), so he has earned the right to do what he wants. If he wanted to walk away, that's fine, but don't make up excuses as to why. The perception in the New York media had been that GM Isiah Thomas was just biding his time until he dropped the axe on poor old Lenny. I think the players were kind of expecting it too. That's the real reason I think Wilkens retired, because he knew he had lost the team. When you consider that the Knicks were 1-9 in their last 10 games under Lenny, and on a 5 game losing streak, it's hard to argue with his decision. Interim head man Herb Williams has his work cut out for him, and I don't envy his position. Herb is going to have to establish a coaching identity, while getting an underachieving team to live up to it's bloated expectations, in the media capitol of the world. Good luck buddy, you'll need it.

- Last Monday Denver PG Andre Miller had the line of the year (so far) when he almost put up a quadruple double in Oakland against the Warriors. In 40 minutes he had 14 points, 10 rebounds, 8 assists, and 10 turnovers.

- On Wednesday Houston signed 38 year old PG Rod Strickland. Stop laughing, I'm serious.

*Note: All statistical data does not include Saturday and Sunday's games.

NHL Week in Review By: Ed Wasser

- Ever see the scene in 'The Naked Gun' when Nordberg, played by a pre-murdering OJ Simpson, was shot and lying in the hospital and George Kennedy tries to console his wife; "You'll see, Nordberg will be up and out of the hospital in no time!" Then Leslie Neilsen says "but if I were you I wouldn't wait until the last minute to fill out those organ donor cards". That's what the NHL and the players association are doing right now. The league announced new negotiations opening with the hopes of having a limited season yada, yada, yada then I hear that NHLPA president Bob Goodenow started a players only website on which he told the players to not wait until the last minute to get a job in Europe.

-Ever been snowed in so bad that you couldn't get out of the house for a few days and you were trapped like the Torrance family in the Overlook Hotel in the movie 'The Shining'? Yeah, me neither. So why do people continue to freak out and buy truckloads of bread, eggs, and milk like the world's coming to an end everytime a snow storm comes? I just imagine the next day these people saying 'man I thought that was going to be the big one. Now what the hell am I going to do with all this milk and bread?' -

Need a great way to help kill the time during the dead week in between the championship games and the Super Bowl? Go to this website www.wrestlereunion.com and get your tickets now!!!

- Fairway Miss didn't run this week so to fill the void I went to go see the movie 'Racing Stripes', the movie about a horse racing zebra. This movie was a complete piece of horse sh*t. Let's start with this, according to National Geographic an average sized zebra is about the size of a pony. Have you ever stood next to a racehorse? I can't even look them in the eye and I'm 6'5". But we're supposed to believe the zebra, named 'Stripes', has heart. Hey that's cool. I have heart too...can I play for the Detroit Pistons? Ahhhhhh whatever... but somehow Stripes starts winning races, but the wins are at Turfway Park in Kentucky. TURFWAY PARK!!!!!! Are you kidding me? The horses at Turway Park run for like $9000 purses, Fairway Miss would kick her groom in the chest if he tried to put on her saddle for less than $20,000. And Stripes is supposed to be a triple crown zebra?!?!? Whatever. But the most ridiculous thing is the running style. Stripes doesn't even change leads down the stretch. What that means is when a horse breaks out of the starting gate it instinctively runs leading with it's left front hoof. When the horses start to make the break for home and the jockey adjusts his weight and gets down in the saddle the horse starts leading with it's right front hoof. Ever notice how a horse gallops when a race starts then the jockey gets low in the saddle and the horse's head starts bobbing up and down as he breaks for the finish line? That's when the horse changes lead legs. Stripes never changes leads which is reason #21216 why Stripes would get destroyed in a race against thoroughbreds. But the most obvious reason why this movie is stupid is the fact that Stripes has to wear blinkers during his races. Let me ask you, if Stripes is smart enough to speak how is he too dumb to not get distracted by the crowd and other horses during a race? That's what blinkers are for you know. Fairway Miss doesn't wear blinkers, does that mean Fairway Miss is smarter than a talking horse? I give this movie an F- because I need to be fair to the other movies that have earned a legitimate F.

- I know everybody was all abuzz over the Phillies signings of Terry Adams and José Offerman to read about any other baseball free agents but just to let you know Roger Clemens signed with the Astros last week for $18 million for one year. You might not know this but I dabble in psychic predictions in my spare time. After carefully consulting my tarot cards and having a discussion with Miss Cleo I am predicting that if Roger Clemens has another good year in 2005 he will hem and haw about wanting to play in 2006. The Astros will still be reeling public relations wise from letting half their team walk so Clemens will then proceed to put the Astros management's collective heads in a guillotine by acting like he wants to retire but he just might come back if he's given the correct "motivation". So he will wind up signing another one year pact, probably for his beloved $22 million, for 2006.

Monday, January 17, 2005

Monday Morning Mehta 1/17/05

Edition # 102
January 17, 2005


Eagles

The Eagles season is now officially "a wash" as Ike Reese put it after an impressive 27-14 victory over the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings just aren't very good and the score wasn't nearly an indication of the dominance. The score should've been 40-7. Nonetheless they now move onto their 4th NFC Championship game in a row, the 3rd of which is at home which is an NFC record. The Atlanta Falcons will come to town next week, but lets take a look at the Vikings game before we look ahead a little bit later.

Game Positives:

a. Jeremiah Trotter. I don't like placing the obvious guys in the first positive, but considering that Trotter hasn't been one of my favorite players in the past, I've got to put him here. Trotter brought a Brian Dawkins like intensity to the game and was flying all over the field. His sack impressed me the most as he timed it perfectly, not blitzing until at least one second after the snap. Trotter's going to have to have another great game against a great run offense next week for the Eagles to succeed.

b. Freddie Mitchell & the WR's. The most hyped 5 catch 65 yard 1 TD performance (plus a TD recovery) in the history of sports was a god send for Eagles fans. Somebody from the WR corps needed to show that they can actually step up and Freddie did just that. Let's not get too crazy and start thinking that Mitchell is some sort of stud WR though. Todd Pinkston and Greg Lewis played very well also.

c. Brian Westbrook. I have to put this guy in here. Westbrook was unstoppable yesterday. He was all over the place (not in a Troy Brown type of way though). Westbrook is absolutely one of the best RB's in the game already. His ability to catch the ball and beat any LB in the game is absolutely the key for the Eagles.

d. Lito Sheppard and Sheldon Brown. Randy Moss, Nate Burleson, and Marcus Robinson are very good WR's. They had a few close calls but didn't give up the big play until very late.

e. Offensive Line. One of the biggest problems near the end of last year was that the Eagles offensive line was really bad against the pass. This year, heading into the Championship game the line is playing excellent football and is healthy.

Game Negatives:

a. Rod Hood. I hope people forget to watch game film of Hood. If I was the opposition I'd go to Rod Hood's man on every single play. He's bad.

b. Nate Wayne. I don't know what has happened with Wayne but missed a lot of tackles and looked lost on many plays. He'll play a big part in next week's game as he'll be strong side outside containment on Michael Vick.

c. The two minute drill at the end of the first half. McNabb needs to throw the ball into the 5th row there. The Patriots wouldn't have made that mistake, I'll leave it at that.

The Minnesota Vikings are bad. They make stupid decisions like the fake FG debacle way too much. They also have a FG kicker who can't kick more than about 35-40 yards. That is silly. You kill your defense with field position when you go for it every time around the 25-40 yard line.

I thought the defensive line had a very good game also. Javon Kearse played a very good game, although how does he go unblocked on two plays? Derrick Burgess, Jerome McDougle & Sam Rayburn, all played very well.

Listening to Chris Berman last night talk about the Jets/Steelers game in particular the interception return for a TD by Reggie Tongue, he said "Roethlisberger slipped the 'tongue' by Reggie". Imagine if Randy Moss had said that.

Divisional Playoffs Recap

Steelers 20 - Jets 17
What happened to those cbs.sportsline.com polls that had Big Ben Roethlisberger as the 3rd best QB in the NFL? Ben looked like a rookie Saturday as he made a lot of mistakes and poor throws. But, he did lead his team to a TD at 17-10 down and did win the game so you have to give him credit for that. The Jets are just comical. 3 points on offense (14 points on Special Teams and Defensive TD) is unacceptable for a team with Curtis Martin and Chad Pennington. The WR's had a few drops and the play calling once again left a lot to be desired. Troy Polamalu has become one of the best safeties in football and continues to make plays. USC is just churning out talent these days. Anyway, once again Herm Edwards left it to Doug Brien to win the game for a third week in a row on the road in OT, and once again Brien let him down. He sucks.

Falcons 47 - Rams 17
There isn't much to say about this game. The game was relatively competitive until 3 minutes left in the second quarter when ex-Eagle Allen Rossum returned a punt back for a TD. The second half was the Falcons just pounding the ball on the ground and completely exposing the Rams defense. Not much more to say here than the Falcons defensive line is awesome, but the secondary is a little weak.

Patriots 20 - Colts 3
I don't know which game made me happier, the Eagles game or this one. Peyton Manning once again proves he is overrated and his 49 TD's earlier in the year are absolutely meaningless. I don't care about the weather and other excuses. Tom Brady managed to put up 20 points. I also don't want to hear about defense. I watched alot of Colts football and while their defense is still not great, they've played much better the last 2 months of the year. The score was 6-3 at halftime, the defense was playing fine. The key to the Patriots defense continues to be their linebackers. Ted Bruschi, Mike Vrabel and Willie McGinest were awesome yesterday. Troy Brown is also incredible. He breaks up pass plays, returns punts, and oh by the way is a WR. To play as good as they did without Ty Law and Tyrone Poole is absolutely amazing. Anyway, back to Peyton Manning, this guy never won the big games in college and he's continuing that 'legacy' in the NFL. 3 points is just embarrassing. Chad Pennington does that with his team and he gets ripped, Manning needs to get blasted this week and I'll lead the charge!

As I thought, the home teams got their revenge this week. All 4 home teams won after a wild weekend last week. Of the remaining teams you'll notice all 4 have awesome defenses. All the fake one sided teams like the Rams, Vikings, etc are out. Let's breakdown the two Championship games next week.

Patriots (-3) at Steelers
This is a very tricky spot for the Pats. This game cries of letdown but how in the world can you go against the Pats. The Steelers have a history of choking in this game as does the other home team Sunday. The Steelers will need to be much more aggressive than they were last week. The Pats are going to gear their game completely different than against the Colts. You must try to expose the secondary which can be done. Bill Bellicek will come up with a scheme for sure, but something just tells me Bill Cowher has some sort of magic this year.
Steelers 24 - Patriots 20

Falcons at Eagles (-4.5)
Here we go. The season starts today as the Eagles come back to the same spot, once again facing a very good defense. Like I said earlier the flaw in this defense is the secondary. The Eagles may have trouble running the ball which probably works well for this team as Reid doesn't like to do that anyway. I liked the Eagles each of the last two years, so liking them again is a little scary. But when I look at this match up realistically "on paper", you have to love the Eagles in just about every match up. The have the defense to slow down Vick. They play outside which is never a good thing for dome teams in January. They have Freddie Mitchell, the People's Champ! Eagles win this one easily and we have the Pa Turnpike Super Bowl.
Eagles 27 - Falcons 10

Baseball

Carlos Beltran's signing by the Mets last week signified for the most part the end of baseball's hot stove season. Besides Carlos Delgado, Magglio Ordonez and a few others, there are very few names left on the open market worth any value. As for the Mets, Beltran will be a decent player for them, a Bobby Abreu type, but one has to wonder if they would've signed Vladimir Guererro to a $70 million contract last year if they'd be better off.

As far as the Phillies are concerned frustration continues to grow. The past few years there's been tons of optimism surrounding the start of baseball, this year it's anger. As I look at the Phils roster and payroll, something else frightens me. Not only will the 2005 version of this team be similar to the 2004 version, but expect much of the same in 2006. Quick breakdown of the salaries for players signed through 2006:

2006 Salaries in millions ('05 salary in parentheses)
Randy Wolf $9 ($6.5)
Jim Thome $12.5 ($11.5)
Pat Burrell $9.5 ($7)
Bobby Abreu $13 ($12.5)
Mike Liberthal $7 ($7)
Jon Lieber $7.25 ($5.25)

That's $58.75 million in guaranteed money tied up in those 6 players in 2006 up $8.5 million from 2005. That all but negates the salary relief they'll get from the Placido Polanco $5 million and the Billy Wagner $9 million. It doesn't even take into account the long term deal Jimmy Rollins is slated to get. Bottom line, look for more of the same next offseason from the Phils.

The Mets aren't done making moves yet either. They are after Carlos Delgado (who will be the steal of the year) and are looking to deal Mike Cameron (maybe to A's for Eric Byrnes). Mets are going to be improved this year but they still have a long ways to go.

NBA - Derreck Sura

-Earlier in the week I was planning on writing a totally different type of piece on the Sixers. However, in an effort to maintain the high standard of professionalism that we here at the MMM strive to maintain, I decided to just be a little more brief then usual. Philly went 1-3 on the week to fall to 3rd place in the Atlantic Division at 16-20. Allen Iverson had to play all 48 minutes to secure the lone victory of the week over Toronto. AI had this to say of his performance Friday night. "I'm struggling right now physically. I haven't been able to practice. I just try to save everything for the games. Fortunately, I was able to do that tonight." Hopefully, for Sixers' fans everywhere, AI's nagging injuries (just 36 games into the season) won't become the factor that derails Philly's playoff chances (again). The Sixers are 4th in the league in steals (8.75 spg) and 2nd at forcing turnovers (17 topg). Those two statistics suggest that maybe coach Jim O'Brien's defense is finally rounding into form. Philly faces New Orleans, @Charlotte, @Orlando this week. Anything less then 2-1 should be considered a disappointment.

-Don't look now, but after starting the season 4-15 (including an 0-9 start), the Chicago Bulls are one of the hottest teams in the NBA. Chicago has won 6 in a row, and 12 of 15 games since 12/15/04. The Bulls are a modest 16-18 overall, but that's good enough for the 8th seed in the Eastern Conference. How could the CHICAGO BULLS be in playoff contention you ask? Well, much like the Utah Jazz and Milwaukee Bucks from last year, these Bulls try to out work their opposition night in and night out. Teams can no longer plan on taking the night off when they see Chicago is next up on the schedule. As the Sixers can attest, the Bulls will run you right out of the United Center if you're not ready to play.

I don't know what changed, but all of a sudden the players have bought into coach Scott Skiles hard nosed style. Chicago holds their opponents to the lowest shooting percentage in the entire NBA (41.2%). They are also 5th in both points allowed (91.6 ppg) and forcing turnovers (16.4 topg). The hustle stats don't stop there, as the Bulls are 5th in total rebounds (43.4 rpg) and 10th in total rebound differential (+1.2). They are also 10th in total rebounding percentage (50.7%) and 12th in defensive rebounding percentage (72.2%). Kirk Hinrich shows no signs of a sophomore slump, as he leads Chicago in minutes (37 mpg), scoring (15.9 ppg), assists (7.1, 7th overall), and steals (1.47 spg). Eddy Curry has shown some signs of consistency, and to go along with leading the Bulls in shooting (52.6%, 5th overall), he is 2nd on the team in scoring (15.5 ppg), rebounding (6.1 rpg), and blocks (.9 bpg). His running mate, Tyson Chandler, leads the club in rebounding (9.1 rpg) and blocked shots (1.7 bpg) while serving as the first big man off the bench.

GM John Paxson's plan was to rid Chicago of their "culture of losing" by bringing in rookies from winning programs. It's been the play of those 4 rookies that has made the biggest difference for the Bulls, which is why Paxson deserves credit for showing enough patience to let his plan come together. Luol Deng (7th pick) averages 12.8 ppg (3rd overall for rookies), 5.5 rpg (4th rook), 2.4 apg (3rd rook), and has been the most consistent of the 4 as the starting SF. Chris Duhon (38th pick) has also worked his way into the starting lineup along side of Hinrich in the back court. Duhon leads all rookies in assists (4.7 apg) and assists to turnover ratio (2.73). Ben Gordon (3rd pick) struggled a bit out of the gate, but has settled into his role of first guard off the pine very nicely. Gordon, who is 2nd amongst rookies in scoring (13.5 ppg) and 5th in the NBA at 3 point shooting (45.5%), has already had two 31 point games off the bench. The final rookie, Andres Nocioni, was signed as a free agent out of Argentina. While Nocioni has been the least consistent of the bunch, he's still 6th in rookie scoring (7.9 ppg). All four of these guys average between 28.8-21.7 minutes per game, which ranks them 4th-7th for rookies. I don't know if the "Baby" Bulls can keep this up and remain in contention, but it's got to be nice for the people of the Windy City to finally have something to cheer about again.

-The Memphis Grizzlies are 15-7 since coach Mike Fratello took over for Hubie Brown on 12/3/04. The Griz (20-18) have also won 8 of 9 games to climb back into the playoff race in the Western Conference. The implosion I predicted between the "Czar" and his hip-hop generation players has not materialized. Instead, Fratello has managed to keep everyone happy, while improving Memphis' defense at the same time. The Griz are 4th in both points allowed (91.1 ppg) and opponents field goal percentage (42.6%). The positive defensive numbers don't stop there as Memphis is #1 in blocks (6.57 bpg), 8th in point differential (+2.6), and 10th in both steals (8.07 spg) and forcing turnovers (15.7 topg). The only real lineup change the Czar has made from last year is replacing James Posey as the starting SF with Shane Battier. Fratello's rotation goes 9 players deep most nights with the starters averaging between 34.3-26.2 minutes, and the bench players between 28.5-20.8 mpg. It's not that far a cry from Hubie's 2 five man units, but the Czar's rotation is more the norm in the NBA, and I think the players, for the most part, are happier playing in a more traditional rotation. Another thing the Griz have going for them is they can shoot the 3. They are 2nd in 3 point shooting (37.6%) and make the 5th most 3's per game (6.5) while attempting the 9th most 3's per game (17.3). With the depth on their roster, the way they defend, and the way they shoot it from distance, Memphis has the makings of a team to be reckoned with for the remainder of the season.

-On 1/10/05 the Sacramento Kings sent SG Doug Christie to the Orlando Magic for SG Cuttino Mobely and PF Michael Bradley. I have mixed feelings about this deal, for both teams. On one hand I can see what both GM's were thinking. Geoff Petrie sees the success Phoenix and Seattle are having with their style of play, and thinks the Kings could do the same with another scorer. John Weisbrod sees Detroit, Cleveland, and Indiana in the top 8 in points allowed, along with Detroit, Miami, and Cleveland in the top 11 in opponents FG%, and thinks the Magic will need another perimeter defender to be competitive in the East come playoff time. Cuttino will have some big scoring nights for Sacto once he gets acclimated to their offense. Christie is not the athlete he once was due to his age (34), and the wear and tear that comes with being a 13 year veteran. Even though Doug is not quite the defender he once was, his versatility should help free up Steve Francis to do more things on both ends of the floor. What I don't like is both teams messing with their chemistry. Orlando (19-16) is 6th in the East and much improved from last year's disastrous campaign. The Kings (24-11) are 4th in the West, and seemingly rolling along again. So why, in Sacto's case, take the risk of breaking up arguably the best chemistry between a starting 5, for a player (Cat) that needs his share of shots and touches to be effective? Christie didn't need the ball to produce, and was still the Kings' best defender. I, for one, am glad that the Cuttino-Stevie Franchise back court was broken up. They were exciting to watch at times, but had really run their course as a tandem, and needed to be separated in order to grow as players. As evidenced by this quote, "Him not being here is going to be tough on me. I don't know what I'm going to wake up for? They messed up something that started so good, man.", Orlando takes the chance of losing Francis (their best player) all together. Steve has been known to pout when he doesn't get his way (Remember when he was drafted by Vancouver and forced a trade?), and the Magic have been winning games by out scoring their opposition for the most part, so Weisbrod is taking the biggest gamble as I see it. Oh yeah, if you were wondering, Michael Bradley is a stiff, and Sacto will most likely be his last stop in the NBA.

-Last Tuesday the New Jersey Nets (12-24) announced that starting SF Richard Jefferson will miss the remainder of the season recovering from surgery to repair a ruptured ligament in his left wrist. RJ was hurt when Chauncey Billups undercut him on a lay-up attempt in Detroit on 12/27/04. Billups was called for a flagrant foul on the play, and RJ had this to say about it, "Was it a dirty play? Yes." The loss of RJ pretty much squashes the talk of the Nets making a run at the playoffs with a healthy Jason Kidd to go along with the addition of Vince Carter. RJ had been New Jersey's best player all year, and was leading the team in minutes (41.1 mpg, 5th overall), scoring (22.2 ppg, 12th), and rebounding (7.3 rpg). It's now time for VC to prove himself to his critics by taking the ball to the hoop to replace RJ's free throw attempts per game (8.2, 10th overall) and free throw makes per game (6.9, 8th). I know Kidd came out in the media and said he wouldn't demand a trade for the rest of the season, but I have to think that if the Nets go in the tank, and the right offer comes along, GM Rod Thorn will pull the trigger.

-The Washington Wizards (22-13) are the hottest team in the league (won 7 straight), and have the second best record in the Eastern Conference. The bad news is that starting SG Larry Hughes will miss the next 4-6 weeks recovering from a broken right thumb suffered at the hands of Suns' swingman Quentin Richardson Saturday night. Hughes is the only player in the NBA to average more then 20 points (21.2 ppg, 19th overall), 5 rebounds (6.1 rpg), 5 assists (5.3 apg, leads team), and 2.5 steals (2.82 spg, 1st overall). Incidentally, all of those numbers are career highs for Larry, who is in the last year of his contract too. The Wiz are my favorite team to watch in the East, and it will be up to Gilbert Arenas and Antawn Jamison to raise their games in the absence of Hughes. Etan Thomas had just returned to the lineup for Washington this week too, and I was expecting the Wiz to make a run before they play 10 of 12 games on the road from 3/5-28/05. Juan Dixon has been hot lately (19.5 ppg over his last 2 games), and is expected to take Larry's starting spot.

NHL Week in Review By: Ed Wasser

- I was listening to NY Ranger color guy John Davidson being interviewed on WFAN in New York about the NHL strike. Most of the points he was making regarding the strike were the standard faire, he was doubtful the strike would be settled and he expressed concern at what credibility a 48 or 36 game NHL season would even have. Davidson did have one point that really stuck out for me. Essentially he said the biggest mistake the players and owners are making is that they constantly compare themselves to other sports. The NHL players look longingly at the strength of the baseball players union, a union so strong that it not only has gotten it's players untold millions of dollars but it also looked the other way while it's members were breaking the law (steroids). The owners look longingly at the deal the NFL has. Non-guaranteed contracts, limited unrestricted free agency, and a salary cap. As soon as the NHL players realize that the baseball union's strength can never be duplicated and the NHL owners realize that the NFL players signed a bad deal that they regret the sooner this mess can be settled.

- The NHL is dead so to fill the void I decided to watch the Disney movie 'MVP: Most Valuable Primate', the film about a hockey playing monkey. This was one of the most ridiculous movies I've ever seen. The hockey scenes weren't even the least bit believable. The monkey, played by a chimpanzee named Jack, was supposed to be the fastest skater on the ice yet he skated with a choppy short stride, not unlike Eric Lindros', and he often kept his stick on the ice despite the fact the he was supposed to be back checking into a play. Jack was unsteady on his skates giving a physical player a distinct advantage. As Marty McSorley said "it's tough to score when you're on your ass". Jack was often playing out of position, especially defensively, and he never is seen trying to grind the puck from the corners. In short, Jack's a cherry picker. Plus Jack was supposed to have a lightening fast slap shot yet he was often shown down low during the power play when playing the point, especially considering his short stature, would by far make the most sense. Could you imagine Al MacGinnis playing behind the net in the offensive zone during a power play? The whole thing is stupid. I'm giving this movie a D-.

- Former St. Louis Blue Mike Danton tried to hire a hit man to kill his agent David Frost. He was arrested, his girlfriend was going to testify against him, so he plea bargained for a 7.5 year sentence in the federal clink. So what's Danton's first priority? He wants to file a libel suit against all the newspapers that said he might be gay. Both of them. Yo Mike, are you kidding me? You have major, major, MAJOR problems right now, more problems than everyone reading this article has combined and you're worried about people calling you names? Maybe you should be thinking about your destroyed life, your destroyed NHL career, your destroyed family, and then try and be nice and get out of prison before the Olson twins turn 30 and then you can start suing newspapers.

- Top 3 records that seemed unbreakable but eventually fell...3.) Dan Marino's record of 48 touchdown passes in one season that fell to Peyton Manning... 2.) Lou Gehrig's consecutive games played streak that fell to Cal Ripken...1.) Joe Namath's greatest drunken performance ever on TV being eclipsed by Verne 'Mini Me' Troyer on 'The Surreal Life'.

- From the mailbag....."I looked at the Philadelphia Park website and I saw that Ryan Barber (Fairway Miss' last jockey) was listed as the jockey for two different horses for the 9th race on Saturday. What gives?" Saurin Mehta..Mehtalands, NJ

-Ans.....Ah, nice try. I appreciate the question but don't think it's going to make me forget the last paycheck that bounced. And no.....you being in the Betty Ford Clinic isn't an excuse. You know Sonny was right, the working man is a sucka. Anyway, when a trainer submits a horse for a race he has to also submit the jockey. It's not uncommon for lines to get crossed and two jockeys to be listed for the same race on different horses. When that occurs it's up to the jockey and his agent to decide which horse he's going to ride. In the vast majority of cases the jockey will ride the horse he has the longest mount history with. Conceivably he could switch mounts but that would piss off the trainer who, when it's all said and done, decides what jockey gets future mounts. If the mount history is tied between horses then the jockey and his agent decide which mount to take, taking things into consideration like which horse has the better workout or race times, which horse's trainer has the most horses under his command (more potential future mounts), etc. All this has to be settled before the first odds are listed, generally 48 hours before the race.

- There is a horse racing expression called 'spun'. Being spun essentially means that you give a mount to a certain jockey and before the race you decide to give that mount to another jockey for whatever reason. Actually the reason generally is that the new jockey wasn't available and now he is. The original jockey gets 'spun' out of that mount. I guess it goes without saying that a jockey gets spun because you have more faith in the new jockey. I was at a morning workout and I heard a story about two jockey's getting into a fist fight after a race because one jockey felt another jockey spun him out of a mount and lo and behold the jockey that stole the mount won the race.

- The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. Ahhhh.......OK. People no more associate the Angels with Los Angeles then they associate the Calgary Flames with Tegucigalpa, Honduras but that's still a far cry from the biggest disgrace in sports nickname history......the Anaheim Mighty Ducks. The Mighty Ducks is a movie, a movie is a product, what's the difference between calling a team the Mighty Ducks or calling a team the Denver Doritos or the Boston Budweisers?

- Fairway Miss ran on Saturday and finished 3rd. Unfortunately I'm going to watch the Eagles game and I won't be able to give a full recap before my MMM deadline. I have very important drinking to do. I'm being graded on it...for gym. At any rate I'll have a full recap posted on the comment section of MMM website on Monday night.

(Click on Comments below for Ed's writeup and to give feedback)

Monday, January 10, 2005

Monday Morning Mehta 1/10/05

Edition # 101
January 10, 2005


NFL Wild Card Weekend

The first weekend of playoffs proved one thing, which I'm ashamed I didn't take into account last week, and that is parity. Like I've stated here time in and time out there is a ton of parity in the NFL. Parity this year is none more apparent than in the "Wild Card tier" of playoff teams. The elite teams of the league are still good. Take Indianapolis for instance, they obviously didn't belong in this Wild Card bunch. But the teams like St. Louis, Seattle, Jets, Chargers, Packers, and Vikings are all very similar. All have enormous flaws which can be exposed in the playoffs. They were, as 3 out of the 4 road teams won which is incredible (first time) for the NFL. Let's quickly breakdown the games this weekend and give a preview of next weeks games:

Rams 27 - Seahawks 20
By most accounts the Rams should have buried the Seahawks early in this game. Seattle came out with no fire and it took them into the second quarter to wake up. Couple things I noticed about this game: First off, the Seattle WR's drop the ball way too much. Darrell Jackson is good for two drops a game. Secondly, besides Chad Brown & Michael Boulware, the rest of the Seattle defense must have thought the game was on Sunday. Lastly, why was Jerry Rice not in that game more? That's a question I'd like to ask Mike Holmgren if he isn't already onto a plane for San Francisco. Anyway, as for Rice, I think he catches that ball Bobby Engram dropped/couldn't catch in the endzone.

Jets 20 - Chargers 17
This game was the biggest shock of the weekend in my estimation. The Chargers went from a high flying, aerial attack team which gave LaDainlian Tomlinson the ball 15-20 times to a team that became way too conservative. Marty Schottenheimer has made a habit of this. Herman Edwards & Paul Hackett were the more aggressive coach in this game for pete's sake! I hope this game shuts up all the people that doubted Chad Pennington. He looked absolutely terrific at times and didn't look as if that hurting shoulder played a big part. I've always said winning playoff games on the road is what separates the good from the great QB's, and Chad took steps towards that Saturday. As for the late hit by Eric Barton on fourth down in regulation as Brees threw an incomplete pass? My first reaction was that it was an unnecessary call to determine the outcome of a playoff game. Then I saw 5 different angles of the call and realize it was an absolute bonehead play and if it weren't called, it would've been a bad move.

Indianapolis 49 - Broncos 24
This game doesn't deserve much of a breakdown, it was just a massacre. The Colts are clearly in another league from 80% of the teams in football especially in their dome on the fast turf (only St. Louis & Indy still have this type of turf). John Lynch and the Broncos defensive backs couldn't be reached for comment after the game because they were removing the feet from their mouths. I don't have any idea what they were thinking saying the Colts WR's are soft. If you can't back it up, your comments were absolutely idiotic.

Vikings 31 - Packers 17
Daunte Culpepper has gotten tons of heat in this column for not winning 'the big road game'. Culpepper gets major kudos for his performance yesterday. He was clearly the best player on the field (aside from Al Harris of course). Culpepper has always had a command of his team since he's so big but yesterday you could see a confidence and swagger in Culpepper which you haven't seen. Brett Favre on the other hand looked like an absolute buffoon. Granted his teammates were dropping like flies, but Favre looked like he didn't even want to play yesterday. The throw past the line of scrimmage late in the first half was an absolutely horrific play. To this minute I have no idea how the commentators (Buck, Aikman, Collingsworth) on Fox laughed that off. That was absolutely one of the worst plays I saw all weekend (aside from the roughing call on Barton). I lost a lot of respect for the Fox crew after that call. They obviously don't feel that ripping someone in a game situation to be very important yet they freaked out over Randy Moss' meaningless celebration. These announcers need to get a clue as to what really matters and stop worrying so much about peripheral garbage.

Divisional Playoff Preview

Jets at Steelers (-9)
After a crazy first weekend of playoff action, the divisional round kicks off with this defensive battle. Although just when you expect a defensive battle you get a shootout. Both coaches love to run the ball and both coaches have very good defenses. As all the games are this week, this is a rematch from earlier in the year at the same venue. The Steelers won a sloppy 17-6 game earlier in the year. I expect the Steelers to play much better and come out like they did against the Eagles and Patriots earlier in the year. The Jets need to make sure they stop this initial surge by the Steelers, if they don't this game will be over by halftime.
Steelers 30 - Jets 13

Rams at Falcons (-7)
This is the token contrast of styles game of the week. Falcons rely heavily on the running of Michael Vick, Warrick Dunn and TJ Duckett on offense and have a defense that is playing great football. The Rams, well, they run the ball to give Marc Bulger's arm a rest. The health of Alge Crumpler and TJ Duckett will play a huge part in the playoff lives of the Falcons. The Rams are playing very good football the last few weeks and Marc Bulger has been as hot as any QB the last two weeks. This is the toughest game of the week to call, but I do expect a low scoring game.
Falcons 20 - Rams 17

Colts at Patriots (-2.5)
When the playoffs started, this was the match up and the game everyone pointed to. The Game of the Week and maybe the game of the playoffs as far as non-Eagles fans are concerned. Peyton Manning's struggles against the Patriots have been well chronicled. He had a good game earlier in the year but the Colts lost 27-24 on a last second miss by the "idiot kicker". But last year's 3 interception performance in the AFC Championship game looms large. I think this game truly determines whether or not Peyton Manning's 49 TD preseason actually means anything. Another goose egg like last year erases all of that. On the other end of the football, Manning will face a completely injury ravaged secondary. He should have a field day against this team. Something tells me we're going to get the best of both world's here, a great day by Manning, and a great game by the Pats.
Patriots 37 - Colts 34

Vikings at Eagles (-9.5)
There are some moments which can define a career, Donovan McNabb & Daunte Culpepper face one squarely in the face this weekend. McNabb faces a QB whom he will inevitable be compared to his whole career in Culpepper who was selected 9 picks after him. Culpepper has also shredded the label of "can't win the big road game" as of last week. It's McNabb's turn to put up. No Terrell Owens will probably be negated by a hobbled Randy Moss. Daunte Culpepper will have a rude awakening when he plays next weekend, this isn't the Packers defense. The Eagles defense can actually play, and I can't get away from that point. Eagles have a better defense than the Vikings and are at home. The last two home playoff losses were against teams we knew, probably had a better defense that the Birds. McNabb throws 4 TD's, Westbrook runs all over the place, and the critics which said the Eagles should've played their starters are silenced...
Eagles 38 - Vikings 20

That means it will be home teams revenge week, and the Eagles will battle the Falcons for the NFC...

NBA - Derreck Sura

-While I was gone the Sixers went 5-3 on their longest road trip pf the year. If Allen Iverson hadn't sat out with a sprained right ankle in Minnesota, Philly may have gone 6-2. I didn't watch much basketball on vacation, but I think it's safe to say the Sixers played pretty well to pull themselves to second in the Atlantic Division (15-17), and the 8th seed in the Eastern Conference, while being on the road for 18 days. I finally heard what coach Jim O'Brien's problem is with Samuel Dalembert. Apparently, Sam D doesn't get out and guard the high post pick and roll, which in turn hurts Obie's overall defensive scheme. Whatever the case may be, Sam D is an important piece to Philly's future, and should be playing more then the 17 minutes he's averaging over the last 6 games, even if he's just being showcased for a trade. For Dalembert to ever reach his "potential", he'll need consistent minutes, AND for the coaching staff to show they have confidence in him. Sam shows promise as a defender, rebounder, and shot blocker, but his offensive game is somewhat limited, to be kind. At his peak I could only see Sammy D putting up 15-18 points a night, max. Obie would like a big man that better fits his defensive systems, that's why if the decision is made to trade Sam, GM Billy King better get something good in return. Young big men with Dalembert's combination of size and athleticism don't grow on trees, which could be why the Suns, Sonics, Mavs, Nets, Raptors, and Hawks have all shown interest already. The Sixers toughest stretch of the season isn't over yet, so they can't get over confident with their recent success. Philly still has to play 7 of 11 on the road through 1/29. Portland, @Chicago, Toronto & @Detroit (back to back) presents a very dangerous week for the Sixers. The Bulls are not the gimmie they once were, and the Raptors have been able to out score teams on occasion.

-The Minnesota Timberwolves (17-15), my pre-season pick to win it all, have lost 7 out of 9 games to fall to the 7th seed in the Western Conference. Kevin Garnett is doing everything he can by leading his team in minutes (39.7 mpg, 11th overall), points (23.8 ppg, 9th), rebounds (15 rpg, 1st), assists (6.3 apg, 13th), steals (1.66 spg, 10th), and blocks (1.63 bpg, 15th). However, when you look at the Wolves' defensive numbers, it's plain to see they aren't playing with the same effort and intensity as last year. Minne is 14th in opponents field goal percentage (44.2%) and 15th in points allowed (96.9 ppg) this season. Compare that to the 41.4% (4th overall) and 89.1 ppg (7th) they held their opposition to last year, and you see what I mean. Sam Cassell and Latrell Sprewell are mostly at fault for the Wolves current funk. Those two set the tone for the season early on, and so far their play has backed up their mouths.

Owner Glen Taylor has gone as far as to halt all contract negotiations with both of them until after the year. Here's what I don't get, if Sam (35 years old, 12th season) and Spree (34, 13th) are really tanking this season away, they have to know how their play will affect their value on the open market. I'm sure they'll still be able to find jobs, but not at the 14.6 million (Spree) and 6.25 mil (Sam) they currently enjoy. They are both on the downside of their careers, and would be wise to pick up their play to ensure one final payday. All hope is not lost in the land of 10,000 lakes though. No matter how poorly Sam and Spree play, their expiring contracts guarantee their status as valuable trade commodities to franchises looking to trim payroll. If GM Kevin McHale feels it would benefit the team, he can either package the two malcontents together, or deal them separately. My point is, McHale has the pieces to remake the Wolves on the fly, while keeping them a contender for the crown in the process.

-On 12/28/04 GM Kiki Vandeweghe fired Jeff Bzdelik as head coach of the Denver Nuggets. The move really wasn't that much of a surprise considering the Nugs record at the time (13-15), and Bzdelik's lame duck status. The team was not living up to it's lofty expectations, and there had been rumors of a Carmelo Anthony-Jeff Bzdelik rift for a long time. When Kiki signed Michael Cooper to be Bzdelik's top assistant on 7/6/04, Jeff had to see the writing on the wall. Word has it that Coop wasn't named as the permanent head man because Kiki hasn't been thrilled with what he's seem so far. Denver lets their opponents shoot 46% from the field (25th overall), so Coop's first task as interim coach will be to get the Nugs to improve their defense. Coop is just 1-4 since taking the reigns, proving that all of Denver's problems, like shooting 33% from 3 (26th overall), won't be solved with a coaching change.

-Houston GM Carroll Dawson was busy over the holidays reshaping the Rockets back court. First he dealt Tyronn Lue to the Hawks for Jon Barry. Then he traded Jim Jackson and Bostjian Nachbar to the Hornets for David Wesley. The addition of Barry and Wesley, to go along with Bob Sura, gives coach Jeff Van Gundy enough options that he can go with the hot hand at PG every night. Even though Sura, Barry, and Wesley are all combo guards, I like what they to bring to Houston as a unit. They are all team players that can all shoot it a bit. Sura is the best rebounder, Wesley the best defender, and Barry is an energizer off the bench. Dawson really only gave up Jim Jax to upgrade the Rockets backcourt with veteran players that have playoff experience. The loss of Jackson will hurt some, but Tracy McGrady will slide over to starting SF, and given time, Houston (17-17) should be a better team.

Atlanta was lacking a true PG, and Ty Lue fit the bill. Coach Mike Woodson wasn't playing Jon Barry anyway. So GM Billy Knight traded his 12th man for a starting PG. That should tell you all you need to know about the Hawks (5-26).

GM Allan Bristow continues to acquire young players and clean house in New Orleans. The Hornets' roster is closer to CBA then NBA, but I don't think anyone is really crying over Jim Jackson not reporting to the team after the trade. Least off all JJ, who was seen sitting courtside at a Miami Heat game recently. Bristow dealt Wesley so 19 year rookie SG J.R. Smith could get more on the job training. Bostjian Nachbar will get the same opportunity, that Dan Dickau has been the beneficiary of, to sink or swim in the last year of his contract on this horrendous team (3-29).

-There's one more small trade to report on, Golden State acquired Zarko Cabarkapa from Phoenix for a conditional 2nd round pick in 2005, and an unconditional 2nd rounder in 2009. Zarko is only in his second year, but he was obviously not part of the Suns' future plans. Zarko was looking like a very intriguing player his rookie year until his right wrist was broken by a cheap shot from Danny Fortson. He hasn't seemed to play with same aggressiveness ever since. At 6'11, 235 pounds, Zarko can create match up problems with his versatility on the perimeter or in transition, but he doesn't play much D, or rebound well for his size. I can't help but think this is Warriors' GM Chris Mullin's way of slightly nudging Mike Dunleavy Jr.

-Federal judge George B. Daniels ruled on 12/30/04 to uphold arbitrator Roger Kaplan's decision to reduce Jermaine O'Neal suspension from 25 to 15 games. And thankfully the NBA and commissioner David Stern decided to accept the decision, move on, and let this story die.

-Dikembe Mutombo's elbows have dropped many a player over the years, in practice and games alike. But if Deke had done serious and/or permanent damage to LeBron James' left cheek bone...immediate deportation back to Africa would've been in order. Hockey expert Ed Wasser could attest to this better then I, but I think there were special "unwritten" rules in the NHL about not hitting Wayne Gretzky too hard. Players were never told directly (well, maybe they were) not to lay into the Great One, they just knew the league was watching. I'm here to say the same rules need to be put in place for LeBron. He is far too important to the future of the game to be taken out by a 38 year old (YEAH RIGHT!) journeyman C on his way out of the league. At the very least Robert "Tractor" Traylor should get a free retaliation shot (a la NHL enforcer style) on Deke just to get the message out to the rest of the league that excessive contact on LeBron won't be tolerated.

*Note: All statistical data does not include Sunday's games.

NHL Week in Review By: Ed Wasser

- Rob Simpson from 'Maple Leaf America', whatever that is, told Comcast SportsNet last Tuesday that a "lock Hall of Famer" and a "high ranking Maple Leaf executive" told him that the lockout will be settled and hockey will be played by Jan. 24. A conference call between the 30 player reps is scheduled for sometime within the next couple days in which they'll give the go ahead for a salary cap, but they won't call it a salary cap so the players can save face. I vote for calling it a calary sap!! Anyway, it'll be a 48 game schedule, conference games only, with the Stanley Cup awarded somewhere around the third week in June. I'm not even sure I could pretend to give a damn about a season like that. Oh...by they way, on the same day Wayne Gretzky said the lock out may last two years so who knows.

- Since I wrote that opening paragraph the owners have since cancelled the meeting between them and the players reps. The season's done folks, sorry to get your hopes up. I feel like a doctor talking to a family after a serious heart operation..."Great news Mrs. Smith!!! Your husband survived the operation!!!" "My name is Mrs. Jones." "Oh, I'm sorry. I thought you were someone else. Your husband's dead. Do you know where I can find Mrs. Smith?"

- I've never been a guy that got all sentimental about sports memorabilia but I think I've finally seen an item that would bring a tear to my eye. Literally. A few weeks ago the Sixers were playing the Trailblazers in Portland and after the Sixer victory, as Allen Iverson is walking off the court, he sees a kid wearing an Iverson jersey. As a, I guess reward, Iverson removes his sneaker and gives it to the kid. That's a sneaker that has just played 48 minutes of NBA basketball, plus a shoot around. Good grief!! The guy I feel most sorry for is this kid's poor father who had to be stuck in a car for the ride home with a steaming sneaker in the back seat.

- Line of the week. From the incredibly overweight comedian Ralphie May on VH-1's new reality show 'Celebrity Fit Club'...."I was up over 800 lbs. at one point. I let myself go a little bit". No....you think so?

- I was reading an article by Bill 'Sports Guy' Simmons and he was making a joke/point about Jeff Montgomery being stunned about being named to the baseball Hall of Fame ballot because Jeff had a good, not great, and no way Hall of Fame career. I would have loved to have taken it a step further. Imagine a prank phone call to Montgomery's house. "Jeff, this is Joe Blow from the Hall of Fame nominating committee. I just want to extend congratulations. You've been elected to the baseball Hall of Fame". "What the hell are you talking about? Have you seen my career stats?" "Of course, but since Phil Rizzuto was elected to the Hall with his mediocre stats it's been come one, come all!! See you at the ceremony!!"

- I read in last Friday's Philadelphia Daily News that Steven "Gorilla" Mondevergine, the leader of the Pagan Motorcycle Gang, has declared war on John "John the Baptist" La Franco and the Hell's Angels. I know what you're thinking "what's the difference between the Pagans and the Hell's Angels?" I'm glad you asked. They are remarkably similar, the by laws of both organizations require a prison record, a Harley Davidson, and a winning smile. But the Pagans require that all members must be able to bench press 300 lbs. at the time of swearing in were it is only a suggestion for the Hell's Angels. Anyway, the war began when a few Pagan members beat Hell's Angels member Vincent Henrich to within an inch of his life with pool cues because he was in a Pagan bar. It's believed that this may have been done as revenge for the Hell's Angels stealing money the Pagans had collected trying to raise money for a children's charity by raffling off a Harley Davidson. By the way, if you're clutching your chance praying to win that Harley Davidson from the Pagans.....it turns out that there was no Harley Davidson and the money that people were paying for charity was really for the United I Don't Want To Get My Ass Kicked Fund. At any rate I for one believe that we here at MMM should try and mediate this dispute. Since the lion share of their problems happen in South Jersey, or as I call it...The Mehtalands...Saurin Mehta could serve as the arbitrator with a, let's shake hands and forget the whole thing, solution in mind. Think about it, if Saurin gets the Hell's Angels and Pagans to bury the hatchet in a tear filled, emotional, hugfest all the while keeping a diary of his exploits in this space and we might as well clear a place on all of our mantels for a Pulitzer. Let's do it!!

- Fairway Miss has been submitted to run in a race on Saturday, Jan. 15th. It would be the tenth race going off around 4:00 PM eastern time. If she gets the race a full recap will be in next weeks MMM.

- Few more racetrack observations....so I see this girl at the track one morning and she's cuter than a baby monkey. It turns out she's a jockey. Of course, since I'm a very interested observer but have no money at stake as far as Fairway Miss is concerned, I tell the trainer we should hire the girl (named Joanne McDade) to be our jockey. He gives me a look like, 'just shut up jackass' and tells me "female jockeys are OK if they're on a speed horse (a horse that likes to lead). But when you put them on a horse that likes to come from behind (Fairway Miss) then they don't have the upper body strength to impose their will on the horse. When they cross the finish line on a horse like Fairway it looks like they're holding on to the horse's neck for dear life". I actually feel sorry for this girl. She really busts her ass every morning. She does exercise rides at 6:15 AM for free, she introduces herself to trainers and owners with a giant grin on her face just searching for a chance. When I do see that Joanne got a mount the horse's name is always followed by something that looks like this....50 - 1. In other words she's trying to make a name for herself as a jockey while riding mules.

The constant refrain that I hear when an owner is even considering hiring a young jockey without a lot of experience is "let them learn their trade on someone else's horse". Another strange thing....each race has what's called a chart. The chart is a recap of the race with a sentence written about each horse's performance. For example, Fairway's chart from the last race said 'outrun early, found pace, closed strong'. The weird thing is when a horse isn't a factor at all in a race the term they use is "failed to menace". Sounds like something that happens to a pit bull as it gets old.