Monday Morning Mehta 1/29/07
Edition # 194
January 29, 2007
I need more time to interview players, coaches and research the 2007 Free Agent class before I publish the 2007 4th Annual Philadelphia Eagles Official Off-Season Guide, sponsored by Google. Next week will be the defense.
Super Bowl Preview
Colts (-7, 49) Bears
The Peyton Manning Bowl is 6 days away and the hype will begin in earnest this week. Hours of breakdown, analysis, previews, predictions, the whole bit. But your one and only source should be right here.
Colts on Offense: Advantage - Colts by "a lot"
The Bears defense is not all that good these days. The loss of Tommie Harris and Mike Brown have plagued this defense. The biggest loss is Brown, who is their play making safety (think Brian Dawkins, Troy Polamalu, Ed Reed). Chicago's defense has steadily gotten worse since Brown got hurt midway through the season. Indy should be able to run and throw at will on this defense. Look for the Colts to run much more than one would expect. Reggie Wayne & Marvin Harrison should have big games also. Don't be surprised if both top 100 yards. I get the feeling Manning is going to make sure Harrison has a good game, to help cement his buddy Marvin's legacy. Look for at least 1 Marvin TD. Tommie Harris, Mark Anderson and Adewale Ogunleye are 3 solid pass rushers, but Tarik Glenn and Ryan Diem should handle them just fine. I don't see any way Brian Urlacher and Lance Briggs (Eagles fans want him bad) can hold the Bears to under 30 points.
Bears on Offense: Advantage - Bears by "more than you think"
Thomas Jones and Cedric Benson form a very nice 1-2 punch. I'm still not convinced the Colts run defense can handle a good running team. I think both teams will enjoy ground success which as all Eagles fans know makes it a lot easier on your QB. Hence, I'm not too worried about Rex Grossman. I think he has some solid weapons on offense and can have some success through the air. Do I see them being able to keep up with the Colts? Probably too much to ask for. If the chips fall right, they can put up 31. May not be enough.
Special Teams: THE X FACTOR
If super return men Devin Hester and Rashied Davis can get the Bears good field position so than the Bears can "answer" after every Colts score, I think the Bears can win. But it's just too much to ask for. I think Peyton Manning wants to choke in this big game, but the Bears defense just isn't good enough to force him to. As a rooting interest, I'll be rooting for the Bears, of course. As a prognosticator, gotta use my noggin. Colts 37, Bears 24. MVP: Manning (he won't deserve it but 2/3rds of the voters probably have it written in already)
Dragon's Den
Drexel loses another game this week to a CAA contender, as they lose at home to Viriginia Commonwealth to drop to 7-3 in the conference with all 3 losses to the contenders for the conference crown in Hofstra, Old Dom and Va Comm. As much as I'd like to sit here and say that the loss was in great part to not having leading scorer and all-CAA player Frank Elegar (suspended for 1 game). But I won't make excuses. This Drexel team is just flat struggling right now. While beating Villanova and Syracuse earned them the label "Best team in the City" from yours truly a month ago, Villanova didn't have freshman Scottie Reynolds playing well back then. This is a different Drexel team, and a different Nova team. Sorry Philly Phaf, it's not the CAA competition, Drexel has just fallen apart for the 2nd straight year. You can't continually lose at home to the better teams in your conference and continue to be called a contender. All that being said next week I expect to have Drexel back in the Final Four!! Go Dragons!
BTW - Tiger Woods and Roger Federer are good.
NHL Week in Review By : Ed Wasser
- I'd like to start out with a few comments about the NHL Skills Competition......but I didn't watch it so I can't. But I did score an exclusive interview with (drum roll please) myself. (So, how would you grade the NHL All Star...well it used to be a weekend, I guess now you would call it All Star Tuesday and Wednesday?) I would grade it an F -. I'm giving it an F minus to set it apart from the usual NHL screw ups that have earned legitimate F's. As I'm writing this it's Sunday afternoon and there is ZERO to watch on TV. Why on Earth isn't the All Star game on now? The weekend before the Super Bowl is always a sports wasteland. Why the hell would the NHL put the All Star game on against "American Idol"? Even by NHL standards it was a stupid move. (You're right. Anyway, how many Flyers were there?) One, Simon Gagne. (That sounds about right for the worst team in the league. How many Flyers were in the Young Stars game?) Zero. (What?!?!? You mean to tell me that no first or second year Flyers were asked to participate in that game?) That's what I'm saying. (Well, what about the skills competition? That's the biggest bone throw in all of the NHL. How many Flyers were in that?) Zero. (WHAT?!?! That's ridiculous.) It is. (Well, what about the future. I know the AHL All Star game is this week, how many Flyer prospects made the team?) Prospects? Zero. The only Phantom that made the All Star team was 30 year old defenseman Nolan Baumgartner. (That's a disgrace.) It is indeed, it is indeed.
- My main problem with doing this column is trying to pick out what most readers will find interesting about the NHL. I'm going to go out on a limb and guess that most people are having trouble caring about the Flyers as their season has long been flushed down the toilet. And I absolutely know that if I wrote about 90% of the teams in the league like the Wild, Predators, Oilers, Blue Jackets, or Thrashers very few people would even read the paragraph. So I'm going to make this interesting. The record for losses for an NHL team and an NBA team from the same city in the same season is 103. And who holds that record? Philadelphia of course. YEAH!!! The season was 1972 - 1973, back when the Sixers had one of, if not thee, most pathetic seasons in pro sports history (9-73). The Flyers actually weren't that bad that year, 37-30-11 with the Flyers having their first ever playoff series win against the North Stars.
Little known fact, the Flyers were in the Western Division and the Vancouver Canucks were in the Eastern Division back then. That's typical NHL.
At any rate I'm going to start to monitor the progress of the most losses by an NHL and an NBA team from the same city record as the Sixers and Flyers careen toward shattering it at an alarming rate of speed. In fact, I'm going to actively cheer for the Sixers and Flyers to break the record. I know this may seem like a morbid thing to do and it's a little unfair since the NHL eliminated ties but if I can entertain one person by writing about this history making pursuit then it would all be worth it. Especially if that one person is me. As of now the 2 winter teams in Philadelphia have 68 losses. And by the way, it's only Jan. 29th. That's a scant 35 more to go and the NBA isn't even at the All Star break yet. This record willl be a piece of cake.
- Boston Bruin Phil Kessel was diagnosed with testicule cancer and had successful surgery to remove his testicule on Dec. 11th and is now back in the NHL. Now was reading that so bad? Well when I was watching the Young Stars game on the Versus Network the announcers were saying Phil Kessel had cancer but no one would dare under any circumstances to utter the word testicule. It became comical after a while. Mike Emrick was saying "Kessel had one of the most curable forms of cancer there is and we're happy to say he is now cancer free". So people are probably thinking "oh yeah? What kind of cancer is that?" Well, they'll never say. And then Bill Clement chimes in "when you hear the word cancer it always shakes you up. But thankfully Kessel caught it early". But Brian Engblom took the cake. He came within a breath of saying the dreaded testicule word but always backed off at the last second. At one point Engblom said Kessel had "cancer of the.....groin area".
- There's a great article in "The Hockey News" about the Flyers. Writer Ken Campbell makes a terrific point about GM Bobby Clarke. Oh I'm sorry, he's not the GM anymore (wink, wink). Anyway Clarke "resigned", his intern (Paul Holmgren) is hired as the new GM, and he left the team. A few weeks later he was brought back as team president and now he is back at Flyers practice on a daily basis. So what changed? Nothing. And Clarke...this sentence is tough for me to write so bare with me...apparently Clarke (vomit is starting to gather) wants to keep (I'm getting dizzy and light headed) ahhhhh....wow, this is tough. Anyway, (deep breath) Clarke wants to keep defenseman Derian Hatcher even though buying him out would save $2.3 million on the salary cap. Wha!?!? Where am I? I must have passed out after I wrote that last sentence. Let's forget that ugliness and move on. The other point Campbell makes is that hiring such an inexperienced coach for this team was a huge mistake. John Stevens is not a good NHL coach and in reality he was set up to fail. The last point in the article was that the Flyers TOTALLY over valued the ability of their young players. Man, is there something in the water in South Philly because every team in this city suffers from the love that dare not speak it's name. The love of their young players. It was a great article and I'm sure you can currently find it lining the cage of Bobby Clarke's parakeet.
- The Flyers were on yesterday at 3:30 in the afternoon and worse yet, the only other thing on TV at that time was fishing shows and infomercials so I was forced to watch the game. And to further complicate matters the Flyers actually won. I know, I know....miracles occasionally do happen in this world. They beat the Thrashers 2 - 1. The Thrashers played well but Flyers goalie Antero Niittymaki played like he had $50,000 with Rick Tocchet on the under, making 37 saves. And speaking of 2 - 1 last Thursday the Flyers lost to the Rangers by that score. And I'm sure you're wondering if Derian Hatcher played like crap against the Rangers. The answer would be a resounding YES!!! I haven't seen a performance that stiff since Ryan Lambert's last season on "Kids Incorporated". And if the trading deadline comes and goes (Feb. 27th) and Peter Forsberg, Kyle Calder, and especially Derian Hatcher are still on this team I might just start repeatedly punching myself in the face to alleviate the pain. Just letting you all know.
NBA - Derreck Sura
Since the Denver Nuggets finally played their 41st game on 1/27, it's now time for the fourth annual 'Mid-Season Report'. The gap between the conferences has never been greater, but the competition within each conference itself is still really tough. So, without further ado…
(*Teams I had making the playoffs before the season.)
EAST
1. *Washington Wizards (26-17)
Good – They lead their division, are 2nd in the league in scoring (107.19 ppg) and have a legitimate MVP candidate in Gilbert Arenas.
Bad – Their center rotation of Brendan Haywood and Etan Thomas continues to disappoint.
Rookie – None.
Outlook – It's hard for me to take the Wiz seriously when they play no defense (26th in opponent's field goal percentage [OPPFG%] at 46.9%) and can't rebound (25th in rebound differential [REBDIFF] at -2.90). That said, this squad should have no problems making the second round in the East.
2. *Detroit Pistons (25-17)
Good – They managed to stay near the top of the conference while Chauncey Billups missed eight games with a strained right calf. They also commit the fewest turnovers in the league (12.26 topg).
Bad – Their bench production leaves an awful lot to be desired.
Rookie – Will Blalock, from the little I've seen he's lucky to be in the NBA.
Outlook – They remain one of the clubs to beat in the East, but their famous team chemistry no longer exists. Couple that with the hit their defense is bound to take with the addition of Chris Webber, and the Pistons are no longer an elite team.
3. *Chicago Bulls (26-19)
Good – Their always excellent defense (2nd in OPPFG% at 43.3%) has allowed them to stay right in the thick of the East, even though they have yet to put it all together.
Bad – They still have trouble finding enough offense on the nights when their outside shots aren't falling.
Rookie – Thabo Sefolosha, athletic, unselfish and a lock down defender. I'm already on record as saying this is my boy. So you better recognize!
Outlook – The Bulls are a low post scorer away from being legitimate contenders. The good news is that Vice President John Paxson has more then enough trade assets to make that happen. Even if Pax can't swing a deal, I like this club to go deep in the playoffs.
4. Toronto Raptors (22-23)
Good – GM Bryan Colangelo's roster that included eight new players on opening night has come together just as I predicted (check the Eastern Conference Preview).
Bad – They are 28th in REBDIFF (-4.02) and soft defensively (22nd in OPPFG% at 46.4%).
Rookie – Andrea Bargnani, not a great athlete or defender, but once he develops some post moves and learns to put the ball on the floor, look out.
Outlook – The Raps have exceeded even my expectations up to this point and should only continue to get better. Even though they are definitely one and done if they make playoffs, winning the Titanic Division and getting the 4th seed is well within their reach.
5. *Cleveland Cavaliers (25-19)
Good – One of the better defensive (9th in OPPFG% at 45.0%) and rebounding (4th in REBDIFF at +3.46) teams in the league.
Bad – LeBron James has developed a tendency to coast during certain games, and his teammates have followed suit. They are also the worst free throw shooting team in the league (68.6%).
Rookie – Daniel Gibson, has a lot of ability, but needs to develop his PG skills (leadership, running a team, creating shots for others, etc.) if he wants to be a starter.
Outlook – Coach Mike Brown has quietly been molding his club into a defensive force. The Cavs are still a few pieces away, but a trip to the Conference Finals is not out of the question if they get their act together.
6. *Indiana Pacers (23-21)
Good – They finally rid themselves of knuckle head Stephen Jackson.
Bad – They are dead last in the NBA when it comes to shooting as a team (43.5%).
Rookie – Shawne Williams, long and athletic with a decent stroke from the outside. Very raw though.
Outlook – I think the Pacers will be better by season's end due to the trade, but I don't think they've improved enough to make any serious noise in the playoffs. However, given the right match up in the first round, Indy could be a very tough out.
7. *Orlando Magic (23-21)
Good – Their defense (3rd in OPPFG% at 43.7%) has been stifling and their rebounding (6th in REBDIFF at +2.72) isn't too shabby either.
Bad – They lose a lot of close games due to their lack of a go to scorer down the stretch.
Rookie – J.J. Redick, can shoot the deep ball with the best of them, but is a complete liability on defense. I see no reason that he can't have a long Steve Kerr type career though.
Outlook – I still think the Magic are on a team on the rise and a lock for the post season.
Conversely, aside from Grant Hill they lack the big game experience needed to get out of the first round.
8. *New Jersey Nets (21-23)
Good – Journeyman Mikki Moore stepping up to fill the void on the front line and actually doing a serviceable job
Bad – Losing Nenad Krstic (torn ACL left knee) for the season and Richard Jefferson for approximately four to six weeks (right ankle surgery).
Rookie – Marcus Williams, slow footed, a poor defender and has an inconsistent jumper, but he can run a team. A career backup in my opinion.
Outlook – The Nets are going to have to tread water until RJ gets back and hope they can make a run to close out the season. If things start to go south in a hurry though, look for President Rod Thorn to make a bold move or two.
*Miami Heat (19-25)
Good – The job Dwyane Wade has done to keep them afloat has been nothing short of phenomenal.
Bad – Take your pick of Pat Riley's "leave of absence" or Shaquille O'Neal appearing in only six games thus far.
Rookie – Chris Quinn, scrappy and gives 100% effort, but not an NBA player.
Outlook – Call me crazy, but I still think the Heat have a chance at the #1 seed. And as long as Shaq is healthy by the post season, I see no reason that Miami won't represent the East in the Finals again.
New York Knicks (19-27)
Good – They play hard for coach Isiah Thomas and are competitive on most nights. They also rank a somewhat surprising 2 nd overall in REBDIFF (+5.11).
Bad – Steve Francis went from All-Star at 27 years old to talk of a buyout at 29.
Rookie – Renaldo Balkman, good hustle guy that doesn't need the ball and enjoys doing the little things. Hey, I'm not going to question one of Isiah's draft picks.
Outlook – The Knicks are sure to surpass last season's 23 wins, but what constitutes "significant progress" to owner James Dolan? To my eyes they already look much improved, and with the playoffs a long shot at best, Jimmy D must settle on a win total sooner or later.
Milwaukee Bucks (18-26)
Good – Flashed the potential to be an extremely high powered offense when healthy.
Bad – Losing four starters to injury.
Rookie – Ersan Ilyasova, nice athlete, very active and plays hard. Can shoot it from deep and put it on the floor, but needs to improve his all around basketball IQ.
Outlook – If a team from the Titanic wasn't guaranteed a playoff spot, the Bucks might still have an outside chance. As is, it's going to be very tough for them make a run when they get their people back because they don't play defense (29th in OPPFG% at 47.6%) or rebound (26th in REBDIFF at -3.32).
Atlanta Hawks (15-27)
Good – Josh Smith averaging career highs in points, rebounds, blocks, assists and steals.
Bad – Multiple injuries derailed their solid start.
Rookie – Sheldon Williams, not terribly athletic and plays below the rim. A career back up in the making.
Outlook – Different year, same Hawks. They are 29th in points scored (91.50 ppg), 28 th in shooting (43.5%) and 23rd in OPPFG% (46.5%). So they can't score OR defend. I really hope their ownership limbo is remedied soon
Charlotte Bobcats (15-28)
Good –They have plenty of talented young players and oodles of salary cap room to spend when the moment is right.
Bad – They are 28th overall in average home attendance (15,440), which is not good for a third year expansion team.
Rookie – Adam Morrison, has the makings of a big time scorer in the league, but must develop another skill (passing? rebounding? defense?) to be a star.
Outlook – The Cats are still on the right track, but they have got to SPEND SOME MONEY this summer. I'm not saying to do something big just for the sake of doing something big, but at least make some kind of splash on the free agent market. If for no other reason then to give the fans some hope.
Philadelphia 76ers (14-31)
Good – Thankfully put an end to the Allen Iverson era.
Bad – 27th in REBDIFF (-4.00) and 25th in OPPFG% (46.9%).
Rookie – Rodney Carney, timid with the ball and seems to lack focus at times when he's on the floor. Great athlete, but not sure he does anything at an NBA level.
Outlook – Blowing up your team during the season is a little unorthodox, but better late then never. If there's any squad that should be tanking already, it's the Sixers. But for some reason they persist in playing hard. By doing that Philly will continue to catch clubs taking the night off, hence winning games they shouldn't.
Boston Celtics (12-31)
Good – Their youngsters getting plenty of opportunities to display their wares.
Bad – Injuries have just killed them.
Rookie – Rajon Rondo, super athlete with long arms and huge hands. Can defend, penetrate and run a team. Absolutely terrible shooter though.
Outlook – TANK ALERT! I find it more then a coincidence that both Paul Pierce and Wally Szczerbiak have needed additional time (from the original prognosis) to get back from their respective injuries. "Not that there's anything wrong with that." The Celtics are not making the playoffs, and those two playing only costs them lottery ping pong balls in the end.
WEST
1. *Phoenix Suns (36-8)
Good – They lead the league in points (111.53 ppg), shooting (49.8%), 3-point shooting (39.9%) and assists ( 27.00 apg).
Bad – Kurt Thomas being out four to six weeks with a partially torn ulnar collateral ligament in his left elbow shortens their rotation to seven guys.
Rookie – None.
Outlook – The greatest show on earth shows no signs of slowing down (two separate winning streaks of at least 15 games). Despite that, I have my concerns about the Suns. Their rotation is so short, and they play so fast, that I wonder how much gas they'll have left in their collective tanks in the post season. Not to mention that they don't have the depth to sustain a serious injury.
2. *Dallas Mavericks (36-9)
Good – Two separate winning streaks of 12 games or more already, plus they commit the 4th fewest turnovers in the league ( 13.95 topg), are 3rd in REBDIFF (+4.35) and 1st in free throw shooting (81.2%).
Bad – DeSagana Diop plummeting back to reality.
Rookie – Maurice Ager, hasn't played much, but from what I've seen he's not the scorer he was made out to be.
Outlook – I suppose it's possible that they peak too early, or expend too much energy trying for the best record overall, but I doubt it. The Mavs have it all and then some. As long as they are healthy come playoff time, they are the favorites to win it all.
3. *San Antonio Spurs (32-14)
Good – Tim Duncan is healthy again and they are flying under the radar more or less. They also manage to somehow commit the fewest fouls per game in the NBA ( 19.51).
Bad – Career low shooting percentages from Robert Horry (33.8%), Beno Udrih (36.3%) and Michael Finley (38.3% ).
Rookie – None.
Outlook – The Spurs are deep, well balanced and playoff tested. They also play defense (7 th in OPPFG% at 44.7%) and rebound (7th in REBDIFF at +1.97). Conversely, SA looks very old and unathletic to me right now. I'm not sure they can hang with the big boys anymore unless GM R.C. Buford makes a move to address that.
4. *Utah Jazz (29-16)
Good – Second year PG Deron Williams' ongoing evolution into Jason Kidd with a jump shot.
Bad – Coach Jerry Sloan's refusal to start rookie Ronnie Brewer at SG.
Rookie – Paul Millsap, a hustler who's a good rebounder and solid finisher around the rim. He's already shown the ability to defend both forward positions too.
Outlook - The Jazz are going to be a very tough out in the playoffs because they lead the league in REBDIFF (+5.42), are 2 nd in both assists (24.86 apg) & overall shooting (47.7%) and 8th in OPPFG% (44.9%). Utah is a solid SG and another defensive minded big man away from being in the mix to win it all.
5. *Houston Rockets (27-16)
Good –Tracy McGrady's back issues seemingly becoming a thing of the past.
Bad – Yao Ming fracturing his right tibial plateau.
Rookie – Vassilis Spanoulis, can run a team and hit open shots, but not enough of a defender to get regular minutes for coach Jeff Van Gundy. A solid backup PG nonetheless.
Outlook – The Rockets play great defense (#1 in OPPFG% at 41.9%) and can rebound the ball (5th in REBDIFF at +3.41), but as is the case with all JVG coached clubs, they can't shoot straight (25 th in shooting at 44.2%). Still, this is going to be a very dangerous bunch if they are healthy by the playoffs. A club "that no one will want to play."
6. *Los Angeles Lakers (27-17)
Good – Andrew Bynum (just 19 years old) developing into a low post scoring option and intimidator in the paint on defense faster then anyone could have possibly imagined.
Bad – They play no defense (24th in OPPFG% at 46.6%) and turn it over way too much (24th in turnovers at 16.51 topg).
Rookie – Jordan Farmar, surprisingly athletic, fearless, good penetrater and knows how to run a team. Has all the tools, but needs to work on his decision making and jump shot.
Outlook – Call me a homer, but when healthy the Lakers have the depth to give any Western squad trouble in the post season. Couple that with the best player in the game (Kobe Bryant), and this is proverbial "team that no one wants to play." Realistically though, LA must improve their defense if they are to be considered a serious contender for the crown.
7. *Denver Nuggets (22-19)
Good – Everyone is finally available to play, and the acquisition of Steve Blake is looking like a master stroke.
Bad – Even though the season is half way over, it's like they just broke training camp.
Rookie – Yakhouba Diawara, no game on offense at all, but has already proven to be a legitimate lock down perimeter defender.
Outlook – It's tough to make a call on the Nugs only four games into the Allen Iverson-Carmelo Anthony partnership, but here goes anyway. From what I've seen Denver is going to be able to score points with the best of them. However, they are going to need to play some form of defense if they expect to consistently win games.
8. *Los Angeles Clippers (22-22)
Good – They are finally starting to play with some energy and enthusiasm. They also lead the league in blocks ( 6.20 bpg) and are 8th in REBDIFF (+1.81).
Bad – They are dead last overall in 3-point shooting (31.4%).
Rookie – Paul Davis, good size with decent post moves and a nice touch around the basket out to mid-range. Needs to bulk up and improve his toughness.
Outlook – The Clips went from 4th in OPPFG% last season (43.5%) to 13th this year (45.4% ). Therein lies the problem with this club. Yet if the chemistry issues and injuries are both things of the past, LA should be poised to make their run during the second half.
Minnesota Timberwolves (21-22)
Good – The sheer will and greatness of Kevin Garnett being able to keep this unsightly lot in playoff contention.
Bad – Firing coach Dwane Casey (more on this in my next blog entry).
Rookie – Randy Foye, has above average strength and athleticism for his size, but not enough to consistently create quality scoring opportunities. Also doesn't possess true PG skills or instincts. Seems like a poor man's version of Steve Francis thus far.
Outlook – The Wolves were doing everything they possibly could to stay on the fringes of the playoff chase, so what does Vice President Kevin McHale do? He makes a coaching switch. Now, a team that wasn't that good to begin with has to adjust on the fly to a new head man, all while trying to remain in the hunt for a post season birth. Needless to say, I'm not optimistic about their chances.
Golden State Warriors (21-23)
Good – "Nellie Ball" seems to be working for them as they are 1st in both steals (8.93 spg) & turnovers forced ( 18.00 topg) and 3rd in both scoring (106.11 ppg) & assists (23.50 apg).
Bad – They are dead last overall in REBDIFF (-5.75).
Rookie – Kelenna Azubuike, athletic swingman with a nice stroke from 3-point range. He works hard, but is a borderline NBA player at best.
Outlook – The Warriors went from a somewhat entertaining squad to watch, to an extremely dangerous offensive club post trade. Coach Don Nelson can now put scorers at four of the five positions at all times. If GS shows a mild interest in playing defense, and shores up their rebounding, the eighth seed is within their reach.
Portland Trail Blazers (19-26)
Good – They have six players born in 1983 or later that are developing nicely while showing various degrees of "upside".
Bad – Joel Przybilla's nose dive after signing a five year $32 million dollar contract.
Rookie – Brandon Roy, can shoot from outside, drive to the basket, defend, pass and even rebound a touch. A prototypical SG that will have a long career as a starter.
Outlook – The Blazers don't play any defense (27th in OPPFG% at 47.5%), but that's to be expected from such a young team. This is a squad that gets better every day and is on the fast track to respectability. The playoffs are out of the question this season, but with a smart trade or two, and another solid draft pick, they will be in the hunt next year.
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets (18-25)
Good – David West and Bobby Jackson are already back playing, with Chris Paul soon to follow.
Bad – They are 29th in overall shooting (43.5%) and dead last in both points (90.62 ppg) &
assists ( 17.30 apg).
Rookie – Cedric Simmons, a defense first guy with little or no offensive game. Can rebound and block shots, but needs to bulk up and develop some post moves or a mid-range J to stick.
Outlook – What has kept the Hornets afloat during their myriad of injuries is their defense (5th in OPPFG% at 44.2%), and credit for that goes to coach Byron Scott. When CP3 gets back their offense will start to click again. When healthy this is a playoff team in my mind, but I question whether or not they have enough time left to make a run.
Sacramento Kings (17-25)
Good – They seem to be getting along a little better now as a unit, and their chemistry on the floor has improved some because of it.
Bad – Mike Bibby shooting a career low 38.7% from the field.
Rookie – Quincy Douby, thin, not all that athletic and questionable on the defensive end. Looks like another shooter that can't shoot to me.
Outlook – The Kings certainly have talent, but it doesn't mesh during games (athletic vs. plodding) or get along away from the court (outgoing vs. low key). I'm also starting to lose faith in coach Eric Musselman, who seems to have lost his second group in two opportunities. They still have an outside chance at the post season, but it's more likely time for President Geoff Petrie to work some more of his magic.
Seattle SuperSonics (17-27)
Good – Nick Collison stepping in as their starting center and averaging 14.6 points, 11.2 rebounds, 1.1 blocks and .9 steals on 61.8% shooting in January.
Bad – Much like a scared turtle hiding in its shell, Luke Ridnour regressed all the way from looking like a legit third scoring option, to losing his starting job to Earl Watson.
Rookie – Mickael Gelabale, an above average athlete and defender with a decent mid-range jumper. Needs to improve his confidence and develop an off the dribble game.
Outlook – The Sonics are yet another squad that plays no defense (28th in OPPFG% at 47.5%). Meaning that without Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis healthy at the same time, they have no shot at the post season. With owner Clay Bennett unlikely to get the $300 million of public funding he requested for his $500 million new arena, this could very well be Seattle's swan song as a NBA city.
Memphis Grizzlies (11-34)
Good – Ever since Tony Barone Sr. took over as coach they run and gun like it's the mid-80's.
Bad – Pau Gasol's trade request being made public knowledge.
Rookie – Rudy Gay, extremely athletic with lots of offensive tools, but lacks the consistent focus/drive/toughness to be a star. Not sure he's ever going to be more then a guy with great "upside".
Outlook – The Griz, or as I like to call them, "Team Tank", have been a joke ever since they fired Mike Fratello. They are 29th in REBDIFF (-4.17) and dead last in OPPFG% (48.4%). Those numbers are never that bad with the "Czar" in charge, which is exactly why they fired him in my opinion. There is no way this club doesn't end up with one of the two worst records overall.
Mid-Season Awards
Defensive Player – Marcus Camby (Denver Nuggets)
Sixth Man – Leandro Barbosa (Phoenix Suns)
Coach – Sam Mitchell (Toronto Raptors)
Rookie – Brandon Roy (Portland Trail Blazers)
MVP – Dirk Nowitzki (Dallas Mavericks)
All NBA
PG – Steve Nash (Phoenix Suns)
SG – Dwyane Wade (Miami Heat)
SF – Kobe Bryant (Los Angeles Lakers)
PF – Dirk Nowitzki (Dallas Mavericks)
C – Tim Duncan (San Antonio Spurs)
January 29, 2007
I need more time to interview players, coaches and research the 2007 Free Agent class before I publish the 2007 4th Annual Philadelphia Eagles Official Off-Season Guide, sponsored by Google. Next week will be the defense.
Super Bowl Preview
Colts (-7, 49) Bears
The Peyton Manning Bowl is 6 days away and the hype will begin in earnest this week. Hours of breakdown, analysis, previews, predictions, the whole bit. But your one and only source should be right here.
Colts on Offense: Advantage - Colts by "a lot"
The Bears defense is not all that good these days. The loss of Tommie Harris and Mike Brown have plagued this defense. The biggest loss is Brown, who is their play making safety (think Brian Dawkins, Troy Polamalu, Ed Reed). Chicago's defense has steadily gotten worse since Brown got hurt midway through the season. Indy should be able to run and throw at will on this defense. Look for the Colts to run much more than one would expect. Reggie Wayne & Marvin Harrison should have big games also. Don't be surprised if both top 100 yards. I get the feeling Manning is going to make sure Harrison has a good game, to help cement his buddy Marvin's legacy. Look for at least 1 Marvin TD. Tommie Harris, Mark Anderson and Adewale Ogunleye are 3 solid pass rushers, but Tarik Glenn and Ryan Diem should handle them just fine. I don't see any way Brian Urlacher and Lance Briggs (Eagles fans want him bad) can hold the Bears to under 30 points.
Bears on Offense: Advantage - Bears by "more than you think"
Thomas Jones and Cedric Benson form a very nice 1-2 punch. I'm still not convinced the Colts run defense can handle a good running team. I think both teams will enjoy ground success which as all Eagles fans know makes it a lot easier on your QB. Hence, I'm not too worried about Rex Grossman. I think he has some solid weapons on offense and can have some success through the air. Do I see them being able to keep up with the Colts? Probably too much to ask for. If the chips fall right, they can put up 31. May not be enough.
Special Teams: THE X FACTOR
If super return men Devin Hester and Rashied Davis can get the Bears good field position so than the Bears can "answer" after every Colts score, I think the Bears can win. But it's just too much to ask for. I think Peyton Manning wants to choke in this big game, but the Bears defense just isn't good enough to force him to. As a rooting interest, I'll be rooting for the Bears, of course. As a prognosticator, gotta use my noggin. Colts 37, Bears 24. MVP: Manning (he won't deserve it but 2/3rds of the voters probably have it written in already)
Dragon's Den
Drexel loses another game this week to a CAA contender, as they lose at home to Viriginia Commonwealth to drop to 7-3 in the conference with all 3 losses to the contenders for the conference crown in Hofstra, Old Dom and Va Comm. As much as I'd like to sit here and say that the loss was in great part to not having leading scorer and all-CAA player Frank Elegar (suspended for 1 game). But I won't make excuses. This Drexel team is just flat struggling right now. While beating Villanova and Syracuse earned them the label "Best team in the City" from yours truly a month ago, Villanova didn't have freshman Scottie Reynolds playing well back then. This is a different Drexel team, and a different Nova team. Sorry Philly Phaf, it's not the CAA competition, Drexel has just fallen apart for the 2nd straight year. You can't continually lose at home to the better teams in your conference and continue to be called a contender. All that being said next week I expect to have Drexel back in the Final Four!! Go Dragons!
BTW - Tiger Woods and Roger Federer are good.
NHL Week in Review By : Ed Wasser
- I'd like to start out with a few comments about the NHL Skills Competition......but I didn't watch it so I can't. But I did score an exclusive interview with (drum roll please) myself. (So, how would you grade the NHL All Star...well it used to be a weekend, I guess now you would call it All Star Tuesday and Wednesday?) I would grade it an F -. I'm giving it an F minus to set it apart from the usual NHL screw ups that have earned legitimate F's. As I'm writing this it's Sunday afternoon and there is ZERO to watch on TV. Why on Earth isn't the All Star game on now? The weekend before the Super Bowl is always a sports wasteland. Why the hell would the NHL put the All Star game on against "American Idol"? Even by NHL standards it was a stupid move. (You're right. Anyway, how many Flyers were there?) One, Simon Gagne. (That sounds about right for the worst team in the league. How many Flyers were in the Young Stars game?) Zero. (What?!?!? You mean to tell me that no first or second year Flyers were asked to participate in that game?) That's what I'm saying. (Well, what about the skills competition? That's the biggest bone throw in all of the NHL. How many Flyers were in that?) Zero. (WHAT?!?! That's ridiculous.) It is. (Well, what about the future. I know the AHL All Star game is this week, how many Flyer prospects made the team?) Prospects? Zero. The only Phantom that made the All Star team was 30 year old defenseman Nolan Baumgartner. (That's a disgrace.) It is indeed, it is indeed.
- My main problem with doing this column is trying to pick out what most readers will find interesting about the NHL. I'm going to go out on a limb and guess that most people are having trouble caring about the Flyers as their season has long been flushed down the toilet. And I absolutely know that if I wrote about 90% of the teams in the league like the Wild, Predators, Oilers, Blue Jackets, or Thrashers very few people would even read the paragraph. So I'm going to make this interesting. The record for losses for an NHL team and an NBA team from the same city in the same season is 103. And who holds that record? Philadelphia of course. YEAH!!! The season was 1972 - 1973, back when the Sixers had one of, if not thee, most pathetic seasons in pro sports history (9-73). The Flyers actually weren't that bad that year, 37-30-11 with the Flyers having their first ever playoff series win against the North Stars.
Little known fact, the Flyers were in the Western Division and the Vancouver Canucks were in the Eastern Division back then. That's typical NHL.
At any rate I'm going to start to monitor the progress of the most losses by an NHL and an NBA team from the same city record as the Sixers and Flyers careen toward shattering it at an alarming rate of speed. In fact, I'm going to actively cheer for the Sixers and Flyers to break the record. I know this may seem like a morbid thing to do and it's a little unfair since the NHL eliminated ties but if I can entertain one person by writing about this history making pursuit then it would all be worth it. Especially if that one person is me. As of now the 2 winter teams in Philadelphia have 68 losses. And by the way, it's only Jan. 29th. That's a scant 35 more to go and the NBA isn't even at the All Star break yet. This record willl be a piece of cake.
- Boston Bruin Phil Kessel was diagnosed with testicule cancer and had successful surgery to remove his testicule on Dec. 11th and is now back in the NHL. Now was reading that so bad? Well when I was watching the Young Stars game on the Versus Network the announcers were saying Phil Kessel had cancer but no one would dare under any circumstances to utter the word testicule. It became comical after a while. Mike Emrick was saying "Kessel had one of the most curable forms of cancer there is and we're happy to say he is now cancer free". So people are probably thinking "oh yeah? What kind of cancer is that?" Well, they'll never say. And then Bill Clement chimes in "when you hear the word cancer it always shakes you up. But thankfully Kessel caught it early". But Brian Engblom took the cake. He came within a breath of saying the dreaded testicule word but always backed off at the last second. At one point Engblom said Kessel had "cancer of the.....groin area".
- There's a great article in "The Hockey News" about the Flyers. Writer Ken Campbell makes a terrific point about GM Bobby Clarke. Oh I'm sorry, he's not the GM anymore (wink, wink). Anyway Clarke "resigned", his intern (Paul Holmgren) is hired as the new GM, and he left the team. A few weeks later he was brought back as team president and now he is back at Flyers practice on a daily basis. So what changed? Nothing. And Clarke...this sentence is tough for me to write so bare with me...apparently Clarke (vomit is starting to gather) wants to keep (I'm getting dizzy and light headed) ahhhhh....wow, this is tough. Anyway, (deep breath) Clarke wants to keep defenseman Derian Hatcher even though buying him out would save $2.3 million on the salary cap. Wha!?!? Where am I? I must have passed out after I wrote that last sentence. Let's forget that ugliness and move on. The other point Campbell makes is that hiring such an inexperienced coach for this team was a huge mistake. John Stevens is not a good NHL coach and in reality he was set up to fail. The last point in the article was that the Flyers TOTALLY over valued the ability of their young players. Man, is there something in the water in South Philly because every team in this city suffers from the love that dare not speak it's name. The love of their young players. It was a great article and I'm sure you can currently find it lining the cage of Bobby Clarke's parakeet.
- The Flyers were on yesterday at 3:30 in the afternoon and worse yet, the only other thing on TV at that time was fishing shows and infomercials so I was forced to watch the game. And to further complicate matters the Flyers actually won. I know, I know....miracles occasionally do happen in this world. They beat the Thrashers 2 - 1. The Thrashers played well but Flyers goalie Antero Niittymaki played like he had $50,000 with Rick Tocchet on the under, making 37 saves. And speaking of 2 - 1 last Thursday the Flyers lost to the Rangers by that score. And I'm sure you're wondering if Derian Hatcher played like crap against the Rangers. The answer would be a resounding YES!!! I haven't seen a performance that stiff since Ryan Lambert's last season on "Kids Incorporated". And if the trading deadline comes and goes (Feb. 27th) and Peter Forsberg, Kyle Calder, and especially Derian Hatcher are still on this team I might just start repeatedly punching myself in the face to alleviate the pain. Just letting you all know.
NBA - Derreck Sura
Since the Denver Nuggets finally played their 41st game on 1/27, it's now time for the fourth annual 'Mid-Season Report'. The gap between the conferences has never been greater, but the competition within each conference itself is still really tough. So, without further ado…
(*Teams I had making the playoffs before the season.)
EAST
1. *Washington Wizards (26-17)
Good – They lead their division, are 2nd in the league in scoring (107.19 ppg) and have a legitimate MVP candidate in Gilbert Arenas.
Bad – Their center rotation of Brendan Haywood and Etan Thomas continues to disappoint.
Rookie – None.
Outlook – It's hard for me to take the Wiz seriously when they play no defense (26th in opponent's field goal percentage [OPPFG%] at 46.9%) and can't rebound (25th in rebound differential [REBDIFF] at -2.90). That said, this squad should have no problems making the second round in the East.
2. *Detroit Pistons (25-17)
Good – They managed to stay near the top of the conference while Chauncey Billups missed eight games with a strained right calf. They also commit the fewest turnovers in the league (12.26 topg).
Bad – Their bench production leaves an awful lot to be desired.
Rookie – Will Blalock, from the little I've seen he's lucky to be in the NBA.
Outlook – They remain one of the clubs to beat in the East, but their famous team chemistry no longer exists. Couple that with the hit their defense is bound to take with the addition of Chris Webber, and the Pistons are no longer an elite team.
3. *Chicago Bulls (26-19)
Good – Their always excellent defense (2nd in OPPFG% at 43.3%) has allowed them to stay right in the thick of the East, even though they have yet to put it all together.
Bad – They still have trouble finding enough offense on the nights when their outside shots aren't falling.
Rookie – Thabo Sefolosha, athletic, unselfish and a lock down defender. I'm already on record as saying this is my boy. So you better recognize!
Outlook – The Bulls are a low post scorer away from being legitimate contenders. The good news is that Vice President John Paxson has more then enough trade assets to make that happen. Even if Pax can't swing a deal, I like this club to go deep in the playoffs.
4. Toronto Raptors (22-23)
Good – GM Bryan Colangelo's roster that included eight new players on opening night has come together just as I predicted (check the Eastern Conference Preview).
Bad – They are 28th in REBDIFF (-4.02) and soft defensively (22nd in OPPFG% at 46.4%).
Rookie – Andrea Bargnani, not a great athlete or defender, but once he develops some post moves and learns to put the ball on the floor, look out.
Outlook – The Raps have exceeded even my expectations up to this point and should only continue to get better. Even though they are definitely one and done if they make playoffs, winning the Titanic Division and getting the 4th seed is well within their reach.
5. *Cleveland Cavaliers (25-19)
Good – One of the better defensive (9th in OPPFG% at 45.0%) and rebounding (4th in REBDIFF at +3.46) teams in the league.
Bad – LeBron James has developed a tendency to coast during certain games, and his teammates have followed suit. They are also the worst free throw shooting team in the league (68.6%).
Rookie – Daniel Gibson, has a lot of ability, but needs to develop his PG skills (leadership, running a team, creating shots for others, etc.) if he wants to be a starter.
Outlook – Coach Mike Brown has quietly been molding his club into a defensive force. The Cavs are still a few pieces away, but a trip to the Conference Finals is not out of the question if they get their act together.
6. *Indiana Pacers (23-21)
Good – They finally rid themselves of knuckle head Stephen Jackson.
Bad – They are dead last in the NBA when it comes to shooting as a team (43.5%).
Rookie – Shawne Williams, long and athletic with a decent stroke from the outside. Very raw though.
Outlook – I think the Pacers will be better by season's end due to the trade, but I don't think they've improved enough to make any serious noise in the playoffs. However, given the right match up in the first round, Indy could be a very tough out.
7. *Orlando Magic (23-21)
Good – Their defense (3rd in OPPFG% at 43.7%) has been stifling and their rebounding (6th in REBDIFF at +2.72) isn't too shabby either.
Bad – They lose a lot of close games due to their lack of a go to scorer down the stretch.
Rookie – J.J. Redick, can shoot the deep ball with the best of them, but is a complete liability on defense. I see no reason that he can't have a long Steve Kerr type career though.
Outlook – I still think the Magic are on a team on the rise and a lock for the post season.
Conversely, aside from Grant Hill they lack the big game experience needed to get out of the first round.
8. *New Jersey Nets (21-23)
Good – Journeyman Mikki Moore stepping up to fill the void on the front line and actually doing a serviceable job
Bad – Losing Nenad Krstic (torn ACL left knee) for the season and Richard Jefferson for approximately four to six weeks (right ankle surgery).
Rookie – Marcus Williams, slow footed, a poor defender and has an inconsistent jumper, but he can run a team. A career backup in my opinion.
Outlook – The Nets are going to have to tread water until RJ gets back and hope they can make a run to close out the season. If things start to go south in a hurry though, look for President Rod Thorn to make a bold move or two.
*Miami Heat (19-25)
Good – The job Dwyane Wade has done to keep them afloat has been nothing short of phenomenal.
Bad – Take your pick of Pat Riley's "leave of absence" or Shaquille O'Neal appearing in only six games thus far.
Rookie – Chris Quinn, scrappy and gives 100% effort, but not an NBA player.
Outlook – Call me crazy, but I still think the Heat have a chance at the #1 seed. And as long as Shaq is healthy by the post season, I see no reason that Miami won't represent the East in the Finals again.
New York Knicks (19-27)
Good – They play hard for coach Isiah Thomas and are competitive on most nights. They also rank a somewhat surprising 2 nd overall in REBDIFF (+5.11).
Bad – Steve Francis went from All-Star at 27 years old to talk of a buyout at 29.
Rookie – Renaldo Balkman, good hustle guy that doesn't need the ball and enjoys doing the little things. Hey, I'm not going to question one of Isiah's draft picks.
Outlook – The Knicks are sure to surpass last season's 23 wins, but what constitutes "significant progress" to owner James Dolan? To my eyes they already look much improved, and with the playoffs a long shot at best, Jimmy D must settle on a win total sooner or later.
Milwaukee Bucks (18-26)
Good – Flashed the potential to be an extremely high powered offense when healthy.
Bad – Losing four starters to injury.
Rookie – Ersan Ilyasova, nice athlete, very active and plays hard. Can shoot it from deep and put it on the floor, but needs to improve his all around basketball IQ.
Outlook – If a team from the Titanic wasn't guaranteed a playoff spot, the Bucks might still have an outside chance. As is, it's going to be very tough for them make a run when they get their people back because they don't play defense (29th in OPPFG% at 47.6%) or rebound (26th in REBDIFF at -3.32).
Atlanta Hawks (15-27)
Good – Josh Smith averaging career highs in points, rebounds, blocks, assists and steals.
Bad – Multiple injuries derailed their solid start.
Rookie – Sheldon Williams, not terribly athletic and plays below the rim. A career back up in the making.
Outlook – Different year, same Hawks. They are 29th in points scored (91.50 ppg), 28 th in shooting (43.5%) and 23rd in OPPFG% (46.5%). So they can't score OR defend. I really hope their ownership limbo is remedied soon
Charlotte Bobcats (15-28)
Good –They have plenty of talented young players and oodles of salary cap room to spend when the moment is right.
Bad – They are 28th overall in average home attendance (15,440), which is not good for a third year expansion team.
Rookie – Adam Morrison, has the makings of a big time scorer in the league, but must develop another skill (passing? rebounding? defense?) to be a star.
Outlook – The Cats are still on the right track, but they have got to SPEND SOME MONEY this summer. I'm not saying to do something big just for the sake of doing something big, but at least make some kind of splash on the free agent market. If for no other reason then to give the fans some hope.
Philadelphia 76ers (14-31)
Good – Thankfully put an end to the Allen Iverson era.
Bad – 27th in REBDIFF (-4.00) and 25th in OPPFG% (46.9%).
Rookie – Rodney Carney, timid with the ball and seems to lack focus at times when he's on the floor. Great athlete, but not sure he does anything at an NBA level.
Outlook – Blowing up your team during the season is a little unorthodox, but better late then never. If there's any squad that should be tanking already, it's the Sixers. But for some reason they persist in playing hard. By doing that Philly will continue to catch clubs taking the night off, hence winning games they shouldn't.
Boston Celtics (12-31)
Good – Their youngsters getting plenty of opportunities to display their wares.
Bad – Injuries have just killed them.
Rookie – Rajon Rondo, super athlete with long arms and huge hands. Can defend, penetrate and run a team. Absolutely terrible shooter though.
Outlook – TANK ALERT! I find it more then a coincidence that both Paul Pierce and Wally Szczerbiak have needed additional time (from the original prognosis) to get back from their respective injuries. "Not that there's anything wrong with that." The Celtics are not making the playoffs, and those two playing only costs them lottery ping pong balls in the end.
WEST
1. *Phoenix Suns (36-8)
Good – They lead the league in points (111.53 ppg), shooting (49.8%), 3-point shooting (39.9%) and assists ( 27.00 apg).
Bad – Kurt Thomas being out four to six weeks with a partially torn ulnar collateral ligament in his left elbow shortens their rotation to seven guys.
Rookie – None.
Outlook – The greatest show on earth shows no signs of slowing down (two separate winning streaks of at least 15 games). Despite that, I have my concerns about the Suns. Their rotation is so short, and they play so fast, that I wonder how much gas they'll have left in their collective tanks in the post season. Not to mention that they don't have the depth to sustain a serious injury.
2. *Dallas Mavericks (36-9)
Good – Two separate winning streaks of 12 games or more already, plus they commit the 4th fewest turnovers in the league ( 13.95 topg), are 3rd in REBDIFF (+4.35) and 1st in free throw shooting (81.2%).
Bad – DeSagana Diop plummeting back to reality.
Rookie – Maurice Ager, hasn't played much, but from what I've seen he's not the scorer he was made out to be.
Outlook – I suppose it's possible that they peak too early, or expend too much energy trying for the best record overall, but I doubt it. The Mavs have it all and then some. As long as they are healthy come playoff time, they are the favorites to win it all.
3. *San Antonio Spurs (32-14)
Good – Tim Duncan is healthy again and they are flying under the radar more or less. They also manage to somehow commit the fewest fouls per game in the NBA ( 19.51).
Bad – Career low shooting percentages from Robert Horry (33.8%), Beno Udrih (36.3%) and Michael Finley (38.3% ).
Rookie – None.
Outlook – The Spurs are deep, well balanced and playoff tested. They also play defense (7 th in OPPFG% at 44.7%) and rebound (7th in REBDIFF at +1.97). Conversely, SA looks very old and unathletic to me right now. I'm not sure they can hang with the big boys anymore unless GM R.C. Buford makes a move to address that.
4. *Utah Jazz (29-16)
Good – Second year PG Deron Williams' ongoing evolution into Jason Kidd with a jump shot.
Bad – Coach Jerry Sloan's refusal to start rookie Ronnie Brewer at SG.
Rookie – Paul Millsap, a hustler who's a good rebounder and solid finisher around the rim. He's already shown the ability to defend both forward positions too.
Outlook - The Jazz are going to be a very tough out in the playoffs because they lead the league in REBDIFF (+5.42), are 2 nd in both assists (24.86 apg) & overall shooting (47.7%) and 8th in OPPFG% (44.9%). Utah is a solid SG and another defensive minded big man away from being in the mix to win it all.
5. *Houston Rockets (27-16)
Good –Tracy McGrady's back issues seemingly becoming a thing of the past.
Bad – Yao Ming fracturing his right tibial plateau.
Rookie – Vassilis Spanoulis, can run a team and hit open shots, but not enough of a defender to get regular minutes for coach Jeff Van Gundy. A solid backup PG nonetheless.
Outlook – The Rockets play great defense (#1 in OPPFG% at 41.9%) and can rebound the ball (5th in REBDIFF at +3.41), but as is the case with all JVG coached clubs, they can't shoot straight (25 th in shooting at 44.2%). Still, this is going to be a very dangerous bunch if they are healthy by the playoffs. A club "that no one will want to play."
6. *Los Angeles Lakers (27-17)
Good – Andrew Bynum (just 19 years old) developing into a low post scoring option and intimidator in the paint on defense faster then anyone could have possibly imagined.
Bad – They play no defense (24th in OPPFG% at 46.6%) and turn it over way too much (24th in turnovers at 16.51 topg).
Rookie – Jordan Farmar, surprisingly athletic, fearless, good penetrater and knows how to run a team. Has all the tools, but needs to work on his decision making and jump shot.
Outlook – Call me a homer, but when healthy the Lakers have the depth to give any Western squad trouble in the post season. Couple that with the best player in the game (Kobe Bryant), and this is proverbial "team that no one wants to play." Realistically though, LA must improve their defense if they are to be considered a serious contender for the crown.
7. *Denver Nuggets (22-19)
Good – Everyone is finally available to play, and the acquisition of Steve Blake is looking like a master stroke.
Bad – Even though the season is half way over, it's like they just broke training camp.
Rookie – Yakhouba Diawara, no game on offense at all, but has already proven to be a legitimate lock down perimeter defender.
Outlook – It's tough to make a call on the Nugs only four games into the Allen Iverson-Carmelo Anthony partnership, but here goes anyway. From what I've seen Denver is going to be able to score points with the best of them. However, they are going to need to play some form of defense if they expect to consistently win games.
8. *Los Angeles Clippers (22-22)
Good – They are finally starting to play with some energy and enthusiasm. They also lead the league in blocks ( 6.20 bpg) and are 8th in REBDIFF (+1.81).
Bad – They are dead last overall in 3-point shooting (31.4%).
Rookie – Paul Davis, good size with decent post moves and a nice touch around the basket out to mid-range. Needs to bulk up and improve his toughness.
Outlook – The Clips went from 4th in OPPFG% last season (43.5%) to 13th this year (45.4% ). Therein lies the problem with this club. Yet if the chemistry issues and injuries are both things of the past, LA should be poised to make their run during the second half.
Minnesota Timberwolves (21-22)
Good – The sheer will and greatness of Kevin Garnett being able to keep this unsightly lot in playoff contention.
Bad – Firing coach Dwane Casey (more on this in my next blog entry).
Rookie – Randy Foye, has above average strength and athleticism for his size, but not enough to consistently create quality scoring opportunities. Also doesn't possess true PG skills or instincts. Seems like a poor man's version of Steve Francis thus far.
Outlook – The Wolves were doing everything they possibly could to stay on the fringes of the playoff chase, so what does Vice President Kevin McHale do? He makes a coaching switch. Now, a team that wasn't that good to begin with has to adjust on the fly to a new head man, all while trying to remain in the hunt for a post season birth. Needless to say, I'm not optimistic about their chances.
Golden State Warriors (21-23)
Good – "Nellie Ball" seems to be working for them as they are 1st in both steals (8.93 spg) & turnovers forced ( 18.00 topg) and 3rd in both scoring (106.11 ppg) & assists (23.50 apg).
Bad – They are dead last overall in REBDIFF (-5.75).
Rookie – Kelenna Azubuike, athletic swingman with a nice stroke from 3-point range. He works hard, but is a borderline NBA player at best.
Outlook – The Warriors went from a somewhat entertaining squad to watch, to an extremely dangerous offensive club post trade. Coach Don Nelson can now put scorers at four of the five positions at all times. If GS shows a mild interest in playing defense, and shores up their rebounding, the eighth seed is within their reach.
Portland Trail Blazers (19-26)
Good – They have six players born in 1983 or later that are developing nicely while showing various degrees of "upside".
Bad – Joel Przybilla's nose dive after signing a five year $32 million dollar contract.
Rookie – Brandon Roy, can shoot from outside, drive to the basket, defend, pass and even rebound a touch. A prototypical SG that will have a long career as a starter.
Outlook – The Blazers don't play any defense (27th in OPPFG% at 47.5%), but that's to be expected from such a young team. This is a squad that gets better every day and is on the fast track to respectability. The playoffs are out of the question this season, but with a smart trade or two, and another solid draft pick, they will be in the hunt next year.
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets (18-25)
Good – David West and Bobby Jackson are already back playing, with Chris Paul soon to follow.
Bad – They are 29th in overall shooting (43.5%) and dead last in both points (90.62 ppg) &
assists ( 17.30 apg).
Rookie – Cedric Simmons, a defense first guy with little or no offensive game. Can rebound and block shots, but needs to bulk up and develop some post moves or a mid-range J to stick.
Outlook – What has kept the Hornets afloat during their myriad of injuries is their defense (5th in OPPFG% at 44.2%), and credit for that goes to coach Byron Scott. When CP3 gets back their offense will start to click again. When healthy this is a playoff team in my mind, but I question whether or not they have enough time left to make a run.
Sacramento Kings (17-25)
Good – They seem to be getting along a little better now as a unit, and their chemistry on the floor has improved some because of it.
Bad – Mike Bibby shooting a career low 38.7% from the field.
Rookie – Quincy Douby, thin, not all that athletic and questionable on the defensive end. Looks like another shooter that can't shoot to me.
Outlook – The Kings certainly have talent, but it doesn't mesh during games (athletic vs. plodding) or get along away from the court (outgoing vs. low key). I'm also starting to lose faith in coach Eric Musselman, who seems to have lost his second group in two opportunities. They still have an outside chance at the post season, but it's more likely time for President Geoff Petrie to work some more of his magic.
Seattle SuperSonics (17-27)
Good – Nick Collison stepping in as their starting center and averaging 14.6 points, 11.2 rebounds, 1.1 blocks and .9 steals on 61.8% shooting in January.
Bad – Much like a scared turtle hiding in its shell, Luke Ridnour regressed all the way from looking like a legit third scoring option, to losing his starting job to Earl Watson.
Rookie – Mickael Gelabale, an above average athlete and defender with a decent mid-range jumper. Needs to improve his confidence and develop an off the dribble game.
Outlook – The Sonics are yet another squad that plays no defense (28th in OPPFG% at 47.5%). Meaning that without Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis healthy at the same time, they have no shot at the post season. With owner Clay Bennett unlikely to get the $300 million of public funding he requested for his $500 million new arena, this could very well be Seattle's swan song as a NBA city.
Memphis Grizzlies (11-34)
Good – Ever since Tony Barone Sr. took over as coach they run and gun like it's the mid-80's.
Bad – Pau Gasol's trade request being made public knowledge.
Rookie – Rudy Gay, extremely athletic with lots of offensive tools, but lacks the consistent focus/drive/toughness to be a star. Not sure he's ever going to be more then a guy with great "upside".
Outlook – The Griz, or as I like to call them, "Team Tank", have been a joke ever since they fired Mike Fratello. They are 29th in REBDIFF (-4.17) and dead last in OPPFG% (48.4%). Those numbers are never that bad with the "Czar" in charge, which is exactly why they fired him in my opinion. There is no way this club doesn't end up with one of the two worst records overall.
Mid-Season Awards
Defensive Player – Marcus Camby (Denver Nuggets)
Sixth Man – Leandro Barbosa (Phoenix Suns)
Coach – Sam Mitchell (Toronto Raptors)
Rookie – Brandon Roy (Portland Trail Blazers)
MVP – Dirk Nowitzki (Dallas Mavericks)
All NBA
PG – Steve Nash (Phoenix Suns)
SG – Dwyane Wade (Miami Heat)
SF – Kobe Bryant (Los Angeles Lakers)
PF – Dirk Nowitzki (Dallas Mavericks)
C – Tim Duncan (San Antonio Spurs)
posted by Monday Morning Mehta at 9:59 AM
1 Comments:
MMM--
It's been too long! I stopped getting my weekly updates mailed directly to me, but I've been jonesing for some Philly sports insight.
A reader from long ago,
T.J.
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